Victardy
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 657,
Visits: 0
|
Moralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty.
I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again.
I'd wager that on the balance of probabilities, lockdowns have done more damage to Australia and Australians than covid would have, what hard evidence do we have that lockdowns have had a lesser toll than the virus? Irreperable social, psychological and economic abuse has been enacted on all of us.
Anyway obviously too few of us went today, our message is muddled and misrepresented. I want my freedom and autonomy back. I'm not going to act like a dickhead, I didn't before and I won't now. I do want to be able to work and continue to support my community, simple things I've been denied by my government for our benefit.
If that's too much, then I guess I don't belong.
|
|
|
|
sydneyfc1987
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 10K,
Visits: 0
|
+x+x+xThing is, people can look at the data presented there in Media Watch and immediately see the errors or omissions in the clips of Jones and Kelly discussing the topic. But likewise, they can also see the footage that goes for the first 90 seconds or so of that clip and straight away identify the obvious fear-mongering going on. The irony is that this is presented to counter the narrative presented by the likes of Jones etc. and remind us to be very afraid, yet they are contrasting actual footage of a middle aged man clearly above the healthy weight range with an actor appearing in a government-funded commercial that has the same worst-case-scenario-ramped-up-to-11 spin we used to see in those anti-drug commercials 15 or 20 years ago. I'd argue this is where the majority of people are right now and it doesn't make them a boot-licking authoritarian anymore than it makes them a Byron Bay dweller who's been distributing their anti-vaccine leaflets from The Stoop since the trains still ran there. I'm not a fan of the ad at all. It's actually sort of patronising given the actress (in her 20s or 30s) in real life probably wouldn't have even been given the opportunity to get vaccinated yet. As for the hospital footage I don't see any difference to road-safety campaigns etc. Is that "fear mongering" because 99.99% you arrive safely at your destination even if you were speeding or drinking? In the context it was presented in (in that media watch clip) it was presented as if to say "Look at stupid Coach Cottager (TM) saying COVID isn't dangerous and serious- here is the reality!" When any idiot can see the patient "proving" their argument isn't exactly a John Everyman. Gladys saying "You could wake up in the morning perfectly fine and end the day in ICU" (or words to that effect) is another example of this alarmism. Well he is "Joe everyman" mate. He's 50, overweight without being genuinely fat or obese. He probably represents a significant proportion of the general population.
(VAR) IS NAVY BLUE
|
|
|
sydneyfc1987
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 10K,
Visits: 0
|
+xMoralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty. I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again. You don't think having over 60% of the adult population fully vaccinated has something to do with that? We're at what, 15% Fact is if we just open up we will end up like India a few months ago. How do you not see that? I'm angry too. I'm fucking pissed off the federal government has failed us with the vaccine rollout. Fact is we shouldn't have to be in lockdown right now. But there is a way to go about it without putting yourself or your family in harms way.
(VAR) IS NAVY BLUE
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
Protesting is just fucking stupid and the only difference it makes is a negative one. It is nothing but selfish, destructive and detrimental
If somebody doesnt like lockdown then there are proper and legal avenues to go through like with everything else in life
I dont like masks (people may not have noticed) but I still wear them and still obey the rules because any success in this outbreak requires us all doing as instructed and all being on the same page. The viral activity we are seeing is the literal result of people deciding to do different. Whatever the response teams have decided, thats the path way out. Nothing more. No matter how popular, no matter how rational, following those instructions is the only way to get things back on track
I come on here to vent and release energy and thats my way of dealing with the mental stress and anguish. Its like going into a dark cave and yelling as loud as I can. There are numbers people can ring and services people can access to help what is a difficult and unprecedented time
What an embarrassment
|
|
|
paladisious
|
|
Group: Moderators
Posts: 39K,
Visits: 0
|
11 cases in Victoria today but they were all in iso, which really makes me optimistic of our chances of being out of lockdown Tuesday if not for that idiotic protest.
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
I think the NSW, Vic and QLD response teams will be well within their right to declare the protest sites as an exposure site and force all those who attended into a mandatory 14 day quarantine period with a test required by the 3rd day
That way we'll know for sure
|
|
|
Captain Haddock
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.3K,
Visits: 0
|
+x+x+x+xThing is, people can look at the data presented there in Media Watch and immediately see the errors or omissions in the clips of Jones and Kelly discussing the topic. But likewise, they can also see the footage that goes for the first 90 seconds or so of that clip and straight away identify the obvious fear-mongering going on. The irony is that this is presented to counter the narrative presented by the likes of Jones etc. and remind us to be very afraid, yet they are contrasting actual footage of a middle aged man clearly above the healthy weight range with an actor appearing in a government-funded commercial that has the same worst-case-scenario-ramped-up-to-11 spin we used to see in those anti-drug commercials 15 or 20 years ago. I'd argue this is where the majority of people are right now and it doesn't make them a boot-licking authoritarian anymore than it makes them a Byron Bay dweller who's been distributing their anti-vaccine leaflets from The Stoop since the trains still ran there. I'm not a fan of the ad at all. It's actually sort of patronising given the actress (in her 20s or 30s) in real life probably wouldn't have even been given the opportunity to get vaccinated yet. As for the hospital footage I don't see any difference to road-safety campaigns etc. Is that "fear mongering" because 99.99% you arrive safely at your destination even if you were speeding or drinking? In the context it was presented in (in that media watch clip) it was presented as if to say "Look at stupid Coach Cottager (TM) saying COVID isn't dangerous and serious- here is the reality!" When any idiot can see the patient "proving" their argument isn't exactly a John Everyman. Gladys saying "You could wake up in the morning perfectly fine and end the day in ICU" (or words to that effect) is another example of this alarmism. Well he is "Joe everyman" mate. He's 50, overweight without being genuinely fat or obese. He probably represents a significant proportion of the general population. Statistically, I disagree that he represents the "Joe everyman". If somebody like that is the norm in this country then (virus or not) that's a sad indictment on the state of our nation's health.
There are only two intellectually honest debate tactics: (a) pointing out errors or omissions in your opponent’s facts, or (b) pointing out errors or omissions in your opponent’s logic. All other debate tactics are intellectually dishonest - John T. Reed
The Most Popular Presidential Candidate Of All Time (TM) cant go to a sports stadium in the country he presides over. Figure that one out...
|
|
|
Captain Haddock
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.3K,
Visits: 0
|
+xProtesting is just fucking stupid and the only difference it makes is a negative one. It is nothing but selfish, destructive and detrimental If somebody doesnt like lockdown then there are proper and legal avenues to go through like with everything else in life I dont like masks (people may not have noticed) but I still wear them and still obey the rules because any success in this outbreak requires us all doing as instructed and all being on the same page. The viral activity we are seeing is the literal result of people deciding to do different. Whatever the response teams have decided, thats the path way out. Nothing more. No matter how popular, no matter how rational, following those instructions is the only way to get things back on track I come on here to vent and release energy and thats my way of dealing with the mental stress and anguish. Its like going into a dark cave and yelling as loud as I can. There are numbers people can ring and services people can access to help what is a difficult and unprecedented time What an embarrassment I understand where you're coming from. At the same time, yesterday didn't happen in a vacuum. Granted you have the anti-vax/ alternative crowd who saw yesterday as their time to shine, but there's also a lot of people who are genuinely pushed to the edge at the moment- financially, emotionally, mentally. In NSW at least, they are not being presented with any clear, tangible incentive for "doing the right thing" beyond an indefinite lockdown and accepting whatever crumbs from the table are given to them. Without a tangible point of end (or at least re-consideration) then the spectre of being locked down indefinitely- but for longer- just isn't enough of a deterrent for many. Yesterday was an eye-opener for other reasons, especially on s/m. I saw people calling for the military to come in and shoot the protestors. I saw others boasting about how they were going through footage of the Sydney/ Melbourne protests, screenshooting evidence and reporting names to the police. You might disagree with the protests or with the arguments of the protestors themselves- I've been in both camps with a number of protests over the years- but snitching on your fellow citizens like a good citizen begging for Social Credit Points (TM) or calling for your fellow countrymen/ women to be shot because you disagree with them makes you a garbage human being. People like that are the kind of people who would happily turn on you one day if you dared express a view they disapproved of and any wise person does well to give such people as wide a berth as possible.
There are only two intellectually honest debate tactics: (a) pointing out errors or omissions in your opponent’s facts, or (b) pointing out errors or omissions in your opponent’s logic. All other debate tactics are intellectually dishonest - John T. Reed
The Most Popular Presidential Candidate Of All Time (TM) cant go to a sports stadium in the country he presides over. Figure that one out...
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
+x+xProtesting is just fucking stupid and the only difference it makes is a negative one. It is nothing but selfish, destructive and detrimental If somebody doesnt like lockdown then there are proper and legal avenues to go through like with everything else in life I dont like masks (people may not have noticed) but I still wear them and still obey the rules because any success in this outbreak requires us all doing as instructed and all being on the same page. The viral activity we are seeing is the literal result of people deciding to do different. Whatever the response teams have decided, thats the path way out. Nothing more. No matter how popular, no matter how rational, following those instructions is the only way to get things back on track I come on here to vent and release energy and thats my way of dealing with the mental stress and anguish. Its like going into a dark cave and yelling as loud as I can. There are numbers people can ring and services people can access to help what is a difficult and unprecedented time What an embarrassment I understand where you're coming from. At the same time, yesterday didn't happen in a vacuum. Granted you have the anti-vax/ alternative crowd who saw yesterday as their time to shine, but there's also a lot of people who are genuinely pushed to the edge at the moment- financially, emotionally, mentally. In NSW at least, they are not being presented with any clear, tangible incentive for "doing the right thing" beyond an indefinite lockdown and accepting whatever crumbs from the table are given to them. Without a tangible point of end (or at least re-consideration) then the spectre of being locked down indefinitely- but for longer- just isn't enough of a deterrent for many. I cant agree with that. Australia has had this situation for 18 months. This wasnt sprung on us yesterday I dont know rules or laws around protesting and I'm not going to waste my brain cells finding out. But I would have thought in April / early May when there were 15,000 people allowed to attend sports then that would have been an opportunity for people to speak out against our lockdown system in whatever means the law allowed Yesterday was a reactive tantrum by people who didnt feel strong enough against lockdown before it happened, or when it only happened to other people, or when it didnt impact their personal situation. By people who didnt want to wait until it ends (which it will) before making sure systems are put in place to prevent a 6th one There is a time and a place to make a change, and plenty of means to do so. People fighting for "freedom" in this context are fighting for living in a society where they still have to obey a set of laws. So either they are advocating for the right to pick and choose which laws they obey (which I dont agree with) or their entire message is contradictory
|
|
|
sydneyfc1987
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 10K,
Visits: 0
|
+x+x+x+x+xThing is, people can look at the data presented there in Media Watch and immediately see the errors or omissions in the clips of Jones and Kelly discussing the topic. But likewise, they can also see the footage that goes for the first 90 seconds or so of that clip and straight away identify the obvious fear-mongering going on. The irony is that this is presented to counter the narrative presented by the likes of Jones etc. and remind us to be very afraid, yet they are contrasting actual footage of a middle aged man clearly above the healthy weight range with an actor appearing in a government-funded commercial that has the same worst-case-scenario-ramped-up-to-11 spin we used to see in those anti-drug commercials 15 or 20 years ago. I'd argue this is where the majority of people are right now and it doesn't make them a boot-licking authoritarian anymore than it makes them a Byron Bay dweller who's been distributing their anti-vaccine leaflets from The Stoop since the trains still ran there. I'm not a fan of the ad at all. It's actually sort of patronising given the actress (in her 20s or 30s) in real life probably wouldn't have even been given the opportunity to get vaccinated yet. As for the hospital footage I don't see any difference to road-safety campaigns etc. Is that "fear mongering" because 99.99% you arrive safely at your destination even if you were speeding or drinking? In the context it was presented in (in that media watch clip) it was presented as if to say "Look at stupid Coach Cottager (TM) saying COVID isn't dangerous and serious- here is the reality!" When any idiot can see the patient "proving" their argument isn't exactly a John Everyman. Gladys saying "You could wake up in the morning perfectly fine and end the day in ICU" (or words to that effect) is another example of this alarmism. Well he is "Joe everyman" mate. He's 50, overweight without being genuinely fat or obese. He probably represents a significant proportion of the general population. Statistically, I disagree that he represents the "Joe everyman". If somebody like that is the norm in this country then (virus or not) that's a sad indictment on the state of our nation's health. You are right it is an indictment, but it happens to be a fact. Statistically he is Joe everyman, or at least Joe 67% man: https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/australias-health/overweight-and-obesityMeanwhile yesterday a woman in her 30s with no preexisting conditions has died from COVID. It's not just overweight people with heart problems or diabetes like some argue.
(VAR) IS NAVY BLUE
|
|
|
Burztur
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.1K,
Visits: 0
|
+x+xYup. Agree that vaccination numbers should be much higher. UK and USA are near 50% vaccination and things are looking great. This all comes down to cheapening out on the 40m Pfizer dosages which we could have had. I agree that the vaccination program has been a stuff up but the logisitcs of it meant it was never going to be done by the end of October at the earliest even if it was absolutely perfect. How would an end of October vaccination program have prevented a lockdown in June? Its the same as these facilities which are going to take 6 months to build to stop one case a month, but wouldnt have prevented the NSW outbreak which was a limo driver. These are just scapegoats of a bigger problem Australia doesnt have a plan for today and even NSW have started to go down the hard route. Thats why there is lockdown. No plan When Australia was first in lockdown there was a breakdown of numbers so people could study the data and know exactly what was happening, instead of panicking over a single daily total. Thats what we need to revert back to. IMO it should be this: . No risk / Grey - person in hotel quarantine or monitored facility . Low risk / Green - person acquired the virus after being put into isolation (ie- household contact or exposure site who developed it later) . Medium risk / Yellow - person directed to test and isolate and was discovered to have the virus before orders (ie- exposure site and other contact tracing) . High risk / Red - person tested on own accord and was discovered to have virus (ie- not found by contact tracers) If you look at NSW cases yesterday there were 12 Green, 16 Yellow and 1 Red. That means contact tracers were able to find and isolate 96% of the viral activity. So why is the city in lockdown if contact tracers are on top of things? Like I said, there is always going to be a bit of chasing the tail but its hardly an unmanageable outbreak Australia needs thresholds like no lockdown until there are a minimum of 25% red cases and 50 total (excluding Grey). And lockdown ends when that drops to 5% for 3 consecutive days. A secondary threshold of % of people hospitalised Face masks, the favourite of epidemiologists, once again have proven to be useless. Nothing should be legally regulated when there is no standard. Everything in our response to date has a standard. 14 days, 1.5 meters, testing approval, vaccine approval, PPE, venue limits and spaces, etc... Yet with face masks its just nans tired and worn cloth tokenistically applied. And thats what NSW led with for the most contagious variant the country has seen. Even Gladys had to spend 2 press conferences explaining to people that a face mask doesnt replace the other systems which is what typically happens when thats the only thing being pushed, and pushed the hardest Everything in our response is just political squabbling and preferences instead of looking at the data in light of the suppression approach everybody seems to have forgotten we have. NSW should not be in lockdown If we were to apply Bluebird's test for cases, what would the situation be?
|
|
|
Burztur
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.1K,
Visits: 0
|
+xProtesting is just fucking stupid and the only difference it makes is a negative one. It is nothing but selfish, destructive and detrimental If somebody doesnt like lockdown then there are proper and legal avenues to go through like with everything else in life I dont like masks (people may not have noticed) but I still wear them and still obey the rules because any success in this outbreak requires us all doing as instructed and all being on the same page. The viral activity we are seeing is the literal result of people deciding to do different. Whatever the response teams have decided, thats the path way out. Nothing more. No matter how popular, no matter how rational, following those instructions is the only way to get things back on track I come on here to vent and release energy and thats my way of dealing with the mental stress and anguish. Its like going into a dark cave and yelling as loud as I can. There are numbers people can ring and services people can access to help what is a difficult and unprecedented time What an embarrassment Agree. The protest has done more of a disservice than anything. Appreciate there is a lot of frustration and stress on people, but this isn't going to help. The Government does needs to provide more resources/support and information to the public.
|
|
|
paladisious
|
|
Group: Moderators
Posts: 39K,
Visits: 0
|
Scomo just told Australia at the press conference live now that if your GP doesn't advise taking AZ go doctor shopping until you get a doctor that does, and nobody picked him up on it.
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
+x+x+xYup. Agree that vaccination numbers should be much higher. UK and USA are near 50% vaccination and things are looking great. This all comes down to cheapening out on the 40m Pfizer dosages which we could have had. I agree that the vaccination program has been a stuff up but the logisitcs of it meant it was never going to be done by the end of October at the earliest even if it was absolutely perfect. How would an end of October vaccination program have prevented a lockdown in June? Its the same as these facilities which are going to take 6 months to build to stop one case a month, but wouldnt have prevented the NSW outbreak which was a limo driver. These are just scapegoats of a bigger problem Australia doesnt have a plan for today and even NSW have started to go down the hard route. Thats why there is lockdown. No plan When Australia was first in lockdown there was a breakdown of numbers so people could study the data and know exactly what was happening, instead of panicking over a single daily total. Thats what we need to revert back to. IMO it should be this: . No risk / Grey - person in hotel quarantine or monitored facility . Low risk / Green - person acquired the virus after being put into isolation (ie- household contact or exposure site who developed it later) . Medium risk / Yellow - person directed to test and isolate and was discovered to have the virus before orders (ie- exposure site and other contact tracing) . High risk / Red - person tested on own accord and was discovered to have virus (ie- not found by contact tracers) If you look at NSW cases yesterday there were 12 Green, 16 Yellow and 1 Red. That means contact tracers were able to find and isolate 96% of the viral activity. So why is the city in lockdown if contact tracers are on top of things? Like I said, there is always going to be a bit of chasing the tail but its hardly an unmanageable outbreak Australia needs thresholds like no lockdown until there are a minimum of 25% red cases and 50 total (excluding Grey). And lockdown ends when that drops to 5% for 3 consecutive days. A secondary threshold of % of people hospitalised Face masks, the favourite of epidemiologists, once again have proven to be useless. Nothing should be legally regulated when there is no standard. Everything in our response to date has a standard. 14 days, 1.5 meters, testing approval, vaccine approval, PPE, venue limits and spaces, etc... Yet with face masks its just nans tired and worn cloth tokenistically applied. And thats what NSW led with for the most contagious variant the country has seen. Even Gladys had to spend 2 press conferences explaining to people that a face mask doesnt replace the other systems which is what typically happens when thats the only thing being pushed, and pushed the hardest Everything in our response is just political squabbling and preferences instead of looking at the data in light of the suppression approach everybody seems to have forgotten we have. NSW should not be in lockdown If we were to apply Bluebird's test for cases, what would the situation be? Thats right. The situation is fucked Before lockdown when I wrote that most cases were low or mild. Obviously if most of the social activity is hitting the defence mechanisms there are less cases. The virus hits a school and we see 5 or 6 infections. Social distancing isnt just for larfs. It actually does something. It hits a work place and we see the same. Contrast this with a party where 36 attended and 30 were infected Now after lockdown a lot of cases are now high risk. Source unknown. Social distancing isnt in place at homes and lockdown isnt an isolation order. So what we see is all activity behind closed doors and the majority of those involved being infected NSW did exactly what Victoria did last year. Based purely on computer modelling they drove the virus activity out of the public and into households where it is statistically said to be 20 times worse. Thats what happens when you use chess pieces or ball bouncing around to fashion a response. A computer simulation says there are (for eaxmple) 60% less people moving around NSW but the reality is the population pre and post lockdown is the same, and so is the social need and activity NSW should never have gone into lockdown. They were 100% on top of things and it was a case of riding out a 3 or 4 week outbreak like they had done 2 times before. Now the likelihood is they'll simply vaccinate and open up. What does that mean for the rest of the country?
|
|
|
Muz
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 15K,
Visits: 0
|
+xMoralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty. I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again. I'd wager that on the balance of probabilities, lockdowns have done more damage to Australia and Australians than covid would have, what hard evidence do we have that lockdowns have had a lesser toll than the virus? Irreperable social, psychological and economic abuse has been enacted on all of us. Anyway obviously too few of us went today, our message is muddled and misrepresented. I want my freedom and autonomy back. I'm not going to act like a dickhead, I didn't before and I won't now. I do want to be able to work and continue to support my community, simple things I've been denied by my government for our benefit. If that's too much, then I guess I don't belong. Living up to the 'tard' portion of your name I see. Congratulations freedum fiter.
Member since 2008.
|
|
|
Muz
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 15K,
Visits: 0
|
|
|
|
Carlito
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 28K,
Visits: 0
|
What the .... seriously most of the protestors are hard core qanon nuffies
|
|
|
sydneyfc1987
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 10K,
Visits: 0
|
So much for personal freedoms and rights huh. Absolute deplorables
(VAR) IS NAVY BLUE
|
|
|
scubaroo
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 2.8K,
Visits: 0
|
+xMoralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty. I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again. I'd wager that on the balance of probabilities, lockdowns have done more damage to Australia and Australians than covid would have, what hard evidence do we have that lockdowns have had a lesser toll than the virus? Irreperable social, psychological and economic abuse has been enacted on all of us. Anyway obviously too few of us went today, our message is muddled and misrepresented. I want my freedom and autonomy back. I'm not going to act like a dickhead, I didn't before and I won't now. I do want to be able to work and continue to support my community, simple things I've been denied by my government for our benefit. If that's too much, then I guess I don't belong. I hate the bullshit of comparing cases to deaths, that's not all that happens. My wife's best mate is a physio in a hospital in London, she got covid in September last year, she's 34, fit, no underlying health issues. She was hospitalised for 3 weeks, lost her sense of smell and taste for 4 months, she still has issues breathing, gets exhausted easily and still hasnt been able to return to work full time. She said she has had heaps of work colleagues and friends that have had covid, some had no symptoms, alot had what was described as a solid cold, others bad flu, and she knows quite a few who still have the effects 9-12 months on, not to mention those patients she worked with that were compromised with age or health conditions that actually died. I know that I wouldn't want to be getting sick with something that effects me 12 months on and then hear morons says oh its only a 0.15% death rate. We are 18 months on and lockdowns seem to be the only thing that works, simply because morons in Canberra thought it wasn't a race. It's a fuckin race.
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
+x+xMoralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty. I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again. I'd wager that on the balance of probabilities, lockdowns have done more damage to Australia and Australians than covid would have, what hard evidence do we have that lockdowns have had a lesser toll than the virus? Irreperable social, psychological and economic abuse has been enacted on all of us. Anyway obviously too few of us went today, our message is muddled and misrepresented. I want my freedom and autonomy back. I'm not going to act like a dickhead, I didn't before and I won't now. I do want to be able to work and continue to support my community, simple things I've been denied by my government for our benefit. If that's too much, then I guess I don't belong. We are 18 months on and lockdowns seem to be the only thing that works No. Lockdowns are the only thing we believe works and try to find evidence that they work, even if it means flawed statistical interpretation or specious reasoning If this thing could be stopped it would have a long time ago. By people much smarter than us and by people with far more resources. This is a complex situation that impacts a diverse array of demographics Australia doesnt realise how different its situation is by locking out well over 99% of the virus yet it continues to carry on like it is being overrun by this because cases are in double or triple figures FFS. Any changes to rules or movement is going to change the way this spreads and thats what people fail to see. 100 cases in NSW but they believe there otherwise would have been thousands. Our response is based on a hypothetical sensationalised situation There is no quick fix or 5 minute solution. Any outbreak requires a 4-5 week management plan and throwing everybody under wraps while it pans out doesnt help Too much dependence on computer simulations and excel spreadsheets while ignoring real life data. Sometimes the answer to a problem is not the answer you want or the answer you thought it would be. Overcoming a complex problem often requires setting aside bias or personal pride and thats usually the hurdle people fail at
|
|
|
Podiacide
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 753,
Visits: 0
|
+x+xMoralising the opposition to lockdowns is up to you, categorising thousands of peaceful protestors who want their freedom of movement and association restored by the actions of a few is blatant dishonesty. I protested today, I am not a piece of shit, I am not an anti-vaxxer. I am an educated, productive member of society. I and the people around me were peaceful and our requests are simple. I want my freedom returned. I and most other people behave sensibly in the face of evidence and instruction. We've had a year and a half to prepare to reopen, if not today then when? 40,000 cases a day in the UK, and 60 deaths. That's a death rate of 0.15%. If we're locking down for that we'll never open up again. I'd wager that on the balance of probabilities, lockdowns have done more damage to Australia and Australians than covid would have, what hard evidence do we have that lockdowns have had a lesser toll than the virus? Irreperable social, psychological and economic abuse has been enacted on all of us. Anyway obviously too few of us went today, our message is muddled and misrepresented. I want my freedom and autonomy back. I'm not going to act like a dickhead, I didn't before and I won't now. I do want to be able to work and continue to support my community, simple things I've been denied by my government for our benefit. If that's too much, then I guess I don't belong. I hate the bullshit of comparing cases to deaths, that's not all that happens. My wife's best mate is a physio in a hospital in London, she got covid in September last year, she's 34, fit, no underlying health issues. She was hospitalised for 3 weeks, lost her sense of smell and taste for 4 months, she still has issues breathing, gets exhausted easily and still hasnt been able to return to work full time. She said she has had heaps of work colleagues and friends that have had covid, some had no symptoms, alot had what was described as a solid cold, others bad flu, and she knows quite a few who still have the effects 9-12 months on, not to mention those patients she worked with that were compromised with age or health conditions that actually died. I know that I wouldn't want to be getting sick with something that effects me 12 months on and then hear morons says oh its only a 0.15% death rate. We are 18 months on and lockdowns seem to be the only thing that works, simply because morons in Canberra thought it wasn't a race. It's a fuckin race. Long Covid is a very worrying problem. Just 1% of covid cases being long covid would been tens of thousands of people sick. Even if we get to 100% vaccinated, when we open up we are clearly going to have breakthrough cases in the vaccinated and thousands of infections in the unvaccinated. There will be inevitably long covid cases that follow. If we are to avoid Long covid we would need to have closed borders and lockdowns for years to come. I'm not pointing this out to say we need to let it rip, I'm pointing this out because we are going to have to make a decision on this (probably early next year). its going to be hard and factoring in Long Covid cases will make it even harder.
|
|
|
Podiacide
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 753,
Visits: 0
|
Some interesting trends in the last few weeks:
Delta definitely has its limits in population spread. The UK (and maybe Netherlands) are showing definite case downturns from the peak. Hospitalisations are also steady and declining in many cases. The UK only opened up fully less than 2 weeks ago so the easing of final restrictions might cause cases to go up again but the trend is really evident. But it is something to closely watch in next 2 or 3 weeks. Case fatality Rate for UK is down 20 fold in this wave from its earlier waves. THe US delat wave should be a 6-8 weeks behind or earlier.
Vaccinations: UK, Israel and US seem to have hit a wall of 60% fully vaccinated for whole population (thats includes kids and UK havent approved vaccines for kids). Daily vaccinations for all three have decreased massively and it will be a very long time before they ever get to 70%. Canada the clear outlier here, and they are still vaccinating fast and about to overtake all 3. Europe behind and some countries vaccination rates really decreasing, will be interesting to see if they plateau at 60% or go higher. (Note: US, UK, Israel and Canada have all fully vaccinated their over 70s to at least 80%).
Delta wave length wont matter much to us as it will never reach the case loads for it to run its natural course. Though the UK having fully opened up will mean some serious eggs on faces for the PM and fearful experts like Norman Swan (assuming UK deaths keep declining)
But the vaccination rates are interesting. The PM said within two weeks the Doherty Institute will release the modelling of the magic numbers of what % vaccinated we need to open up. I'm sure it will be significantly higher than 60-70% and a number we are unlikely to reach within 6 months. I expect this number will become the biggest political football of our time. Different premiers will say its too high or too low. There will be massive disagreement within political parties. There will be as many different expert opinions as their are experts but I predict most of them will say the numbers are too low and will lead to deaths. The Business lobby will scream blue murder as saying they are unachievable and this will cause incalculable economic damage. The media will be split between running two doomsday scenarios: hospitals overrun when we open up vs economy destroyed if we stay closed down. If you think we are in a political quagmire of warring politicians and confused and feed up public now, you havent seen nothing yet. Have your popcorn ready for the day those figures are released.
|
|
|
tsf
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 14K,
Visits: 0
|
Oh my Gladys. What a balls up.
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
172 cases under lockdown. Lets stop pretending sitting around waiting for 0 cases is an option
If I had to make a prediction I'd say after 31 July NSW will move into the same restrictions as Victoria did today, and they will reach the COVID normal faster
What Victoria announced today was a joke. This is a state that simply doesnt want to open up, and wont until the next election
|
|
|
AJF
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 2.7K,
Visits: 2
|
How will we cope when fully vaccinated people start dying here Rates of double-jabbed people in hospital will grow – but that does not mean Covid vaccines are failingSeveral factors, including the portion of those at highest risk among the double-vaccinated and antibody levels, account for the data But Covid jabs are not a perfect shield. They slow the spread of the virus, help prevent disease, and reduce the risk of dying. They do not bring all this to an end. In the months ahead many thousands of people will be in hospital with Covid. What may seem more troubling is that ever more will have received two vaccination doses.
Public Health England data from early July bears this out. Of 257 deaths from confirmed Delta variant infections between February and late June, only two of the 26 deaths in those under 50 were double jabbed. That compares with 116, or more than half, of the 231 deaths in the over 50s. “If fully vaccinated, the risk of being hospitalised falls by about 90%,” said Prof David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, at Cambridge University. “But it doesn’t disappear, and as a large proportion of the highest risk people are now vaccinated it’s inevitable they will start to form the majority of the people with Covid in hospital, particularly as most of the unvaccinated people are young and therefore at low risk. Indeed, being young reduces the risk even more than being vaccinated.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/22/rates-of-double-jabbed-people-in-hospital-will-grow-but-that-does-not-mean-covid-vaccines-are-failing
|
|
|
Podiacide
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 753,
Visits: 0
|
+xHow will we cope when fully vaccinated people start dying here Rates of double-jabbed people in hospital will grow – but that does not mean Covid vaccines are failingSeveral factors, including the portion of those at highest risk among the double-vaccinated and antibody levels, account for the data But Covid jabs are not a perfect shield. They slow the spread of the virus, help prevent disease, and reduce the risk of dying. They do not bring all this to an end. In the months ahead many thousands of people will be in hospital with Covid. What may seem more troubling is that ever more will have received two vaccination doses.
Public Health England data from early July bears this out. Of 257 deaths from confirmed Delta variant infections between February and late June, only two of the 26 deaths in those under 50 were double jabbed. That compares with 116, or more than half, of the 231 deaths in the over 50s. “If fully vaccinated, the risk of being hospitalised falls by about 90%,” said Prof David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, at Cambridge University. “But it doesn’t disappear, and as a large proportion of the highest risk people are now vaccinated it’s inevitable they will start to form the majority of the people with Covid in hospital, particularly as most of the unvaccinated people are young and therefore at low risk. Indeed, being young reduces the risk even more than being vaccinated.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/22/rates-of-double-jabbed-people-in-hospital-will-grow-but-that-does-not-mean-covid-vaccines-are-failing but but every political leader and CHO tells us that vaccinations will end lockdowns!!!!
|
|
|
bluebird2
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 648,
Visits: 0
|
+x+xHow will we cope when fully vaccinated people start dying here Rates of double-jabbed people in hospital will grow – but that does not mean Covid vaccines are failingSeveral factors, including the portion of those at highest risk among the double-vaccinated and antibody levels, account for the data But Covid jabs are not a perfect shield. They slow the spread of the virus, help prevent disease, and reduce the risk of dying. They do not bring all this to an end. In the months ahead many thousands of people will be in hospital with Covid. What may seem more troubling is that ever more will have received two vaccination doses.
Public Health England data from early July bears this out. Of 257 deaths from confirmed Delta variant infections between February and late June, only two of the 26 deaths in those under 50 were double jabbed. That compares with 116, or more than half, of the 231 deaths in the over 50s. “If fully vaccinated, the risk of being hospitalised falls by about 90%,” said Prof David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, at Cambridge University. “But it doesn’t disappear, and as a large proportion of the highest risk people are now vaccinated it’s inevitable they will start to form the majority of the people with Covid in hospital, particularly as most of the unvaccinated people are young and therefore at low risk. Indeed, being young reduces the risk even more than being vaccinated.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/22/rates-of-double-jabbed-people-in-hospital-will-grow-but-that-does-not-mean-covid-vaccines-are-failing but but every political leader and CHO tells us that vaccinations will end lockdowns!!!! Vaccines are second to face masks and the key to ending lockdowns as far as CHOs are concerned. Grab a cloth, knit on a few straps, make some kind of effort to wear it, no more Delta variant
|
|
|
AJF
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 2.7K,
Visits: 2
|
+x+x+xHow will we cope when fully vaccinated people start dying here Rates of double-jabbed people in hospital will grow – but that does not mean Covid vaccines are failingSeveral factors, including the portion of those at highest risk among the double-vaccinated and antibody levels, account for the data But Covid jabs are not a perfect shield. They slow the spread of the virus, help prevent disease, and reduce the risk of dying. They do not bring all this to an end. In the months ahead many thousands of people will be in hospital with Covid. What may seem more troubling is that ever more will have received two vaccination doses.
Public Health England data from early July bears this out. Of 257 deaths from confirmed Delta variant infections between February and late June, only two of the 26 deaths in those under 50 were double jabbed. That compares with 116, or more than half, of the 231 deaths in the over 50s. “If fully vaccinated, the risk of being hospitalised falls by about 90%,” said Prof David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, at Cambridge University. “But it doesn’t disappear, and as a large proportion of the highest risk people are now vaccinated it’s inevitable they will start to form the majority of the people with Covid in hospital, particularly as most of the unvaccinated people are young and therefore at low risk. Indeed, being young reduces the risk even more than being vaccinated.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/22/rates-of-double-jabbed-people-in-hospital-will-grow-but-that-does-not-mean-covid-vaccines-are-failing but but every political leader and CHO tells us that vaccinations will end lockdowns!!!! Vaccines are second to face masks and the key to ending lockdowns as far as CHOs are concerned. Grab a cloth, knit on a few straps, make some kind of effort to wear it, no more Delta variant Not just CHO's, I had a really interesting discussion with a Covid-nazi about masks and their benefits last week, he was fully on board and wore his everywhere. When I asked him how often he washed his mask and what precautions he took when handling it during the day (ie eating) he couldn't answer. Considering majority of people are the same, including everyone on here I would guess, may as well replace your mask with a safety blanket as they provide the same amount of placebo
|
|
|
Muz
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 15K,
Visits: 0
|
+x+x+x+xHow will we cope when fully vaccinated people start dying here Rates of double-jabbed people in hospital will grow – but that does not mean Covid vaccines are failingSeveral factors, including the portion of those at highest risk among the double-vaccinated and antibody levels, account for the data But Covid jabs are not a perfect shield. They slow the spread of the virus, help prevent disease, and reduce the risk of dying. They do not bring all this to an end. In the months ahead many thousands of people will be in hospital with Covid. What may seem more troubling is that ever more will have received two vaccination doses.
Public Health England data from early July bears this out. Of 257 deaths from confirmed Delta variant infections between February and late June, only two of the 26 deaths in those under 50 were double jabbed. That compares with 116, or more than half, of the 231 deaths in the over 50s. “If fully vaccinated, the risk of being hospitalised falls by about 90%,” said Prof David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, at Cambridge University. “But it doesn’t disappear, and as a large proportion of the highest risk people are now vaccinated it’s inevitable they will start to form the majority of the people with Covid in hospital, particularly as most of the unvaccinated people are young and therefore at low risk. Indeed, being young reduces the risk even more than being vaccinated.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/22/rates-of-double-jabbed-people-in-hospital-will-grow-but-that-does-not-mean-covid-vaccines-are-failing but but every political leader and CHO tells us that vaccinations will end lockdowns!!!! Vaccines are second to face masks and the key to ending lockdowns as far as CHOs are concerned. Grab a cloth, knit on a few straps, make some kind of effort to wear it, no more Delta variant Not just CHO's, I had a really interesting discussion with a Covid-nazi about masks and their benefits last week, he was fully on board and wore his everywhere. When I asked him how often he washed his mask and what precautions he took when handling it during the day (ie eating) he couldn't answer. Considering majority of people are the same, including everyone on here I would guess, may as well replace your mask with a safety blanket as they provide the same amount of placebo Not sure what your position is on this thing. What would you like to happen over the next week, next month, next 6 months? BB same question.
Member since 2008.
|
|
|
Burztur
|
|
Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.1K,
Visits: 0
|
+xBut the vaccination rates are interesting. The PM said within two weeks the Doherty Institute will release the modelling of the magic numbers of what % vaccinated we need to open up. I'm sure it will be significantly higher than 60-70% and a number we are unlikely to reach within 6 months. I expect this number will become the biggest political football of our time. Different premiers will say its too high or too low. There will be massive disagreement within political parties. There will be as many different expert opinions as their are experts but I predict most of them will say the numbers are too low and will lead to deaths. The Business lobby will scream blue murder as saying they are unachievable and this will cause incalculable economic damage. The media will be split between running two doomsday scenarios: hospitals overrun when we open up vs economy destroyed if we stay closed down. If you think we are in a political quagmire of warring politicians and confused and feed up public now, you havent seen nothing yet. Have your popcorn ready for the day those figures are released. Agree with this. Whatever the %, it's going to be a dog's breakfast. Everyone will have an opinion.
|
|
|