You can see a comparison of all the major ranking methodologies on http://wc14.com.au/ homepage as the tournament progresses. Goldman Sachs Statistical Model William Hill Starting Odds FiveThirtyEight's World Cup Predictions (SPI) World Football ELO Ratings WC'14 Average Player Rankings Countries ranked by population (thrown in there as a random benchmark) FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking For completeness, here are the final average rankings for my website (we had 473 people sign up in the end) Rank Team WC'14 Average Rank 1 Brazil 2.29 2 Spain 3.39 3 Germany 3.66 4 Argentina 4.06 5 Portugal 7.64 6 Italy 9.07 7 Uruguay 9.37 8 France 10.00 9 England 10.60 10 Colombia 10.65 11 Belgium 10.75 12 Netherlands 11.26 13 Switzerland 14.30 14 Chile 14.99 15 Russia 16.66 16 Croatia 17.28 17 Mexico 17.43 18 Côte d'Ivoire 18.10 19 United States 19.17 20 Greece 19.21 21 Bosnia and Herzegovina 19.90 22 Ecuador 20.02 23 Japan 22.11 24 Nigeria 22.58 25 Ghana 23.26 26 Algeria 23.84 27 Korea Republic 24.79 28 Cameroon 25.52 29 Costa Rica 25.78 30 Australia 26.95 31 Honduras 27.07 32 Iran 28.13 On Average WC'14 Users think the first goal would be scored at the 28th Minute (It was actually the 11th minute) On Average WC'14 Users think there will be 123 goals scored in the tournament.
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