Ashes Second Test


Ashes Second Test

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Paddles
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MikeR - 19 Aug 2019 10:05 AM
Decentric - 19 Aug 2019 8:23 AM

First this is the wickets taken over the last 2 1/2 years by Australia

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/stats/index.html?class=1;filter=advanced;orderby=wickets;spanmax1=19+Aug+2019;spanmin1=01+feb+2017;spanval1=span;team=2;template=results;type=bowling

So from 35 innings Hazlewood has bowled remembering that is a possible 350 potential wickets, Hazlewood has taken 58. That is poor by any standards. It's only 16%. He is only in  the side as a bowler, can't bat so his selection over the likes of Pattinson or Starc reduces batting ability of the team. He opens the bowling on every occasion. These are his wickets.

before 12 overs (6 overs Hazlewood)
Jason Roy, 1.3 ov, Joe Root, 9.1 ov, KL Rahul, 1.3 ov, KL Rahul, 5.1 ov, Cheteshwar Pujara, 3.5 ov, KL Rahul, 1.6 ov, Aiden Markram, 3.5 ov, Aiden Markram, 8.6 ov, Hashim Amla, 10.5 ov, Mark Stoneman, 1.5 ov, Alastair Cook, 7.3 ov, James Vince, 10.4 ov, Alastair Cook, 3.3 ov, James Vince, 5.3 ov, Murali Vijay, 10.2 ov, Abhinav Mukund, 10.4 ov, Murali Vijay, 6.5 ov
17  wickets 

Between 12-80 overs
Joe Denly, 31.6 ov, Virat Kohli, 52.5 ov, Rohit Sharma, 22.5 ov, Rishabh Pant, 37.3 ov, Ajinkya Rahane, 34.5 ov, Ajinkya Rahane, 20.2 ov, KL Rahul, 24.2 ov, Hashim Amla, 32.4 ov, Temba Bavuma, 61.1 ov, Dean Elgar, 67.6 ov, Keshav Maharaj, 50.3 ov, Theunis de Bruyn, 42.1 ov, Alastair Cook, 32.3 ov, James Vince, 24.1 ov, James Vince, 25.3 ov, Dawid Malan, 63.2 ov, Jonny Bairstow, 39.1 ov, Craig Overton, 67.5 ov, Joe Root, 64.5 ov, Chris Woakes, 62.2 ov, Joe Root, 40.6 ov, Virat Kohli, 34.2 ov, Ravindra Jadeja, 38.1 ov
23 wickets 

on 18 occassions new ball taken
80-92 overs new ball
Hanuma Vihari, 85.3 ov, Mohammed Shami, 87.6 ov, AB de Villiers, 82.6 ov, Quinton de Kock, 92.4 ov, Jonny Bairstow, 81.4 ov, James Anderson, 88.1 ov, Dawid Malan, 80.2 ov, Cheteshwar Pujara, 85.2 ov, Ravichandran Ashwin, 85.5 ov, Umesh Yadav, 87.3 ov
10 wickets

after 92 overs
Ravindra Jadeja, 169.4 ov, Morne Morkel, 112.2 ov, Keshav Maharaj, 115.4 ov, Tom Curran, 119.3 ov, Chris Woakes, 110.5 ov, Craig Overton, 112.6 ov, Stuart Broad, 116.4 ov, Karun Nair, 107.4 ov
8 wickets

So 23 wickets with an older ball from 36 innings. Gets the new ball after 80 overs every time. After 92 over, the opposition is closing its innings with quick runs, notice nothing between 92-110 overs, every time he gets the new ball.
But from 36 innings he only has taken 17 wickets with the new ball, including 2 from this test. He's really not that effective as a new ball bowler either.


As a comparison look at Cummins, doesn't always get new ball. I'm not going to write all his down just accept these are right.
Pat Cummins 39 innings in total 100 wickets. He's doing his job 25% of wickets available.

Opened the bowling in 12 innings, and on 3 occasions he got the ball before 12 overs.

15 wickets (remember Hazlewood 36 innings for 17 wickets) Cummins is more superior than Hazlewood with the new ball

Between overs 12-80 or after 92 overs, Cummins has rarely if ever taken a wicket between 80-92 overs
12-80 or after 92 overs

85 wickets, Compared to Hazlewood's 31 in total. Who is doing the work?


His opening partner in Starc doesn't do much better than Hazlewood, but there is a discrepency in that Starc does take more with the older ball.

Starc 33 innings 68 wickets 21% of wickets taken (could be better but is acceptable)

With new ball 15 wickets, between 80-92 over 9 wickets

With older ball 12-80 overs 35 wickets, after 92 overs 9 wickets

Starc hasn't played as many games as Hazlewood but has been more effective with the older ball.

So over this period of time of 2 1/2 years, Considering Lyon has taken 127 wickets from 47 innings (27%), the opposition have declared their innings on 8 occasions, in 25 matches Australia have Won 11, Lost 9, Drawn 5. 
Lyon 27% of wickets
Cummins 25 % of wickets
Starc 21 % of wickets 
Hazlewood 16% of wickets
Who is the one letting the side down? Look at their averages and who appears to be leaking the runs? Look at their Strike Rates and who is creating extra work load for the others, leading to injuries?


There is some super impressive analysis in here Mike. I feel the new ball factor gets overlooked by many. The worst new ball offender in global cricket is of course Philander, who basically has to take the new ball to warrant selection, but my oh my he uses that new ball well.

One thing you overlook with Starc in this post is that he is good for blasting out the tail, which is often with an older ball, but you have discussed so many times previously. 

Excellent analysis. 

I would focus less on the pie charts of Aus wickets taken, or that odd potential wickets to be taken stat. The timing of them regards the ball condition was your point, and you more than supported it accurately and well. 

The question more people have - is whether Haze can regain his form and success, cos I think we all know deep down that Starc and Haze have been overrated for a while, made clear when they were both dropped for the first test. I think Haze has some serious talent and potential, but he has had a bad run in the past few years.
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5 Years Ago by Paddles
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MikeR - 19 Aug 2019 10:05 AM
Decentric - 19 Aug 2019 8:23 AM

First this is the wickets taken over the last 2 1/2 years by Australia

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/stats/index.html?class=1;filter=advanced;orderby=wickets;spanmax1=19+Aug+2019;spanmin1=01+feb+2017;spanval1=span;team=2;template=results;type=bowling

So from 35 innings Hazlewood has bowled remembering that is a possible 350 potential wickets, Hazlewood has taken 58. That is poor by any standards. It's only 16%. He is only in  the side as a bowler, can't bat so his selection over the likes of Pattinson or Starc reduces batting ability of the team. He opens the bowling on every occasion. These are his wickets.

before 12 overs (6 overs Hazlewood)
Jason Roy, 1.3 ov, Joe Root, 9.1 ov, KL Rahul, 1.3 ov, KL Rahul, 5.1 ov, Cheteshwar Pujara, 3.5 ov, KL Rahul, 1.6 ov, Aiden Markram, 3.5 ov, Aiden Markram, 8.6 ov, Hashim Amla, 10.5 ov, Mark Stoneman, 1.5 ov, Alastair Cook, 7.3 ov, James Vince, 10.4 ov, Alastair Cook, 3.3 ov, James Vince, 5.3 ov, Murali Vijay, 10.2 ov, Abhinav Mukund, 10.4 ov, Murali Vijay, 6.5 ov
17  wickets 

Between 12-80 overs
Joe Denly, 31.6 ov, Virat Kohli, 52.5 ov, Rohit Sharma, 22.5 ov, Rishabh Pant, 37.3 ov, Ajinkya Rahane, 34.5 ov, Ajinkya Rahane, 20.2 ov, KL Rahul, 24.2 ov, Hashim Amla, 32.4 ov, Temba Bavuma, 61.1 ov, Dean Elgar, 67.6 ov, Keshav Maharaj, 50.3 ov, Theunis de Bruyn, 42.1 ov, Alastair Cook, 32.3 ov, James Vince, 24.1 ov, James Vince, 25.3 ov, Dawid Malan, 63.2 ov, Jonny Bairstow, 39.1 ov, Craig Overton, 67.5 ov, Joe Root, 64.5 ov, Chris Woakes, 62.2 ov, Joe Root, 40.6 ov, Virat Kohli, 34.2 ov, Ravindra Jadeja, 38.1 ov
23 wickets 

on 18 occassions new ball taken
80-92 overs new ball
Hanuma Vihari, 85.3 ov, Mohammed Shami, 87.6 ov, AB de Villiers, 82.6 ov, Quinton de Kock, 92.4 ov, Jonny Bairstow, 81.4 ov, James Anderson, 88.1 ov, Dawid Malan, 80.2 ov, Cheteshwar Pujara, 85.2 ov, Ravichandran Ashwin, 85.5 ov, Umesh Yadav, 87.3 ov
10 wickets

after 92 overs
Ravindra Jadeja, 169.4 ov, Morne Morkel, 112.2 ov, Keshav Maharaj, 115.4 ov, Tom Curran, 119.3 ov, Chris Woakes, 110.5 ov, Craig Overton, 112.6 ov, Stuart Broad, 116.4 ov, Karun Nair, 107.4 ov
8 wickets

So 23 wickets with an older ball from 36 innings. Gets the new ball after 80 overs every time. After 92 over, the opposition is closing its innings with quick runs, notice nothing between 92-110 overs, every time he gets the new ball.
But from 36 innings he only has taken 17 wickets with the new ball, including 2 from this test. He's really not that effective as a new ball bowler either.


As a comparison look at Cummins, doesn't always get new ball. I'm not going to write all his down just accept these are right.
Pat Cummins 39 innings in total 100 wickets. He's doing his job 25% of wickets available.

Opened the bowling in 12 innings, and on 3 occasions he got the ball before 12 overs.

15 wickets (remember Hazlewood 36 innings for 17 wickets) Cummins is more superior than Hazlewood with the new ball

Between overs 12-80 or after 92 overs, Cummins has rarely if ever taken a wicket between 80-92 overs
12-80 or after 92 overs

85 wickets, Compared to Hazlewood's 31 in total. Who is doing the work?


His opening partner in Starc doesn't do much better than Hazlewood, but there is a discrepency in that Starc does take more with the older ball.

Starc 33 innings 68 wickets 21% of wickets taken (could be better but is acceptable)

With new ball 15 wickets, between 80-92 over 9 wickets

With older ball 12-80 overs 35 wickets, after 92 overs 9 wickets

Starc hasn't played as many games as Hazlewood but has been more effective with the older ball.

So over this period of time of 2 1/2 years, Considering Lyon has taken 127 wickets from 47 innings (27%), the opposition have declared their innings on 8 occasions, in 25 matches Australia have Won 11, Lost 9, Drawn 5. 
Lyon 27% of wickets
Cummins 25 % of wickets
Starc 21 % of wickets 
Hazlewood 16% of wickets
Who is the one letting the side down? Look at their averages and who appears to be leaking the runs? Look at their Strike Rates and who is creating extra work load for the others, leading to injuries?


Wow!

Amazing analysis, Mike!
GO


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