Youtube analysis: why is soccer on the decline in australia?


Youtube analysis: why is soccer on the decline in australia?

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grazorblade - 18 Jul 2022 6:44 PM
Looks like the conversation got too interesting and amicable for some of the odder voices on the net. Decentrics creepy stalkers are back

Cause and effect.


Member since 2008.


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Some points where video presenter, Alfie, is correct.

One is that the A L has too many import places - 5 per team. A lot of these experienced journeymen, or former big stars, are on the decline. They often start off in the A L at their best having  played in better leagues , but they are here, because successive European club coaches have already noted their decline.  At the end of the season they will probably   be slightly worse than the beginning of the season, as they age.  

Also, many of these import positions are forwards. It is even tougher for young Aussie  strikers  -  a position where we don't have much depth.

With only 11 Aus A League clubs, too many young Aussies, who have the ability to improve quickly over the season, are selected behind big name imports. The experienced  imports don't make the mistakes that young players do, but by not playing, the domestic Aussies can't improve much.

 Alfie, the video presenter, states there are 5 imports per A L team and advocates 2 imports. I agree. 
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localstar - 18 Jul 2022 3:38 PM
Monoethnic Social Club - 18 Jul 2022 11:04 AM

I would take Decentric's CV with a pinch of salt if I were you.


Meh, I don't believe the half of it but at the end if the day the bloke cares enough (or one of his personas cares enough) about football to at least download the national curriculum and make a  case about what he thinks would/could work.... who he knows and what he has done is irrelevant to me, were all just voices on the internet.... I could be Gabriel  Batistuta, Marco Van Basten or Charlize Theron for all you know.... :)
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AJF - 18 Jul 2022 3:05 PM
Decentric 2 - 16 Jul 2022 12:24 AM

So let me get this straight, you watched Glastonbury as a kid back in 1965, yet somehow played NPL youth, a competition which didnt start until around 2015? Must be a late developer or do you drive a DeLorean?

Also last time you spruiked your talents, you were TD of the Womens Program at Tilford/Hobart Zebras (cough cough), when did the promotion to TD of NPL occur?
.



I was TD for the entire NPL club for a short time, until a men's TD was appointed. 

Then it was exclusively  female TD from juniors upwards at the NPL club, including senior  women at the NPL club,  and some underage male teams at the NPL club. Plus  mentoring club coaches was part of the TD of the women's program job at the NPL club.

The clubs I played for are termed NPL now, with the new nomenclature - not when I played for them many decades ago.

 You are derailing the thread. 
Edited
3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:12 PM
Some points where video presenter, Alfie, is correct.

One is that the A L has too many import places - 5 per team. A lot of these experienced journeymen, or former big stars, are on the decline. They often start off in the A L at their best having  played in better leagues , but they are here, because successive European club coaches have already noted their decline.  At the end of the season they will probably   be slightly worse than the beginning of the season, as they age.  

Also, many of these import positions are forwards. It is even tougher for young Aussie  strikers  -  a position where we don't have much depth.

With only 11 Aus A League clubs, too many young Aussies, who have the ability to improve quickly over the season, are selected behind big name imports. The experienced  imports don't make the mistakes that young players do, but by not playing, the domestic Aussies can't improve much.

 Alfie, the video presenter, states there are 5 imports per A L team and advocates 2 imports. I agree. 

Yes going down at least one or two foreigners would probably make a huge difference. All reward little risk compared to the other issues imo
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Another point which is untrue raised by Alfie, and  a few former pro players who struggle with the cerebral quality of the newer NC, claim newer players aren't creative. 

They've done heaps of technical development in the Skills Acquisition Program. The difference  between Coerver, is that the SAP is realistic match based skill development, but used in match related scenarios.

Many players developed in the last 10 years, who are reaching adulthood have a degree of creativity.

It makes it tough for Australia to compete with many other Asian countries who are investing more money in football.

China has shown little return for all their investment, but other Asian countries are paying  big dollars to import that European or South American tactical and technical nous. 
Edited
3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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Monoethnic Social Club - 18 Jul 2022 10:14 PM
localstar - 18 Jul 2022 3:38 PM

Meh, I don't believe the half of it but at the end if the day the bloke cares enough (or one of his personas cares enough) about football to at least download the national curriculum and make a  case about what he thinks would/could work.... who he knows and what he has done is irrelevant to me, were all just voices on the internet.... I could be Gabriel  Batistuta, Marco Van Basten or Charlize Theron for all you know.... :)

Thanks for not taking the bait, the number of times on this forum there has been no football content for days because a bunch a bunch of randos pile on decentric is bizarre. We are indeed just a bunch of randos on the net trying to relax chatting about a sport we love

for what its worth i was a b grade cb for all my youth but love the game and have for years watched aussies abroad playing in obscure leagues in the middle of the night. I got pretty good at cricket mind you
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A compelling  point Alfie makes is that countries where  private academies which cost money, with only more affluent parents being able to afford  them for their children's football education,  as opposed to free access for quality coaching, don't tend to improve compared to other countries where it is accessible for free.

He sets out very sound rationale as to why they don't work to improve a nation's national team performances.
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Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:33 PM
Another point which is untrue raised by Alfie, and  a few former pro players who struggle with the cerebral quality of the newer NC, claim newer players aren't creative. 

They've done heaps of technical development in the Skills Acquisition Program. The difference  between Coerver, is that the SAP is realistic match based skill development, but used in match related scenarios.

Many players developed in the last 10 years, who are reaching adulthood have a degree of creativity.

It makes it tough for Australia to compete with many other Asian countries who are investing more money in football.

China has shown little return for all their investment, but other Asian countries are paying  big dollars to import that European or South American tactical and technical nous. 

China is improving from such a low point they could rise over the next few years for all we know

it seems right that many sap graduates have phenomenal creativity, some skeptics on the forum seem to have been converted by what they have seen  at grass roots.

having said that there was someone high profile that knows their stuff and said that what they were taught was super rigid. Another panelist gave a different impression. It did make me wonder if the ntc is being taught inconsistently?
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grazorblade - 18 Jul 2022 10:41 PM
Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:33 PM

China is improving from such a low point they could rise over the next few years for all we know

it seems right that many sap graduates have phenomenal creativity, some skeptics on the forum seem to have been converted by what they have seen  at grass roots.

having said that there was someone high profile that knows their stuff and said that what they were taught was super rigid. Another panelist gave a different impression. It did make me wonder if the ntc is being taught inconsistently?

I'm expecting China at some stage to become the powerhouse in our region.

Then again in a European context, Russia  has underachieved compared to what both Russia and China have achieved at the Olympics. The USA are also an Olympic powerhouse, but football isn't the main sport there, whilst it is such a big game in Russia and China.

If Asia is  divided into two confederations, West Asia and East Asia, eventually I think it will be China and Japan who are the East Asian powerhouses. If it stays as the same confederation, surely China will catch Japan as Asia's heavyweight too? Japan has embarked on a sound 50 year football plan  adopting Brazilian coaching methodology.
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Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:40 PM
A compelling  point Alfie makes is that countries where  private academies which cost money, with only more affluent parents being able to afford  them for their children's football education,  as opposed to free access for quality coaching, don't tend to improve compared to other countries where it is accessible for free.

He sets out very sound rationale as to why they don't work to improve a nation's national team performances.

I don't think that is the point he was trying to make actually. Mentioning countries like Brazil and Argentina, without a structured academy system (private or otherwise) but with a massive amount of cultural acceptance of street soccer, local tournaments and volunteering seems to suggest that: 10s of thousands of kids playing the game on dirt pitches without any coaching creates better players than parents paying thousands to have Johnny and Jenny baby-sat three nights a week by a "coach" using a confusing jargony manual, while mummy sits in the Range Rover on Instagram.......
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Monoethnic Social Club - 18 Jul 2022 10:54 PM
Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:40 PM

I don't think that is the point he was trying to make actually. Mentioning countries like Brazil and Argentina, without a structured academy system (private or otherwise) but with a massive amount of cultural acceptance of street soccer, local tournaments and volunteering seems to suggest that: 10s of thousands of kids playing the game on dirt pitches without any coaching creates better players than parents paying thousands to have Johnny and Jenny baby-sat three nights a week by a "coach" using a confusing jargony manual, while mummy sits in the Range Rover on Instagram.......

He made that point as well.

Those poor areas have been conducive to developing top footballers, because kids don't have as much to do. I've read books about it. Even in Europe it is a common phenomenon. A lot of kids who live in small apartments are desperate to get outside and play football for something to do  in the poorer parts of towns  and cities. Alfie made a sage point. 

Robin van Persie, in either a Jonathan Wilson or Simon Kuper book, apparently spent most of his time playing football to get out  out of his  small family apartment.  One of the things that Arie Schans and Ad Derkson, Dutch KNVB staff coaches, said when they were coaching in Australia,  was that there is less and less space for kids to  play  street football over a lot of Europe.

Hence, the quality of street footballers isn't what it was in Europe. The view  from pro clubs, is that most current kids in Europe are not playing as much street football as their parents. 

I've coached quite a lot of former refugees, aged 8-18, who have played a lot of street football in camps. They've often got really good close ball skills, having played a lot of  street football in tight spaces, but they are very one footed and one side of the body dominant. 





Edited
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One point that Alfie made is that Martin Boyle leaving Scotland for Saudi Arabia is a step down in  standard. Outside the Old Firm in the Scottish Professional Football League, I'm not sure Saudi is a step down in standard? 

Not all European leagues are as good as Alfie makes them out to be. There is a chasm in quality between Spain's La Liga and the Bundesliga on the one hand, compared to Albania's and Finland's top divisions on the other hand.   I'd argue that Japan may be better than many European leagues, even with more depth.

Aussies Josh Kennedy and Eddie Bosnar claimed the J League compared favourably to some European leagues - much than many Europeans would be aware of.

 I'd contend  that the J League may have more depth  than the Eredivisie. The big Dutch clubs, Ajax, PSV, Feyenoorde ( just had a bad season)  should be a class above, but I'd surmise that many Japanese clubs in the J L are similar standard to the mid ranked Eredivisie clubs. There is a big drop off  to the Eredivise lower ranked clubs on the table.

Mitch Duke thinks technically, the J L is a class above the A L. However,  when Shinji Ono came here to play for WSW (through the FA coaching grapevine) he stated the A L was superior tactically by some margin.  So did former J L player, Jade North.
Edited
3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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One league Alfie is  correct  about being appalling in Asia is the Kuwait League. I taught infants there  and coached football  in the school.

I can't believe Ryan McGowan is selected for the Socceroos playing in the Kuwait League? Given it is such a rich country, when I watched the Kuwait League it was appalling in standard. I'd surmise some of the better Aussie NPL clubs would more than hold their own.

Yet Kuwait produced that mercurial player who has caused us nightmares - Al Shamari?

 McGowan shouldn't be selected for the Socceroos playing in Kuwait. I agree with Alfie, moving  from SPFL club  Hearts to the Kuwait League is a huge step down. There is a chasm in class between the Kuwait League and the J League in Asia.
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Finally, Alfie concludes by saying Australia's current team is nowhere near as good as they were 15 years ago.

 In terms of the clubs they played for it may be true, but in terms  of an international  battle hardened, cohesive, tactically savvy unit, the current lot would be superior. 

Just refer back to Grazor's video thread of the Socceroos and have look at how we played against Iran in 1997, Argentina in 1993, Uruguay in 2001, and even in the 2006 WC and subsequent 2007 Asian Cup.

Check out all the turnovers conceded, general  mistakes,  lack of communication, less than optimum off the ball movement in attack, less cohesive team pressing and squeezing in BPO,    in the Socceroo manifestations of those earlier periods.
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grazorblade - 18 Jul 2022 10:41 PM
Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 10:33 PM

It did make me wonder if the ntc is being taught inconsistently?

It probably is.

Some  former Socceroos, who are now  coaches, like Frank Farina, and another guy with a Greek name, want a mandated, prescriptive manual. 

It  isn't like that. Coaches have a fair bit of autonomy to design their own coaching session with a framework, depending on the needs of the teams, and individual players. Coaching sessions take a lot of planning.
Edited
3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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When New Football took over from old soccer, some 18 years ago, I would constantly hear about the rise of China, the massive investment in Chinese football, how they will become a powerhouse, etc.  etc.

Yet they are every bit as crap today as they were 18 years ago.

They are so crap, and likely to remain crap, and that is precisely why FIFA introduced the 48 nation World cup, so that crap football countries like China and India might one day fluke a world cup spot (China made it once before, but that appearance is eminently forgettable).

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bettega - 19 Jul 2022 8:47 AM
When New Football took over from old soccer, some 18 years ago, I would constantly hear about the rise of China, the massive investment in Chinese football, how they will become a powerhouse, etc.  etc.

Yet they are every bit as crap today as they were 18 years ago.

They are so crap, and likely to remain crap, and that is precisely why FIFA introduced the 48 nation World cup, so that crap football countries like China and India might one day fluke a world cup spot (China made it once before, but that appearance is eminently forgettable).

You do realise that China football is one very corrupt organisation, they piled money into the sport but not many were prepared to lose money, there was no plan or structure for the future. However, if they ever get their house in order, watch out.

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Decentric 2 - 19 Jul 2022 12:00 AM
Finally, Alfie concludes by saying Australia's current team is nowhere near as good as they were 15 years ago.

 In terms of the clubs they played for it may be true, but in terms  of an international  battle hardened, cohesive, tactically savvy unit, the current lot would be superior. 

Just refer back to Grazor's video thread of the Socceroos and have look at how we played against Iran in 1997, Argentina in 1993, Uruguay in 2001, and even in the 2006 WC and subsequent 2007 Asian Cup.

Check out all the turnovers conceded, general  mistakes,  lack of communication, less than optimum off the ball movement in attack, less cohesive team pressing and squeezing in BPO,    in the Socceroo manifestations of those earlier periods.

I've been watching football in this country since the 1974 World cup & this (above) is a fairly reasonable assessment of our standing as a footballing national team.
I was there in Munich for Socceroos v Brazil in WC06 & was so pumped by their performances & had arguments with Brazilian supporters after the game about our performance.
They said we were not good enough, no skill, it wasn't until I got home & watched a replay & understood, yes we gave it everything, we were a very typical Aussie side gave it our best, but our football were 2-3 rungs below them, we fought hard but footballing wise we were on in the game, despite so many of our many PL stars.

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Did sokkah decline? So, it was it at an incline then..

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robbos - 19 Jul 2022 10:09 AM
Decentric 2 - 19 Jul 2022 12:00 AM

I've been watching football in this country since the 1974 World cup & this (above) is a fairly reasonable assessment of our standing as a footballing national team.
I was there in Munich for Socceroos v Brazil in WC06 & was so pumped by their performances & had arguments with Brazilian supporters after the game about our performance.
They said we were not good enough, no skill, it wasn't until I got home & watched a replay & understood, yes we gave it everything, we were a very typical Aussie side gave it our best, but our football were 2-3 rungs below them, we fought hard but footballing wise we were on in the game, despite so many of our many PL stars.

yes can agree but lets not forget the development department was way diff than of todays/current gen getting into our NT.
The GG as individuals (some of) were better imo but as a unit we can't compare the way the game is played nowdays to back then.
Ofcourse the errors would have been higher, turnovers etcetc the guys as a unit the last 10yrs are drilled way better lets get real in regards to D2.
Right now we are still rugs below imo just more polished/organised depending who we play.



Love Football

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Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 11:05 PM
Monoethnic Social Club - 18 Jul 2022 10:54 PM

He made that point as well.

Those poor areas have been conducive to developing top footballers, because kids don't have as much to do. I've read books about it, where even in Europe it is a common phenomenon. A lot of kids who live in small apartments are desperate to get outside and play football for something to do  in the poorer parts of towns  and cities. Alfie made a sage point. 

Robin van Persie, in either a Jonathan Wilson or Simon Kuper book, apparently spent most of his time playing football to get out  out of his  small family apartment.  One of the things that Arie Schans and Ad Derkson, Dutch KNVB staff coaches, said when they were coaching in Australia,  was that there is less and less space for kids to  play  street football over a lot of Europe.

Hence, the quality of street footballers isn't what it was. The view  from pro clubs, is that most current kids in Europe are not playing as much street football as their parents. 

I've coached quite a lot of former refugees, aged 8-18, who have played a lot of street football in camps. They've often got really good close ball skills, having played a lot of  street football in tight spaces, but they are very one footed and one side of the body dominant. 




Yeah it would be terrible if Australia ever created another Diego Armando Maradona (God rest his soul for eternity)... :P


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Monoethnic Social Club - 19 Jul 2022 2:33 PM
Decentric 2 - 18 Jul 2022 11:05 PM
Yeah it would be terrible if Australia ever created another Diego Armando Maradona (God rest his soul for eternity)... :P


 Diego is a bit of an exception as a one foot dominant player!

What an incredible player he was! 
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robbos - 19 Jul 2022 9:49 AM
bettega - 19 Jul 2022 8:47 AM

You do realise that China football is one very corrupt organisation, they piled money into the sport but not many were prepared to lose money, there was no plan or structure for the future. However, if they ever get their house in order, watch out.

Whereas Japan have really got their act together. 

Even Arsene Wenger has called it a world class development system.
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Another point that Alfie makes, which is very true, is the media dominance of Aussie Rules in southern states. Plus he alludes to how hostile egg ball is to football. All true. 

I thought football was making inroads into egg ball, and AFL in particular, plus league and union ( to a lesser extent), were extremely  hostile to football's emergence. 

However, in recent times, football seems to be getting less and less media coverage. I'm struggling to find any free new football sites, whereas  other football sites like any Murdoch, Age and SMH site, one now has to pay for it.

SBS seems to be covering  very little football too.
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3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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LFC. - 19 Jul 2022 11:23 AM
robbos - 19 Jul 2022 10:09 AM

yes can agree but lets not forget the development department was way diff than of todays/current gen getting into our NT.
The GG as individuals (some of) were better imo but as a unit we can't compare the way the game is played nowdays to back then.
Ofcourse the errors would have been higher, turnovers etcetc the guys as a unit the last 10yrs are drilled way better lets get real in regards to D2.
Right now we are still rugs below imo just more polished/organised depending who we play.


Probably agree with all your post, LFC.

However, I wanted to make the point about the massive tactical and structural improvement of teams in Australia, given it has been ignored - even by former Socceroos of the GG.

In a panel of six  former GG - two hadn't pursued coaching, and  another three had mainly trained in England - much worse coach education  practices than Aus. Craig Moore thought  too much coach education in Aus was too classroom based and not enough on the training track.

I disagree. The classroom stuff needs to be done. At least Moore has trained here though.
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3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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bettega - 19 Jul 2022 8:47 AM
When New Football took over from old soccer, some 18 years ago, I would constantly hear about the rise of China, the massive investment in Chinese football, how they will become a powerhouse, etc.  etc.

Yet they are every bit as crap today as they were 18 years ago.

They are so crap, and likely to remain crap, and that is precisely why FIFA introduced the 48 nation World cup, so that crap football countries like China and India might one day fluke a world cup spot (China made it once before, but that appearance is eminently forgettable).

I actually wonder if it it is to get more European countries into the WC?

I think UEFA only has 13 teams in the current WCQ quota? FIFA want a worldwide spread of teams competing, but ATM it is at the expense of some decent quality UEFA teams. 

UEFA have far too many quality teams who can't qualify under the current quota. This time Italy, Ukraine, Turkey, Czech Republic, Greece, Sweden, Ireland, Austria, Scotland, Russia ( for different reasons), etc, have all missed out on Qatar. It is arguable that most of these teams could qualify in any other confederation.

I suppose Russia and Turkey  have most of their two countries  geographically existing  in the continent of Asia.
Edited
3 Years Ago by Decentric 2
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Decentric 2 - 19 Jul 2022 3:55 PM
bettega - 19 Jul 2022 8:47 AM

I actually wonder if it it is to get more European countries into the WC?

I think UEFA only has 13 teams in the current WCQ quota? FIFA want a worldwide spread of teams competing, but ATM it is at the expense of some decent quality UEFA teams. 

UEFA have far too many quality teams who can't qualify under the current quota. This time Italy, Ukraine, Turkey, Czech Republic, Greece, Sweden, Ireland, Austria, Scotland, Russia ( for different reasons), etc, have all missed out on Qatar. It is arguable that most of these teams could qualify in any other confederation.

I suppose Russia and Turkey  have most of their two countries  geographically existing  in the continent of Asia.
This first quote was the original FIFA proposal.

"All six confederations will have at least one team in the expanded tournament, with no inter-confederation play-offs prior to the play-off tournament.The World Cup hosts will still qualify automatically, with their slot taken from their confederation's quota.The recommended places for each confederation are:
  • Africa - 9 (up from 5)
  • Asia - 8 (up from 4 or 5)
  • Europe - 16 (up from 13)
  • North, Central America and Caribbean - 6 (up from 3 or 4)
  • Oceania - 1 (from 0 or 1)
  • South America - 6 (up from 4 or 5)"
BBC football website 30 Mar 2017.

"FIFA have confirmed how the new qualification process will work, as the following formula was voted in at their 67th FIFA congress:

UEFA = 16 teams will qualify
CAF = 9.5 (.5 represents one playoff team)
AFC = 8.5
CONMBEOL = 6.5
CONCACAF = 6.5
OFC = 1.5

A playoff tournament involving six teams will be held in the U.S., Mexico and Canada to decide the final two teams who reach the World Cup. The two playoff teams with the highest FIFA world ranking will be seeded, while the other four will play a semifinal round to decide who reaches the final to play the two seeded teams.

One playoff team will come from each of the confederations (except UEFA) and there will be an extra team from the CONCACAF region to make up the six teams."


https://soccer.nbcsports.com/2022/06/26/2026-world-cup-how-will-it-work/




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LFC. - 19 Jul 2022 11:23 AM
robbos - 19 Jul 2022 10:09 AM

yes can agree but lets not forget the development department was way diff than of todays/current gen getting into our NT.
The GG as individuals (some of) were better imo but as a unit we can't compare the way the game is played nowdays to back then.
Ofcourse the errors would have been higher, turnovers etcetc the guys as a unit the last 10yrs are drilled way better lets get real in regards to D2.
Right now we are still rugs below imo just more polished/organised depending who we play.


Yes the GG had two great individuals that we have never produced before or since & they both had the potential to be World class, but for injuries (Kewell) & desire or will (Viduka, remember hearing Alan Shearer say he wishes he had half the skills of the Duke) & of the greatest Scceroos of all Timmy, not the most skillful, but the man with the most desire.
This was the big difference, some other very very good players in the GG (hence called GG), but they were not generally that much better then what we have now individually, unlike the 3 I just mentioned.


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Monoethnic Social Club - 18 Jul 2022 10:14 PM
localstar - 18 Jul 2022 3:38 PM

Charlize Theron for all you know.... :)

I'm very happily married however pleased to meet you anyway.   :P 
GO


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