the fbi statement probably cost the dems the senate and may make the popular vote victory as narrow as 2012 unless polls move today
Rasmussen today was a very good poll for clinton considering they have a whopping 8 point house effect to R
By contrast the ABC poll today was a disaster for dems
I've never seen this much noise in usa polls

As of Monday afternoon that included about 1,510,00 Republicans, 1,501,000 Democrats and 721,000 Floridians registered to neither major party

Florida early voting


As of Monday in Colorado, Democrats are leading Republicans 331,153 to 300,275 in ballots cast, while unaffiliated voters have submitted 223,540 ballots.


Iowa’s early returns are a mixed bag. More than 400,000 Iowans have voted early; 43.9 percent of them are registered Democrats, 34.3 percent are registered Republicans, and the rest are listed as “no party” or “other.” Additionally, 

Wanna put a bet on that loooooooooooooooooooool

-PB

Donald Trump ahead in one poll now, welcome to the Revolution! 

http://news.sky.com/story/trump-claims-momentum-as-he-takes-lead-in-presidential-poll-10641469

Good momentum for Trump.

Nate Silver has it at a 30% chance for Trump currently. In order for him to win he must win North Carolina, and Florida, as well as one of Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin.

Depending on what you read it looks like Trump should win Florida, and North Carolina which means that the end result of this election is likely going to be incredibly close. I'd be surprised if by Election day most aggregators and predictors aren't putting it close to a 50/50 split.  

yes, but 538 (Nate Silver) says that Clinton look to have won Nevada (after more the 50% of voting done already)  that give Trump only about 9% chance

Trump most win Nevada, Florida, North Carolina,Iowa, Ohio....then Trump must win one of Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin....but as Trump look to have lost Nevada, now Trump must win Florida, North Carolina,Iowa, Ohio, and two of Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

Where does Nate say that Clinton has won Nevada? http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/ shows that 57.3% Clinton 42.7% Trump. He doesn't need Nevada to win, as long as he gets Florida, NC, Iowa and Ohio and any one of Colorado, Penn, Mich or Wisconsin. Nevada is only 6 EV so it's not actually crucial.

As I said before, the election comes down to whether he can win one of Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. Even without Nevada he only needs one of them, and without one of them he can't win.

media like to make this look close,     using words like must win states......

if Clinton wins Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan  Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Maine (state), She wins, it doesn't matter what happens in Nevada, Florida, North Carolina,Iowa, Ohio, Arizona

This is almost exactly what I said...

1st week early voting Nevada
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4543

2nd week early voting so far Nevada
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555

538 talking about early voting in Nevada, Unless there are seriously strange voting patterns going on, this is just about over here for Trump.” If it is over for Trump in Nevada, he loses six electoral votes in a race he probably can’t afford to lose.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-early-vote-in-nevada-suggests-clinton-might-beat-her-polls-there/

If Clinton has won  Nevada, then she can still lose Colorado and win....as Colorado has had less Poll margin in Clinton favor (+3%), and was more likely to swing., other states are not going to swing 5% to 7% if  Clinton is winning in Nevada at same margin as 2012

Trump not swing 5% to 7% to be able to do it

Arizona only a 1.5% for Trump ,  Michigan +7% to Clinton , Trump not swing those states, 

Breaking: 28% of #Florida Republican early voting went for @HillaryClinton

I have no idea if that true,  and that number look to be way, way to high

That accounts for 99.9% of your posts.

Gotta remind yourself of you're talking to lol



-PB

If thats the case then hillary will win by double figures and repubs will probably split their ticket and have a better chance of winning the house/senate

polls have been all over the place this cycle.

Looks like Hilary could be indicted, big trouble coming for Clinton.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/11/02/fbi_sources_tell_fox_news_indictment_likely_in_clinton_foundation_case.html

Juicy news.

"FBI sources say with 99% accuracy that Hillary Clinton's server has been hacked by at least five foreign intelligence agencies, and that information had been taken from it."

no

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  5h5 hours ago
Jon Ralston Retweeted Sorceror43Wow. Dems win big today in Clark, nearly 5,000-voter edge. Was 4,000 on this day in 2012. Clark firewall now at 55,000.


Clark  is Las Vegas,  


in North Carolina  , women are 55% of the early voting Men 45%......I just don't see how Trump is winning with all those women votes 

if clinton gets indicted after the election its no biggie, Tim Kaine might be better anyway

I don't even really know anything about the VPs for both candidates, so she gets jailed and the VP steps in. Feels like an episode of House of Cards :laugh:

It's Fox News.

Every other credible outlet (even the Republican-leaning Wall Street Journal) is calling these "sources" out for the bullshit artists they are. It's just a few disgruntled, low-level FBI employees annoyed at the reluctance of their bosses to use the FBI as a tool to smear Clinton.

There's nothing to it.

The 30 people that came to his rally would be pretty stoked.

What a man.

yeh, it just policies, Trump got to face court in a civil lawsuit on rape, the media has left this rape story alone 

the biggest new is,  if this new poll done on Rep who have voted early in Florida,  this poll says 28% of Rep have voted Dem, the poll only had 300 something Rep vho have voted early,   but even if it 20% Rep have voted Dem

Probably because it is bullshit with no credible facts. The fact is Hilary Clinton even if she gets in will be kicked out later on as this email scandal will never go away.

You don't seem to understand American politics.

Short of Clinton being caught drowning puppies on video, the prospect of her being impeached once in office is virtually zero. 

If Trump's elected I doubt he'd be impeached either, but Republicans in Congress actually have some motive for that to happen, so it's more likely.

I think Trump is horrible, but I almost want him to win just for the daily entertainment

I obviously don't want him to win, but the one good that will come out of him becoming President (if that happens) is we'll be in for a spectacular four years.

Will be very enjoyable to wash him crash and burn.

oh,  you know for a fact that Hilary Clinton  will be strip of US president  :laugh:      it just politics, the email scandal will go away and be replaces by something else