another big game if we can get the result against Tunisia this will prob determine a rd of 16th birth

Can you correct date please Davstar - should be 1 Dec rather than 22 Dec.

Fixed all of them 

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Delaney is injured and out of the tournament 

Edit: wrong thread - sleep deprived!

OK so we know a lot more now. We really need to get rotating. Despite Mabil's apparent laziness at the end he needs to start this one. I think Duke is really banged up. We need some freshness. Leckie and Goodwin are hopefully in the ice bath as we speak. 

                      Ryan
Karacic Souttar Rowles Behich 
              Devlin Mooy
         McGree Hrustic Mabil
                 Cummings 

I thought Mclaren did well when he came on and I think I would start him if Duke can't

Wings are interesting, Goodwin did not play the full game so hopefully that is enough that he will be able to start. Leckie might be due a rest but Mabil certainly will not be able to contribute defensively which could be a problem. I am not sure how Atkinson's ankle is but if Leckie cannot start I would be tempted to play him at RW if it is okay. Karacic should stay at RB for me.

In the middle it depends who comes up, I certainly hope Mooy can play. Devlin or Baccus could replace Irvine and Hrustic could replace McGree.

We actually have an extra 2 days recovery time for this game compared to last time. I’d honestly stick with the same XI assuming everyone is fit.

Draw will do it

A draw will suffice provided Tunisia don't beat France. France will rotate a lot but I expect they'll have enough to avoid defeat.

Devlin does not appear to be in the Arnold frame of mind.
Keanu Baccus has come on as a sub in both games. 
Interesting, seeing as Devlin was at the Smurfs when Arnold was their head coach.

In the youth squad. Cam got his senior debut under Corica

A draw is needed for us but they need a win. If we play for a draw I can't see how we can keep them out for 90 minutes, nor can I see us scoring if they score first.  We need to be on the front foot from the beginning.

I've seen little from any of the subs in both games-other than Maclarens' cross- to suggest any of them deserve to start.

If Duke is fit then he starts over Cummings who was anonymous against France.

Karacic was marginally better than Atkinson but he wasn't playing against MBappe like Atkinson was so not a fair comparison.  I think Atkinson offers more going forward and I think we'll need that so I'd actually play Atkinson at RB. or if not then as a sub RW (over Mabil) on at 60 minutes for Leckie.

Hrustic doesn't look match fit or is too slow so I'd still play McGree.

Mooy has put in a lot of of running and hopefully he's not fatigued because there is no-one in the squad who can hold the ball under pressure which there will be a lot of.

This is a long shot, given how abysmal Tunisia looked, but worth keeping an eye on.  You often see teams who have qualified after the 2nd game rest key players, especially so if you are seriously in the hunt to win the whole thing,  so Tunisia might be in with a chance to jag a 1-0 win.

Socceroos probably need to score at least one goal to earn a point.

Our pressing got mich less energetic in the last thirty minutes.

Worried about the gas irvine, duke, leckie, goodwin and behich have. Hard to replace behich so perhaps a midfield of either mooy/hrustic and mcgree or mooy hrustic and baccus (who seems ahead of devlin) 

up front i might risk starting goodwin again and play mabil and maclaren

One thing we learned is that Maclaren, Mabil and Hrustic are not the players we want on the field if we are trying to hold on for the last 20 minutes. We need Irvine, Duke and Leckie on the field when the going gets tough. They’ve proven that they’ll dig deep when it’s needed. 

We should aim to be around this level in world football. But this is going to be very tough. Like the Tunisia game any result is possible. 

I'm thinking maybe Bacchus for McGree and then when can bring on McGree if we go down by a goal.
Provides some fresh legs in the engine room.

Agree with the others, it's concerning how lethagic Mabil & Hrusnic were when they came on. They don't deserve a start based on that alone.

Based on both xGs from both teams, the game will be close.

The Danes don't create alot of chances whilst we press quite well and defend with good intensity. 

We need a draw I think we can do it, we just need to avoid defending too deep which has caused us problems. 

Denmark is very good defensively, I think our forward press will be more important than ever and hopefully create a chance or win the second ball, they aren't physically imposing at all.
It's all about recovery now, as I don't think the team sheet will change, I would love to see the three City boys on at the same time and see if a bit of continuity would help, it nearly got Leckie a goal.
Nearly everything v France worked against us, yet everything v Tunisia turned out to be spot on. It's all on Arnie to come up with the game plan and that's what I am sweating on.

Tough luck with Devlin, he suited the France game, the other two less so, especially since Irvine has been one of our better midfield pressers, late game he tired and I thought it was a good opportunity for Devlin, but it wasn't to be.

After Mabil's (absolute lack of) effort last night I wouldn't be putting him on the pitch again anytime soon. I'd rather play Tilio there than Mabil at this stage.

The players will need the 5 days off after that tough and draining game .Having watched the France v Denmark game which was a close affair it will be difficult to get a favourable result against the Danes.They have a well organised defence and  a very good midfield.Their strikers are adequate but  our defenders should cope with them if they play like they did against Tunisia.

If Atkinson is still injured I would persist with Karacic.He was very tentative early on against Tunisia but improved as the game went on.Mooy  and Irvine should be picked but if fatigue sets in Devlin or Baccus should be subbed on early rather than later.Goodwin and Leckie again should start and Duke lead the line.If we need to score and surprise the Danes Kuol needs to be on for at least 30 minutes and Maclaren who is quicker than Cummings also for the same time.

McGree deserves to start and if Hrustic does go on he needs to be more aggressive and involved.

Where do you find the xG stats?

Fotmob has them

turn your mobile off during the game because it finds out there is a goal and alerts you about sixty seconds before live tv shows it

Sorry about the ignorance, but what is xG?

Basically an estimate of how often a goal would be scored from a situation. If your xg is ahead of your actual goals your finishing is good. We are usually way behind our xg apart from lucky penalties

this world cup so far that trend has reversed for some reason

xg vs actual goals is one measure of the quality of a league, with the epl looking good by this metric

Is t it the opposite? If you have an xg of 2.5 but only scored 1, your finishing is poor.