Olyroos Transfer Speculation Thread


Olyroos Transfer Speculation Thread

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Barca4Life
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I would be shocked if Atkinson doesnt get serious attention from Euro clubs after this, he's been outstanding a shame about the brain fade yellow card which has costed him a suspension in the last game.

I would be funny if Celtic made a move for him given they really need a right back of decent quality....
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Barca4Life - 25 Jul 2021 11:38 PM
I would be shocked if Atkinson doesnt get serious attention from Euro clubs after this, he's been outstanding a shame about the brain fade yellow card which has costed him a suspension in the last game.

I would be funny if Celtic made a move for him given they really need a right back of decent quality....

Any chance a Spanish team could have a look at him after his performance last night?
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How many players got decent offers after the 08 Olympics? I wouldn’t be surprised to see hardly any even if we win a medal such is the prejudice.
Edited
3 Years Ago by Dan_The_Red
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Atkinson is rumored to be going to Belgium after the games 
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Melbcityguy - 26 Jul 2021 8:32 AM
Atkinson is rumored to be going to Belgium after the games 

Which team?
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Dan_The_Red - 26 Jul 2021 7:34 AM
How many players got decent offers after the 08 Olympics? I wouldn’t be surprised to see hardly any even if we win a medal such is the prejudice.

we did slightly worse there to be fair getting only 1 point
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quickflick - 25 Jul 2021 5:26 PM
grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 12:22 AM

So basically aside from Brett Emerton, the best of that bunch played a couple of seasons max in Aus before leaving and were still no older than 20 when they left. Emerton only having just turned 21 when he went Dutch.

Meanwhile, the two most significant players of that generation left without having played a single minute of senior football in Australia; Harry Kewell and Tim Cahill. Lucas Neill also left without a senior game.

From that, my inference is that talented young footballers should be well gone from Australian shores before the age of 21 if they wish to become a notable player in the big 4-5 leagues. If they wish to become world-class, then they need to leave in their teens.

The technical quality gap (however small) between Australian footballers and European footballers only increases from the early teenage years. By the age of 21, that gap is a gulf. It's necessary to be competing at the highest level possible as young as possible. This is no different in any other sport. World-class youth footballers aren't exactly flocking to Australia to develop their footballing skills.

Not necessarily true, if you look at how many of our players who have left before 21 and had to come back vs those who left before 21 and succeeded, we have only had a handful of players leave before 21 and do well in a top league.

Its why the studies have all identified you are better off staying and actually playing to develop. I agree, we should stop considering 21 young (in Europe they dont), and start playing players at 17-18, so by the time they are 20-21 they can head to Europe and actually play to finish their development.

We really need to start looking at Europe as a finishing school as opposed to a main development tool. Which is what most successful countries actually do, Croatia, Brazil, Argentina, Belgium, etc. They develop players in their own leagues and give them game time then they move to a bigger league once their current league cannot develop them any more. There is nothing wrong with the talent we have, their main barrier is lack of game time which hurts their development




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jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 9:47 AM
quickflick - 25 Jul 2021 5:26 PM

Not necessarily true, if you look at how many of our players who have left before 21 and had to come back vs those who left before 21 and succeeded, we have only had a handful of players leave before 21 and do well in a top league.

Its why the studies have all identified you are better off staying and actually playing to develop. I agree, we should stop considering 21 young (in Europe they dont), and start playing players at 17-18, so by the time they are 20-21 they can head to Europe and actually play to finish their development.

We really need to start looking at Europe as a finishing school as opposed to a main development tool. Which is what most successful countries actually do, Croatia, Brazil, Argentina, Belgium, etc. They develop players in their own leagues and give them game time then they move to a bigger league once their current league cannot develop them any more. There is nothing wrong with the talent we have, their main barrier is lack of game time which hurts their development



yeah agreed, and probably even back then most players who left early probably flopped though i don't have stats. It's not our weaker players who flop after leaving early, its our best, think as recently as pasquali. Contrast that to mooy who was solid for a while but then tore it up two years in a row and did really well in the premier league. 

Also the causality is backwards. Players who played here and made it in both generations, left at whatever age they had established themselves here. If it's a young age you are dominating the domestic league then you have a chance. But if you aren't dominating the domestic league at a young age, you won't do your career favours with a kamikaze move

Also, you don't just ruin your career, you weaken the a league from your absence. If all the people who left too young stayed here until they established themselves the a league is a heck of a lot stronger. A stronger a league also means there is less reason to move, so leaking out best youth to kamikaze moves becomes a vicious cycle
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on 21 not being young, in australia its young in terms of game experience

we just have less teams and a shorter season so our best get to 100 games a season or 2 later than other countries
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grazorblade - 26 Jul 2021 10:38 AM
on 21 not being young, in australia its young in terms of game experience

we just have less teams and a shorter season so our best get to 100 games a season or 2 later than other countries

Yep and thats why we need to change the conversation. 21 should be seen as not young, which would encourage us to give younger players ago.

Agree we do need to lengthen the season. A 16 team league would mean 30 games per season, add in finals and FFA cup on average you could bump it to on average to say 35 which would mean in 2.5 - 3 seasons our players will be at the 100 game mark give or take. If a player is 17-18 when starting that takes them to 20-21 which is a good age to go to Europe. You also as you say need to be dominating the league. 

Arzani is a great example of a player who was dominating and then left too early. 

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jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 1:21 PM
grazorblade - 26 Jul 2021 10:38 AM

Yep and thats why we need to change the conversation. 21 should be seen as not young, which would encourage us to give younger players ago.

Agree we do need to lengthen the season. A 16 team league would mean 30 games per season, add in finals and FFA cup on average you could bump it to on average to say 35 which would mean in 2.5 - 3 seasons our players will be at the 100 game mark give or take. If a player is 17-18 when starting that takes them to 20-21 which is a good age to go to Europe. You also as you say need to be dominating the league. 

Arzani is a great example of a player who was dominating and then left too early. 

yeah an extra half dozen games a year shortens the time needed here for our best players by a full season and gives them a chance to become world class overseas


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Is this just some random post where people wildly speculate about where they'd like to see players sign, and if so what's the point?
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Atkinson would be the one, wasn't able to get forward much last night but defensively superb against Puado then Gil. Both established La Liga players.

Sociedad look short a RB haha..
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3 Years Ago by jas88
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I think Deng has shown himself to be the equal of Souttar, who plays in the Championship. He could play there, or Holland, Belgium, Buli.2, Switzerland etc. 

That being said, Japan seems to be working out pretty well for him. Almost all our players who go over there end up improving.

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Aljay - 26 Jul 2021 2:53 PM
I think Deng has shown himself to be the equal of Souttar, who plays in the Championship. He could play there, or Holland, Belgium, Buli.2, Switzerland etc. 

That being said, Japan seems to be working out pretty well for him. Almost all our players who go over there end up improving.

Deng has hardly played this season. Desperately needs a move.
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kaufusi - 26 Jul 2021 2:26 PM
Is this just some random post where people wildly speculate about where they'd like to see players sign, and if so what's the point?

Yes its called a bit of fun... gotta do something in lockdown
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jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 1:21 PM
grazorblade - 26 Jul 2021 10:38 AM


Arzani is a great example of a player who was dominating and then left too early. 

He didn't even dominate though did he?
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talk about sugar coating a player.


Love Football

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tsf - 26 Jul 2021 3:52 PM
jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 1:21 PM

He didn't even dominate though did he?

he did in 1v1s but not assists and goals

similar to rogic when he left

probably would have been ok if he didn't do an acl, but it does make a setback like this harder to overcome
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grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 8:24 AM
Bunch of Hacks - 25 Jul 2021 2:03 AM

those are the outliers and only aloisi has a comparable number of games to arzani and tillio. The average number of domestic games here for both recent and GG players was around 70-80 games. We've seen most of our best leave too early and amount to nothing. The players who did make it weren't necessarily the best, but seemed to make the right career choices. There was probably a bunch of wasted talent around then as well who left too early

I agree it would be nice to have players get more games at a younger age. Hopefully a 2nd division will help that

Fair enough but again you're not mentioning that the GG and 97/01 generation were all exposed to senior football at a much younger age than the current gen. They might be leaving with same amount of games but they are older now, 20 21 wheras the generations I talk about above were leaving at 17 18 as the players now are exposed later. Addionally players leave now and come back. Before they'd  leave and not come back which expanded our national playing pool 
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grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 12:22 AM
Bunch of Hacks - 24 Jul 2021 9:55 PM

Actually the vast majority of the golden gen established themselves here before moving overeas
Here is the oz domestic games before transferring for those who started here

Emerton: 94
Chipperfield: 134
Viduka: 48
Bresciano: 37
Aloisi: 21
Culina: 53
Vince Grella: 53
Schwarzer: 58
Vidmar: 134
Skoko: 32
popovic: 167
sterjovski: 73
lazaridis: 101

Compare to recent aussie players who made it at a high level and started here  (ucl or big 5) 
Jedinak: 137
Mooyzil: 102
leckie: 35 
kruse: 59
rogic: 32 (including loan spell)
Matt ryan: 80
Mabil: 61


More important than number of games of course is whether you are dominating the domestic league. At least 4 turnovers per game for a defender and at least 1 goal scorer point per 2 games for an attacker. Arzani probably would have made it if he didn't do his knee, now it is very tricky to come back because he doesn't have a wealth of experience to draw on. Many of these olyroos players simply need to get more experience before going over

Im going to disagree that our squad is lacking the existing experience to takes offers o/s.  the issue is more the steep step up in intensity of the comps (and their training and schedules) between the a league and european leagues (as demonstrated by the high injury rate of of players headed o/s) 

And for some perspective - they are generally in the mid range of the examples listed above..

Tom Glover 42 Club 18 Caps
Nathaniel Aktinson 71 Club 23 NPL 6 Caps
Kye Rowles 81 Club  8 NPL/COE 16 Caps
Jay Rich 29 (English lower leagues) 5 Caps
Harry Souttar 98 Club 14 Caps
Keanu Bacchus 86 32 NPL 18 Caps
Reno Piscopo 88 Club 25 Caps
Riley McGree 84 Club 14 Caps
Nich D'Agostino 63 Club 11 Caps
Denis Genreau 44 Club 44 NPL 9 Caps
Arzani 39 Club 20 COE 6 NPL 20 Caps
Dylan Pieras 50 Club 37 NPL 16 Caps
Thomas Deng 90 Club 43 NPL and Jong PSV 22 Caps
Caleb Watts 3 Club (EPL) 12 Caps
Joel King 55 Club 27 NPL 29 COE 2 Caps
Connor Metcalfe 41 Club 29 NPL 9 Caps
Ashley Brewer 28 English Lower Leagues 2 Caps
Marco Messi Tilio 25 Club 16 NPL 12 Caps
Lachy Wales 88 Club 52 NPL 4 Caps
Devlin 51 Club 48 NPL 3 Caps
Jordan Holmes 34 UK lower leagues 12 Caps









 




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Barca4Life - 25 Jul 2021 11:38 PM
I would be shocked if Atkinson doesnt get serious attention from Euro clubs after this, he's been outstanding a shame about the brain fade yellow card which has costed him a suspension in the last game.

I would be funny if Celtic made a move for him given they really need a right back of decent quality....

imo atkinson is as good as someone like zinchenko at man city

problem with celtic in uk is that the visa requires he plays a certain% of NT games in the previous year - its either 60 or 70 % for us depending on where we are on the world rakings (less percentage for higher ranks countries - i think top 10 only need 20%) elsewhere in england the homegrown rule makes local prospects more enticing - same as our foreign player caps.  unless of course he can get or has a euro/uk visa.





 




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quickflick - 25 Jul 2021 5:26 PM
grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 12:22 AM

So basically aside from Brett Emerton, the best of that bunch played a couple of seasons max in Aus before leaving and were still no older than 20 when they left. Emerton only having just turned 21 when he went Dutch.

Meanwhile, the two most significant players of that generation left without having played a single minute of senior football in Australia; Harry Kewell and Tim Cahill. Lucas Neill also left without a senior game.

From that, my inference is that talented young footballers should be well gone from Australian shores before the age of 21 if they wish to become a notable player in the big 4-5 leagues. If they wish to become world-class, then they need to leave in their teens.

The technical quality gap (however small) between Australian footballers and European footballers only increases from the early teenage years. By the age of 21, that gap is a gulf. It's necessary to be competing at the highest level possible as young as possible. This is no different in any other sport. World-class youth footballers aren't exactly flocking to Australia to develop their footballing skills.

Agree with this. And also the more players who leave early the more spots it opens up for other young players 
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jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 1:21 PM
grazorblade - 26 Jul 2021 10:38 AM

Yep and thats why we need to change the conversation. 21 should be seen as not young, which would encourage us to give younger players ago.

Agree we do need to lengthen the season. A 16 team league would mean 30 games per season, add in finals and FFA cup on average you could bump it to on average to say 35 which would mean in 2.5 - 3 seasons our players will be at the 100 game mark give or take. If a player is 17-18 when starting that takes them to 20-21 which is a good age to go to Europe. You also as you say need to be dominating the league. 

Arzani is a great example of a player who was dominating and then left too early. 

Arzani left too early?! Mate the guy did an acl ! 

Before that starred in the celtic reserve side and should have had an assist with his first touch (think it was leigh Griffiths who fluffed the shot). Was absolutely tearing it up for the 15 mins he was on in that game like he did at the world cup before his knee collapsed. 

Had that not have happened he was primed to cement his spot and kick on. 
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inala brah - 26 Jul 2021 7:14 PM
grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 12:22 AM

Im going to disagree that our squad is lacking the existing experience to takes offers o/s.  the issue is more the steep step up in intensity of the comps (and their training and schedules) between the a league and european leagues (as demonstrated by the high injury rate of of players headed o/s) 

And for some perspective - they are generally in the mid range of the examples listed above..

Tom Glover 42 Club 18 Caps
Nathaniel Aktinson 71 Club 23 NPL 6 Caps
Kye Rowles 81 Club  8 NPL/COE 16 Caps
Jay Rich 29 (English lower leagues) 5 Caps
Harry Souttar 98 Club 14 Caps
Keanu Bacchus 86 32 NPL 18 Caps
Reno Piscopo 88 Club 25 Caps
Riley McGree 84 Club 14 Caps
Nich D'Agostino 63 Club 11 Caps
Denis Genreau 44 Club 44 NPL 9 Caps
Arzani 39 Club 20 COE 6 NPL 20 Caps
Dylan Pieras 50 Club 37 NPL 16 Caps
Thomas Deng 90 Club 43 NPL and Jong PSV 22 Caps
Caleb Watts 3 Club (EPL) 12 Caps
Joel King 55 Club 27 NPL 29 COE 2 Caps
Connor Metcalfe 41 Club 29 NPL 9 Caps
Ashley Brewer 28 English Lower Leagues 2 Caps
Marco Messi Tilio 25 Club 16 NPL 12 Caps
Lachy Wales 88 Club 52 NPL 4 Caps
Devlin 51 Club 48 NPL 3 Caps
Jordan Holmes 34 UK lower leagues 12 Caps








yeah fair point, covid and better youth helped the players a ton

Some of them look more ready than others going by stats, which of course don't show everything

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eqQLMuqS8RXhyNtfpL-PgSPIXXiQDdNZiNoyB0p5k6k/edit?usp=sharing

Daggers and atkinson haven't gotten as much game time as their stats would warrent

I suspect devlin and baccus could walk into the starting eleven of a buli 2 or a championship side
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Bunch of Hacks - 26 Jul 2021 6:28 PM
grazorblade - 25 Jul 2021 8:24 AM

Fair enough but again you're not mentioning that the GG and 97/01 generation were all exposed to senior football at a much younger age than the current gen. They might be leaving with same amount of games but they are older now, 20 21 wheras the generations I talk about above were leaving at 17 18 as the players now are exposed later. Addionally players leave now and come back. Before they'd  leave and not come back which expanded our national playing pool 

Yeah the GG dominated the domestic league before leaving at a younger age. So part of it is more opportunities and part of it is they still we just a fraction better. This generation has appeared to catch up to that generation quite a bit going by a league stats

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eqQLMuqS8RXhyNtfpL-PgSPIXXiQDdNZiNoyB0p5k6k/edit?usp=sharing
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not sure its just about dominating... Maclaren been banging inn 20 goals a season since he was 21/22 but couldn't make it overseas.

I think its a mentality issue, the guys stronger mentally make it like Mabil, Leckie, etc. Then you have Arzani who thrives on self confidence when its low he's horrid.
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3 Years Ago by jas88
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jas88 - 27 Jul 2021 12:05 PM
not sure its just about dominating... Maclaren been banging inn 20 goals a season since he was 21/22 but couldn't make it overseas.

I think its a mentality issue, the guys stronger mentally make it like Mabil, Leckie, etc. Then you have Arzani who thrives on self confidence when its low he's horrid.

it is very difficult thriving overseas, particularly if there is a language barrier

not many can do it, which is why you need a strong domestic league if you ever really want to be world class

Actually even south america hasn't won a world cup in around 20 years now. Football has basically become a domestic league arms race
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Bunch of Hacks - 27 Jul 2021 12:33 AM
jaymz - 26 Jul 2021 1:21 PM

Arzani left too early?! Mate the guy did an acl ! 

Before that starred in the celtic reserve side and should have had an assist with his first touch (think it was leigh Griffiths who fluffed the shot). Was absolutely tearing it up for the 15 mins he was on in that game like he did at the world cup before his knee collapsed. 

Had that not have happened he was primed to cement his spot and kick on. 

So you are basing the fact that he played well for a reserve team (which heaps of aussie players do) and 15 good minutes and then got injured as a success. I mean Brilliante played two games for Fiorentina after a great pre season and he hasnt had a successful Euro career. 

Also since his return from injury he has had about 3 clubs in 12 months which tells me that injury or not he left too early as he doesn't have the experience to draw on. He has been back from injury for over 12 months so the effects of the injury should be well behind him and i dont think its an excuse for him not playing anymore tbh. Plenty of players have ACL injuries and come back and actually play, but they have experience to draw on. 

Dont get me wrong he is a great player and still has potential to be a success in Europe, but it will be a lot harder for him now as he needs to take a drop in standard of the league he goes to just to get game time. So far Netherlands and Denmark have not worked out so he needs to consider a smaller team in those leagues, or a smaller league where he will play (like croatia). That is of course unless he finds a coach who knows him and will give him opportunity like Ange, or Bert, etc

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add in Belguim or more so Portugal - < good level and punching above their weight player wise.
More Aussie managers should be networking there for their players.


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