The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese


The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese

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AzzaMarch
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rusty wrote:

The absence of budget emergency talk doesn't mean that one doesn't exist. We might not feel it right now but given the current global economic volatility if there were to be another GFC like event we would certainly feel it. Australia is ranked like #2 most vulnerable to a global economic shock, unlike last time this time we wouldn't have the same leverage to buy ourselves out of recession. Irelands pre GFC net debt to GDP was something like 25% and post GFC shot up over 100%.

The talk of budget emergency was a direct reaction to the sovereign risk Labor has put Australia in with their profligate spending commitments around health, education and disability and falling resources revenue, and the first budget was designed to reign in the deficit and give Australia the same pre GFC capacity to respond to external shocks. Given the political failure of that policy the new government is betting there won't be another GFC in the near future but it they get it wrong we will be up shit creek and could feasibly go the same way as Greece and Ireland or worse. It's not like we can turn to NZ to loan us money in order to pay our debts.

So the budget emergency hasn't gone away, it's still there and the current government is responding to it in a politically palatable way. Labor on the other hand would just continue to increase the deficit and keep on increasing it because their political lives depend on throwing money at health and education and buying votes. The current deficit is directly due to the fall in commodity prices failing to keep pace with Labors extravagant spending commitments around health, education and disability, which obviously Abbott /Hockey tried to fix but their reforms were blocked by the inept senate.


You are so full of it. The issue Australia had under the ALP was a collapse in revenue due to the end of the mining boom. Not "profligate spending". There was a short term increase in spending to prevent us from going into recession because of the GFC. This was excellent policy, which has been called out for praise by such pinko leftist organisations as the IMF and the World Bank.

We do not have a short term budget emergency, we never did. What we do have is a medium-long term structural deficit which could become an issue if it isn't addressed.

The simple fact is, both the ALP and the Libs have made policy changes to address the spending side of things. What is missing are some policies to address the revenue side of things. The Libs have made some good changes re superannuation. But the Negative Gearing issue is the elephant in the room that needs addressing.

Comparing us to Greece (11 million people) and Ireland (4.5 million people) is utterly ridiculous, as our economy, and taxation framework, has nothing in common with either of them. Our net govt debt is less than 20%. We have MASSIVE SCOPE to deal with any future GFC. Countries like Germany have debt levels of 80% of GDP.

You have no idea what you are talking about.
Edited
9 Years Ago by AzzaMarch
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AzzaMarch wrote:
rusty wrote:

The absence of budget emergency talk doesn't mean that one doesn't exist. We might not feel it right now but given the current global economic volatility if there were to be another GFC like event we would certainly feel it. Australia is ranked like #2 most vulnerable to a global economic shock, unlike last time this time we wouldn't have the same leverage to buy ourselves out of recession. Irelands pre GFC net debt to GDP was something like 25% and post GFC shot up over 100%.

The talk of budget emergency was a direct reaction to the sovereign risk Labor has put Australia in with their profligate spending commitments around health, education and disability and falling resources revenue, and the first budget was designed to reign in the deficit and give Australia the same pre GFC capacity to respond to external shocks. Given the political failure of that policy the new government is betting there won't be another GFC in the near future but it they get it wrong we will be up shit creek and could feasibly go the same way as Greece and Ireland or worse. It's not like we can turn to NZ to loan us money in order to pay our debts.

So the budget emergency hasn't gone away, it's still there and the current government is responding to it in a politically palatable way. Labor on the other hand would just continue to increase the deficit and keep on increasing it because their political lives depend on throwing money at health and education and buying votes. The current deficit is directly due to the fall in commodity prices failing to keep pace with Labors extravagant spending commitments around health, education and disability, which obviously Abbott /Hockey tried to fix but their reforms were blocked by the inept senate.


You are so full of it. The issue Australia had under the ALP was a collapse in revenue due to the end of the mining boom. Not "profligate spending". There was a short term increase in spending to prevent us from going into recession because of the GFC. This was excellent policy, which has been called out for praise by such pinko leftist organisations as the IMF and the World Bank.

We do not have a short term budget emergency, we never did. What we do have is a medium-long term structural deficit which could become an issue if it isn't addressed.

The simple fact is, both the ALP and the Libs have made policy changes to address the spending side of things. What is missing are some policies to address the revenue side of things. The Libs have made some good changes re superannuation. But the Negative Gearing issue is the elephant in the room that needs addressing.

Comparing us to Greece (11 million people) and Ireland (4.5 million people) is utterly ridiculous, as our economy, and taxation framework, has nothing in common with either of them. Our net govt debt is less than 20%. We have MASSIVE SCOPE to deal with any future GFC. Countries like Germany have debt levels of 80% of GDP.

You have no idea what you are talking about.

Being in control of our own currency also gives us a much greater ability to manage our debts.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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Clive Palmer made an interesting comment about the budget

How everything is "10 years from now"

Malcolm Turnbull is one of the oldest people to be prime minister in Australia, he doesnt care about now
He will be sipping cocktails in a penthouse overlooking New York somewhere 10 years from now


Who knows what the world is going to be 10 years from now? Its important to worry about the future, but what about now?



Edited
9 Years Ago by Condemned666
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mcjules wrote:
AzzaMarch wrote:
rusty wrote:

The absence of budget emergency talk doesn't mean that one doesn't exist. We might not feel it right now but given the current global economic volatility if there were to be another GFC like event we would certainly feel it. Australia is ranked like #2 most vulnerable to a global economic shock, unlike last time this time we wouldn't have the same leverage to buy ourselves out of recession. Irelands pre GFC net debt to GDP was something like 25% and post GFC shot up over 100%.

The talk of budget emergency was a direct reaction to the sovereign risk Labor has put Australia in with their profligate spending commitments around health, education and disability and falling resources revenue, and the first budget was designed to reign in the deficit and give Australia the same pre GFC capacity to respond to external shocks. Given the political failure of that policy the new government is betting there won't be another GFC in the near future but it they get it wrong we will be up shit creek and could feasibly go the same way as Greece and Ireland or worse. It's not like we can turn to NZ to loan us money in order to pay our debts.

So the budget emergency hasn't gone away, it's still there and the current government is responding to it in a politically palatable way. Labor on the other hand would just continue to increase the deficit and keep on increasing it because their political lives depend on throwing money at health and education and buying votes. The current deficit is directly due to the fall in commodity prices failing to keep pace with Labors extravagant spending commitments around health, education and disability, which obviously Abbott /Hockey tried to fix but their reforms were blocked by the inept senate.


You are so full of it. The issue Australia had under the ALP was a collapse in revenue due to the end of the mining boom. Not "profligate spending". There was a short term increase in spending to prevent us from going into recession because of the GFC. This was excellent policy, which has been called out for praise by such pinko leftist organisations as the IMF and the World Bank.

We do not have a short term budget emergency, we never did. What we do have is a medium-long term structural deficit which could become an issue if it isn't addressed.

The simple fact is, both the ALP and the Libs have made policy changes to address the spending side of things. What is missing are some policies to address the revenue side of things. The Libs have made some good changes re superannuation. But the Negative Gearing issue is the elephant in the room that needs addressing.

Comparing us to Greece (11 million people) and Ireland (4.5 million people) is utterly ridiculous, as our economy, and taxation framework, has nothing in common with either of them. Our net govt debt is less than 20%. We have MASSIVE SCOPE to deal with any future GFC. Countries like Germany have debt levels of 80% of GDP.

You have no idea what you are talking about.

Being in control of our own currency also gives us a much greater ability to manage our debts.


Absolutely. Excellent point!
Edited
9 Years Ago by AzzaMarch
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http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/may/04/youth-intern-scheme-will-exploit-workers-and-replace-real-jobs-say-unions

http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/budget-2016-without-safeguards-internship-program-risks-being-a-jobs-destruction-scheme-20160504-golt8h.html

So these PaTH positions will be for supermarkets, newsagents, cafes,etc ie basic entry level positions. Disgraceful, can see this being heavily exploited. These organisations don't need interns ffs.
Edited
9 Years Ago by Roar_Brisbane
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sydneycroatia58 wrote:
433 wrote:
I rarely agree with Scoll on anything, but you guys are naive morons if you don't see how this "internship"system will be abused.

But yeah sure, keep attacking the lazy stoner art student stereotype :roll:



Edited by 433: 5/5/2016 12:45:03 AM


This :lol: If you think businesses won't sack these people so they can bring in a whole bunch of new free 'interns' you're seriously misguided. Even more so if they work at a supermarket like a Woolworths or Coles, then they will 100% be sacked at the end of the 'internship' just to save some $$$

Edited by sydneycroatia58: 5/5/2016 09:18:40 AM


what rubbish.....sacked experienced skilled people to employ unskilled, inexperienced bludgers......you have to be kidding.....there would be 1% of business willing to take crazy risks like that....](*,) ](*,) ](*,)
Edited
9 Years Ago by batfink
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In Australia poll aggregates 12 months before the election are usually very predictive of the winner - much more than polls during the volatile election season except right at the very end.

This election is interesting because 12 months before the election there was another government. Does the rule of thumb still hold (in which case Labour wins) or did the change of leader make a dramatic change for the coalition

This election actually gives a pretty good test of whether a change of leader can actually help a government

Edited by grazorblade: 5/5/2016 01:36:07 PM
Edited
9 Years Ago by grazorblade
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Roar_Brisbane wrote:
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/may/04/youth-intern-scheme-will-exploit-workers-and-replace-real-jobs-say-unions

http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/budget-2016-without-safeguards-internship-program-risks-being-a-jobs-destruction-scheme-20160504-golt8h.html

So these PaTH positions will be for supermarkets, newsagents, cafes,etc ie basic entry level positions. Disgraceful, can see this being heavily exploited. These organisations don't need interns ffs.


It might happen but I think it would be rare and isolated.

If you're in business, you are not going to dismiss someone you have already trained in order to get someone unskilled and train them all over again.

Usuallu, training someone has a cost as well. Crazy to be doing this over and over.
Edited
9 Years Ago by Aikhme
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batfink wrote:
sydneycroatia58 wrote:
433 wrote:
I rarely agree with Scoll on anything, but you guys are naive morons if you don't see how this "internship"system will be abused.

But yeah sure, keep attacking the lazy stoner art student stereotype :roll:



Edited by 433: 5/5/2016 12:45:03 AM


This :lol: If you think businesses won't sack these people so they can bring in a whole bunch of new free 'interns' you're seriously misguided. Even more so if they work at a supermarket like a Woolworths or Coles, then they will 100% be sacked at the end of the 'internship' just to save some $$$

Edited by sydneycroatia58: 5/5/2016 09:18:40 AM


what rubbish.....sacked experienced skilled people to employ unskilled, inexperienced bludgers......you have to be kidding.....there would be 1% of business willing to take crazy risks like that....](*,) ](*,) ](*,)

Why would businesses take the risk at all? $1k is nothing if you have to have someone train and supervise them.

Either:
1. They'll be stuck doing jobs like sweeping the floor that require basically no training which will give them no useful work experience or skills
2. They're looking for someone anyway so they may as well get $1k out of the government in the process

Neither creates jobs and it will likely ruin the reputation of the program amongst employers destroying its purpose for those that might actually do the right thing.

Offering relevant training and experience to young people is something all of us could get behind, whether this will work or not is highly debatable.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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Aikhme wrote:
Roar_Brisbane wrote:
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/may/04/youth-intern-scheme-will-exploit-workers-and-replace-real-jobs-say-unions

http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/budget-2016-without-safeguards-internship-program-risks-being-a-jobs-destruction-scheme-20160504-golt8h.html

So these PaTH positions will be for supermarkets, newsagents, cafes,etc ie basic entry level positions. Disgraceful, can see this being heavily exploited. These organisations don't need interns ffs.


It might happen but I think it would be rare and isolated.

If you're in business, you are not going to dismiss someone you have already trained in order to get someone unskilled and train them all over again.

Usuallu, training someone has a cost as well. Crazy to be doing this over and over.

I think you are over-exaggerating the training of working in retail & hospo, in most of these organisations it would barely take a day or two to show these people how to use a cash register, interact with customers, stock shelves, etc

Most working in these industries would be 15 to 25 year old on a casual basis anyway, most would have very little work experience anyway. Not to mention these organisations churn threw people all the time.

Not all jobseekers are bludgers anyway, some would already have experience in these industries, some would've completed high school, tafe or uni.

So these organisations have a choice hire a young person who has little to no experience on minimum wage or bring in an intern - where you get cash in the bank and not pay a wage for someone has comparable experience to that other young person.
Edited
9 Years Ago by Roar_Brisbane
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FMD listening to question time is like watching 8 year olds rattling on.

Pyne; MR SPEAKER THE MEMBER FOR LILLY CALLED THE PRIME MINISTER A NAUGHTY WORD11!!!!11!

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

Edited
9 Years Ago by paulbagzFC
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mcjules wrote:
batfink wrote:
sydneycroatia58 wrote:
433 wrote:
I rarely agree with Scoll on anything, but you guys are naive morons if you don't see how this "internship"system will be abused.

But yeah sure, keep attacking the lazy stoner art student stereotype :roll:



Edited by 433: 5/5/2016 12:45:03 AM


This :lol: If you think businesses won't sack these people so they can bring in a whole bunch of new free 'interns' you're seriously misguided. Even more so if they work at a supermarket like a Woolworths or Coles, then they will 100% be sacked at the end of the 'internship' just to save some $$$

Edited by sydneycroatia58: 5/5/2016 09:18:40 AM


what rubbish.....sacked experienced skilled people to employ unskilled, inexperienced bludgers......you have to be kidding.....there would be 1% of business willing to take crazy risks like that....](*,) ](*,) ](*,)

Why would businesses take the risk at all? $1k is nothing if you have to have someone train and supervise them.

Either:
1. They'll be stuck doing jobs like sweeping the floor that require basically no training which will give them no useful work experience or skills
2. They're looking for someone anyway so they may as well get $1k out of the government in the process

Neither creates jobs and it will likely ruin the reputation of the program amongst employers destroying its purpose for those that might actually do the right thing.

Offering relevant training and experience to young people is something all of us could get behind, whether this will work or not is highly debatable.


I think there is more on offer than $1000, i think there are milestone rewards well....................
i can't find decent applicants for electrical apprenticeships.......this year i only put on 1 apprentice as there were insufficient applicants......So many young people these days are so unemployable, due to poor attitude, low drive and motivation, elevated opinions of their worth and capabilities.......very hard to find decent people, very very few know what hard work is....heaps of flakey wimps
Edited
9 Years Ago by batfink
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That could be true, but I'd blame the parents of these kids.


Edited
9 Years Ago by 433
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batfink wrote:

I think there is more on offer than $1000, i think there are milestone rewards well....................
i can't find decent applicants for electrical apprenticeships.......this year i only put on 1 apprentice as there were insufficient applicants......So many young people these days are so unemployable, due to poor attitude, low drive and motivation, elevated opinions of their worth and capabilities.......very hard to find decent people, very very few know what hard work is....heaps of flakey wimps


This is probably because unemployment rates are low, and youth unemployment is below historical average as well. Quality people are hard to find when unemployment rates are low.

What is the point of these silly programs, which are ripe for exploitation? Youth unemployment is around 12%. it was 20% in the 1990s, and averaging 13.5% over the last 40 years.

Edited
9 Years Ago by AzzaMarch
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anyone notice the turnbull gaffe saying that if young people want to buy a house, they should ask their parents for it

:-#
Edited
9 Years Ago by Condemned666
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Mr Shorten budget reply:

Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax
Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax
Edited
9 Years Ago by rusty
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Is that the q and a audience in the gallery?
Edited
9 Years Ago by rusty
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rusty wrote:
Mr Shorten budget reply:

Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax
Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax

But I thought the Abbott/Turnbull government are taxing Australia more than Rudd/Gillard ever did as a proportion of GDP?
Edited
9 Years Ago by imonfourfourtwo
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Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 09:51:22 PM

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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imonfourfourtwo wrote:
rusty wrote:
Mr Shorten budget reply:

Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax
Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax Spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax spend tax

But I thought the Abbott/Turnbull government are taxing Australia more than Rudd/Gillard ever did as a proportion of GDP?


No, that is bracket creep. Spending committments in nominal and real terms made by Rudd/Gillard governments as a % of GDP are far higher under them than under Abbott/Turnbull. NDIS, Medicare, NBN, etc largesse madness. These in things continue to need to be paid for while the resources income continues to fall, hence the continuing fiscal drag of Labors deficits.

Were actually gonna need higher taxes to pay of Labors a
Edited
9 Years Ago by rusty
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mcjules wrote:
Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 09:51:22 PM


Labor are great at making huge policy announcements. I can see people getting excited over Bill Shorten's promises but as always with the Left, the narrative is more important than fact. You can't tax your country to prosperity.

I will be voting for the Liberal Democrats for the Senate and I will be hoping for a second Senator to accompany Leyonhjelm. They seem to be the only party that genuinely aren't afraid to let people live their lives, whether they make good decisions or bad ones, and support most government policies which will reduce spending and reduced taxes.

I will be voting for the Liberals in the House of Reps as they seem to be the lesser of two evils. They have a better understanding of how businesses operate and are better economic managers but you still have to have to deal with their far Right Leaning moral crusading, which tends to bother me less the older I get.
Edited
9 Years Ago by vanlassen
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mcjules wrote:
Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 09:51:22 PM


Oh fuck off.:d Shorten just promised to continue throw buckets of money at every voting segment of the public, women, children, Aborignals, small business, sick, elderly, every single box ticked, every vote paid for with debt. Except corporations and millionaires, who are apparently the arch nememis of the average Australian despite paying most of the taxes and paying the most tax and providing the most jobs. Its pure class war, a deeply unsettling speech by the opposition leader who is sounding very anti business and anti competitive.
Edited
9 Years Ago by rusty
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You know it's election time when resident Liberal shill rusty ramps up his posts. Keep up the FUD guys! :lol:

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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vanlassen wrote:
mcjules wrote:
Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 09:51:22 PM


Labor are great at making huge policy announcements. I can see people getting excited over Bill Shorten's promises but as always with the Left, the narrative is more important than fact. You can't tax your country to prosperity.

I will be voting for the Liberal Democrats for the Senate and I will be hoping for a second Senator to accompany Leyonhjelm. They seem to be the only party that genuinely aren't afraid to let people live their lives, whether they make good decisions or bad ones, and support most government policies which will reduce spending and reduced taxes.

I will be voting for the Liberals in the House of Reps as they seem to be the lesser of two evils. They have a better understanding of how businesses operate and are better economic managers but you still have to have to deal with their far Right Leaning moral crusading, which tends to bother me less the older I get.


So true, the left are easily aroused by a retail speech heavy on rhetoric and moral crusading, but when it comes to the actual implementation and practical effects of their policies usually destruction ensues.
Edited
9 Years Ago by rusty
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Edited
9 Years Ago by paladisious
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vanlassen wrote:
Labor are great at making huge policy announcements. I can see people getting excited over Bill Shorten's promises but as always with the Left, the narrative is more important than fact. You can't tax your country to prosperity.

I didn't see too much that I'd consider huge there. Mostly restoring the stuff that the current government wrecked. Your comments on the purposes of tax don't resonate with me because your ideological point of view is different so let's agree to disagree.

vanlassen wrote:
I will be voting for the Liberal Democrats for the Senate and I will be hoping for a second Senator to accompany Leyonhjelm. They seem to be the only party that genuinely aren't afraid to let people live their lives, whether they make good decisions or bad ones, and support most government policies which will reduce spending and reduced taxes.

I will be voting for the Liberals in the House of Reps as they seem to be the lesser of two evils. They have a better understanding of how businesses operate and are better economic managers but you still have to have to deal with their far Right Leaning moral crusading, which tends to bother me less the older I get.

From your previous posts, the LDP seems like a good fit for you as you seem a lot closer to a true libertarian than rusty is. Disagree completely on the Liberal party being better economic managers, that's the biggest fallacy in Australian politics but they're still a better fit for you so no point trying to change your mind.

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 10:49:47 PM

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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So Shorten delivers a strong budget reply while Turnbull, Morrison & Cormann are struggling to sell their budget, interesting times ahead.

Would be good to see those colleges get the ass though.
Edited
9 Years Ago by Roar_Brisbane
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Roar_Brisbane wrote:
So Shorten delivers a strong budget reply while Turnbull, Morrison & Cormann are struggling to sell their budget, interesting times ahead.

Would be good to see those colleges get the ass though.

It certainly is interesting, did not expect it to be like this 8 months ago. I fully expect the LNP's election campaign strategy will be to smear Shorten and to try and capitalise on the fact that some think it's a bad look to have so many different PMs.

Very hard not to see anything but a big swing to Labor 2pp this election but probably not enough.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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mcjules wrote:
Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!

Edited by mcjules: 5/5/2016 09:51:22 PM


Sarcasm?

I thought it was more of an election pitch than a budget reply.
Edited
9 Years Ago by BETHFC
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BETHFC wrote:
mcjules wrote:
Solid budget reply speech from Shorten. Exciting to hear so many policies coming from an opposition leader leading into an election.

An actual election on policies not personalities. How refreshing!


Sarcasm?

I thought it was more of an election pitch than a budget reply.

No not really. With an election about to be called, was it ever going to be anything else?

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
9 Years Ago by mcjules
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