tbitm
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433 wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote: Bernie does very well when he can focus on one state for a long period of time. Probably still won't win either but I'd be laying a bet atm. (in fact I am).
After you put that bet on Bernie, I have a bridge to sell you! Do you not understand what laying a bet is? Worked well for me when he went from paying $7 in Illinois to $2.5. He's paying $6 in New York atm, watch this shorten by the end of the week Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 10:39:18 AM $6 odds mean nothing if you don't win. Hillary is paying $1.10. You can also bet that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee, doesn't mean it is worth betting on. Sanders has only a 9% chance of winning NY. I'd want more than $6 odds! You have no idea what you're talking about. Laying is like putting money in the stock trade. You buy odds when they're better now than you think they will be later and sell them at a profit. Comprendes? Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 12:57:58 PM I'm sceptical about his odds shortening. But you didn't explain that your goal was to sell out of the bet though. I understand what you are saying now. Edited by AzzaMarch: 13/4/2016 02:53:49 PM Laying is a common term for punters. Clearly you are not one. All good mate. Also perhaps naive, but I believe Bernie will hammer Hillary on the Panama papers during the debate which will turn a lot of democrats. Enough to win, probably not. Enough to alter the odds for sure though Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 07:03:03 PM Bernie hasn't hammered her for the emails or her ties to Wall St/political donations. When he even references it in a debate, he backs off and tries to take the high road. I doubt anything will change for the papers. Trump on the other hand will go all in, probably bring up Monica too :lol: Bernie has absolutely hammered her on her Wall st ties, continuously asks her to release the transcripts to her speeches to Wall st banks in which she was paid hundreds of thousands of dollars for, not in campaign funds, straight into her pocket. This message should especially resonate in NY as well as attacking Hillary's support of the Panama free trade deal. The email scandal is a taxpayer attack campaign against her. Tonnes of politicians used their personal emails for work use and they've had several investigations and found nothing. But yes I do see Trump bringing up Monica :lol: Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 08:02:19 PM
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Prosecutor
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tbitm wrote:433 wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote: Bernie does very well when he can focus on one state for a long period of time. Probably still won't win either but I'd be laying a bet atm. (in fact I am).
After you put that bet on Bernie, I have a bridge to sell you! Do you not understand what laying a bet is? Worked well for me when he went from paying $7 in Illinois to $2.5. He's paying $6 in New York atm, watch this shorten by the end of the week Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 10:39:18 AM $6 odds mean nothing if you don't win. Hillary is paying $1.10. You can also bet that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee, doesn't mean it is worth betting on. Sanders has only a 9% chance of winning NY. I'd want more than $6 odds! You have no idea what you're talking about. Laying is like putting money in the stock trade. You buy odds when they're better now than you think they will be later and sell them at a profit. Comprendes? Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 12:57:58 PM I'm sceptical about his odds shortening. But you didn't explain that your goal was to sell out of the bet though. I understand what you are saying now. Edited by AzzaMarch: 13/4/2016 02:53:49 PM Laying is a common term for punters. Clearly you are not one. All good mate. Also perhaps naive, but I believe Bernie will hammer Hillary on the Panama papers during the debate which will turn a lot of democrats. Enough to win, probably not. Enough to alter the odds for sure though Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 07:03:03 PM Bernie hasn't hammered her for the emails or her ties to Wall St/political donations. When he even references it in a debate, he backs off and tries to take the high road. I doubt anything will change for the papers. Trump on the other hand will go all in, probably bring up Monica too :lol: Bernie has absolutely hammered her on her Wall st ties, continuously asks her to release her speeches to Wall st banks in which she was paid hundreds of thousands of dollars for. I especially think in NY this message once repeated at their debate will resonate with democrats as well as attacking Hillary's support of the Panama free trade deal he fought against which this will be the first one. The email scandal is a taxpayer attack campaign against her. Tonnes of politicians used their personal emails for work use and they've had several investigations and found nothing. But yes I do see Trump bringing up Monica :lol: Agree, if Trump gets the nom, he will go scorched earth of Hillary. She has sooo much baggage it's not even funny. She's establishment as it gets and yet she still hasn't put away a 72 year old self confessed socialist.
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adrtho
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tbitm wrote:433 wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote:AzzaMarch wrote:tbitm wrote: Bernie does very well when he can focus on one state for a long period of time. Probably still won't win either but I'd be laying a bet atm. (in fact I am).
After you put that bet on Bernie, I have a bridge to sell you! Do you not understand what laying a bet is? Worked well for me when he went from paying $7 in Illinois to $2.5. He's paying $6 in New York atm, watch this shorten by the end of the week Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 10:39:18 AM $6 odds mean nothing if you don't win. Hillary is paying $1.10. You can also bet that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee, doesn't mean it is worth betting on. Sanders has only a 9% chance of winning NY. I'd want more than $6 odds! You have no idea what you're talking about. Laying is like putting money in the stock trade. You buy odds when they're better now than you think they will be later and sell them at a profit. Comprendes? Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 12:57:58 PM I'm sceptical about his odds shortening. But you didn't explain that your goal was to sell out of the bet though. I understand what you are saying now. Edited by AzzaMarch: 13/4/2016 02:53:49 PM Laying is a common term for punters. Clearly you are not one. All good mate. Also perhaps naive, but I believe Bernie will hammer Hillary on the Panama papers during the debate which will turn a lot of democrats. Enough to win, probably not. Enough to alter the odds for sure though Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 07:03:03 PM Bernie hasn't hammered her for the emails or her ties to Wall St/political donations. When he even references it in a debate, he backs off and tries to take the high road. I doubt anything will change for the papers. Trump on the other hand will go all in, probably bring up Monica too :lol: Bernie has absolutely hammered her on her Wall st ties, continuously asks her to release the transcripts to her speeches to Wall st banks in which she was paid hundreds of thousands of dollars for, not in campaign funds, straight into her pocket. This message should especially resonate in NY as well as attacking Hillary's support of the Panama free trade deal. The email scandal is a taxpayer attack campaign against her. Tonnes of politicians used their personal emails for work use and they've had several investigations and found nothing. But yes I do see Trump bringing up Monica :lol: Edited by tbitm: 13/4/2016 08:02:19 PM yes, because the goal is also about the party winning ..Bernie is a party man, he just on the left of the party Trump (by all the talk) campaign has been very unprofessiona, very disorganized
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AzzaMarch
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11.mvfc.11 wrote:The plot thickens. RNC member: Trump can win with 1,100 delegatesQuote:Republican National Committee member Randy Evans said Wednesday that Donald Trump would likely be able to secure the Republican nomination if he captures anything more than 1,100 delegates, short of the 1,237 delegates needed for a simple majority.
"If Donald Trump exceeds 1,100 votes, he will become the nominee even though he may not have 1,237," Evans said on MSNBC's "Morning Joe."
Evans' comment is good news for Trump if it's a sentiment shared by other RNC members, since Trump is at risk of falling short of a majority of delegates by the time of the convention in July. But Evans also warned that if Trump slips much more, the nomination would likely fall to someone else.
"If he gets less than 1,000 delegates, then I think we're looking at a contested convention that could go on for many, many days," Evans said.
"And then in the middle, there's that grey area between 1,000 and 1,100, and that's where the unbound delegates or the delegates that have been released by other candidates come into play to see if there are enough of those to get either Cruz or Trump over the finish line," he added.
As of this week, Trump leads Cruz in the delegate race 743-545, but he's expected to pick up most of New York's delegates next week, and has polled well in other states whose primaries are approaching. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/rnc-member-trump-can-win-with-1100-delegates/article/2588378 Very interesting article - now we know what the number ranges are. From what I have seen most predictions are that he will end up right around that 1,000 - 1,100 zone.
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adrtho
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AzzaMarch wrote:11.mvfc.11 wrote:The plot thickens. RNC member: Trump can win with 1,100 delegatesQuote:Republican National Committee member Randy Evans said Wednesday that Donald Trump would likely be able to secure the Republican nomination if he captures anything more than 1,100 delegates, short of the 1,237 delegates needed for a simple majority.
"If Donald Trump exceeds 1,100 votes, he will become the nominee even though he may not have 1,237," Evans said on MSNBC's "Morning Joe."
Evans' comment is good news for Trump if it's a sentiment shared by other RNC members, since Trump is at risk of falling short of a majority of delegates by the time of the convention in July. But Evans also warned that if Trump slips much more, the nomination would likely fall to someone else.
"If he gets less than 1,000 delegates, then I think we're looking at a contested convention that could go on for many, many days," Evans said.
"And then in the middle, there's that grey area between 1,000 and 1,100, and that's where the unbound delegates or the delegates that have been released by other candidates come into play to see if there are enough of those to get either Cruz or Trump over the finish line," he added.
As of this week, Trump leads Cruz in the delegate race 743-545, but he's expected to pick up most of New York's delegates next week, and has polled well in other states whose primaries are approaching. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/rnc-member-trump-can-win-with-1100-delegates/article/2588378 Very interesting article - now we know what the number ranges are. From what I have seen most predictions are that he will end up right around that 1,000 - 1,100 zone. that just one guys view that Trump could pick them up....what i read, is how bad Trump is doing in picking them up, and Trump has even lost delegates that was voted to him
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Prosecutor
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Hillary Clinton rakes in Verizon cash from a $225K speech while Bernie Sanders supports company’s striking workers.
Amazing contrast.
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Prosecutor
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11.mvfc.11 wrote: He's got the back of every US citizen, whilst Hillary profits from their demise. One will say anything to get elected, another will say what he thinks is right (even though I dont agree with a lot of it)
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adrtho
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Prosecutor wrote:Hillary Clinton rakes in Verizon cash from a $225K speech while Bernie Sanders supports company’s striking workers.
Amazing contrast. why the fuck would you support lazy cunts on strike?
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marconi101
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Bernie/Shillary debate today was pretty good
He was a man of specific quirks. He believed that all meals should be earned through physical effort. He also contended, zealously like a drunk with a political point, that the third dimension would not be possible if it werent for the existence of water.
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Prosecutor
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marconi101 wrote:Bernie/Shillary debate today was pretty good Yep, I counted at least 4 times that the crowd booed Hillary.
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marconi101
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Prosecutor wrote:marconi101 wrote:Bernie/Shillary debate today was pretty good Yep, I counted at least 4 times that the crowd booed Hillary. The way she dodged question on her Goldman Sachs speech transcripts :oops: There was one moment that summed up Clinton and her fans perfectly for me: she was preaching something and messed up her words when the timer was low, saying something that made no sense and STILL 20% of the crowd cheered despite the fact that she just said complete nervous jibberish
He was a man of specific quirks. He believed that all meals should be earned through physical effort. He also contended, zealously like a drunk with a political point, that the third dimension would not be possible if it werent for the existence of water.
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adrtho
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damonzzzz
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Has 11.MVFC.11 started hanging out with edgy 4channers?
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Prosecutor
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damonzzzz wrote:Has 11.MVFC.11 started hanging out with edgy 4channers? Where else will he find his dank memes
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tsf
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11.mvfc.11 wrote: He's got the back of every US citizen, whilst Hillary profits from their demise. "I'm surprised you found out about it" - well, your PR team did ring the paper Donald.
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Prosecutor
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I'll pile on with the dank memes.  Shamelessly got it from the_donald sub.
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TheDecider
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-is-winning-the-states-that-look-like-the-democratic-party/For those who just can't cope with the fact that Clinton is clearly beating Sanders. I'm sure the usual crowd will still find a way to deny statistical facts though.
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Drunken_Fish
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New York today, should be a big Trump win. Might even get 100% of the 95 delegates, although more likely he will miss out on a few.
I used to be Drunken_Fish
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Prosecutor
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Drunken_Fish wrote:New York today, should be a big Trump win. Might even get 100% of the 95 delegates, although more likely he will miss out on a few. I thought it's winner takes all on the GOP side?
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AzzaMarch
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Prosecutor wrote:Drunken_Fish wrote:New York today, should be a big Trump win. Might even get 100% of the 95 delegates, although more likely he will miss out on a few. I thought it's winner takes all on the GOP side? Not exactly winner take all in NY for the repub primary - its not proportional like the Dem vote. But they allocate some delegates by congressional district, so there may be specific geographical areas where he doesn't get enough of the vote for all the delegates.
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sydneycroatia58
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Trump and Clinton both take New York.
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Drunken_Fish
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Republican New York Primary is winner takes all if winner gets 50% state wide or 50% in each of the 27 congressional districts. Trump looks to be getting 50% is almost all the CDs. It looks like Kasich will get a delegate each of the 10th and 12th CDs. Perhaps another one or two elsewhere but 90+ delegates for Trump is looking almost certain. Edited by Drunken_Fish: 20/4/2016 11:59:36 AM
I used to be Drunken_Fish
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AzzaMarch
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Democratic Primary info from: http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/new-york-primary-presidential-election-2016/?ex_cid=promo_banner"The Democratic exit poll — which has been re-calibrated to reflect Clinton’s larger-than-expected margin of victory — now has her winning 75 percent of the black vote in New York, along with 63 percent of the Hispanic vote. Clinton and Sanders split the white vote in New York almost evenly". "Recently, we’ve seen a slew of national polls showing Clinton and Sanders nearly tied. Those didn’t square in my mind with the statewide polls showing comfortable Clinton leads in states like California, New York and Pennsylvania. Well, it seems in New York that the statewide polls were nearly perfect. Our polling average showed Clinton with a 13.5 percentage point lead. Right now, she’s up 18 percentage points and that should fall a little bit as more of the vote outside the New York City metropolitan area is reported". "Clinton’s chances of becoming the next president are now 71.4 percent, according to Betfair, the highest she’s been at any point of the election cycle". "After tonight, Sanders would have to win California by almost 20 points, and Pennsylvania and New Jersey by around 10 points, to eventually claim the majority of pledged delegates. Even though Sanders has made up ground with Clinton over the course of the campaign, results like those would be quite a shock".
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AzzaMarch
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Info regarding potential presidential match-ups from http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/new-york-primary-presidential-election-2016/?ex_cid=promo_banner"Today’s wins raised Trump’s probability of becoming the Republican nominee and preserved Clinton’s status as odds-on favorite to win the Democratic nomination. That means the probability of a matchup between the two of them in November rose, too. And in polls asking voters nationally about that hypothetical matchup, Clinton consistently is beating Trump, by an average of about 9 points. She has led Trump in each of the last 44 polls compiled by HuffPost Pollster, going back to mid-February. That’s one reason betting markets think the Democratic candidate has about a 74 percent chance of winning the White House. Kasich uses his consistent advantage over Clinton in hypothetical general-election polls to make the case for his nomination. General-election polls don’t tell us much before the candidates are set. They probably tell us more, though, about would-be candidates as well-known nationally as Trump and Clinton than they do about candidates with a lower national profile, like Kasich".
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Drunken_Fish
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89 or 90 delegates for Trump in New York. 5 or 6 to Kasich, 0 to Cruz.
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TheDecider
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11.mvfc.11 wrote:As soon as the media is focussed on Trump vs. Clinton, the people will realise who the real American hero is.
Trump can forget about the Hispanic vote, but I fully expect him to turn around the black vote by highlighting Clinton's white supremacist past. http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/feb/17/central-park-five-donald-trump-jogger-rape-case-new-york
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Joffa
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Donald Trump Could Go to Prison for 3 Years Because of His Plane But of course he won't. By Matt Miller Apr 19, 2016 We all have to deal with bureaucratic annoyances. We pay our taxes, we replace our expired licenses, we register to vote. Even billionaire, curiously-hued presidential candidates do these boring tasks, right? Not if you're Donald Trump. The New York Times reports that Trump's Cessna has been flying all over the campaign trail with an expired registration: Records kept with the Federal Aviation Administration show the aircraft's registration lapsed on Jan. 31. Laura J. Brown, a spokeswoman for the Federal Aviation Administration, confirmed that the plane's registration was not in good standing and said the owner had not renewed it. Think of it this way: you probably don't have your own jet, but if you got pulled over in your car with expired registration, you'd get in trouble! Now, a plane is a far more regulated and intense means of transportation. However, since marginalizing entire races and genders somehow hasn't ended Trump's campaign, flying with an unregistered plane certainly won't. But he could still get in some trouble: The F.A.A. could also fine or assess other penalties against the owner and/or operator; Mr. Trump owns the plane through a limited liability company. Though it is unlikely that the F.A.A. would seek the maximum penalty, flying with no registration could result in a civil penalty of up to $27,500, a criminal fine of up to $250,000 and imprisonment for up to three years, the agency said. http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/news/a44128/donald-trump-plane-not-registered/
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433
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:lol: :lol: :lol: Next up we'll be relying on Salon for our political coverage :lol:
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sydneycroatia58
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433 wrote::lol: :lol: :lol: Next up we'll be relying on Salon for our political coverage :lol: Tbf they are just reporting on the story originally from the NY Times.
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Gayfish
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sydneycroatia58 wrote:433 wrote::lol: :lol: :lol: Next up we'll be relying on Salon for our political coverage :lol: Tbf they are just reporting on the story originally from the NY Times. Are we getting the news from hairdressers?
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