Voted in the Senate

1/2 - Secular Party
3 - Science Party
4 - Labour
5/6 - Voluntary Euthanasia Party
7/8 - Nick Xenophon mob
9/10/11/12 - Labour

ABC now saying it's more likely than not we'll have a hung parliment

My money would be on labour to take a hung parliment
it would be an incredible result
they would probably a very long shot though to win more than one term if labour do win though because of 3 reasons
1. libs look like winning the popular vote quite convincingly. Winning government but not the popular vote makes for a very unpopular government
2. minority governments are easy to demonise
3. they have won some safe lib seats so they would almost certainly lose those

swings usually go against a first term government except in marginal seats (the sophmore effect)

Hearing this too

tsk tsk get their name right its the science AND cycling party

meanwhile one of the Christian parties has as a key policy more cycling lanes.
Is there a Bible verse on cycling I have missed?

We're getting a hung parliament again aren't we?

Also Greens picking up seats FFS. Why people why

Pauline Hanson saying she's confident not one but two senate seats in QLD.

Fuck Qld'ers are dumb.

Where's that PB fella?

when does the senate counting start? more interested in that tbh

So keen to see that evil cunt Scott Morrison cry on national television.

if every seat where the current party is in the lead holds and WA performs how polls predict then yes a hung parliment

a lot of those seats are close though and it doesn't take many to flip to libs to get a majority though
alternatively late vote in 3 marginal seats where labour are unexpectedly behind and a single unexpected result in labours favour in WA while holding all other seats means labour get an outright majority. I put that at a 10% chance, lower than the start of the night

Care to twist it another way?

Cheers mate.

Edited for brevity but yes Science and Cyclist party. Good on the them.

:lol:

people should keep in mind that libs have more paths to absolute majority so the most COMMON (mode) result from here is a hung parliment but the most likely is a lib majority

I think we'll likely stay with the incumbents in a hung parliament. I'd be happy enough with that result.

It's interesting ABC can't work out the Xenophon vote here. It's partially parochialism (he's always voted in SA's interests) but also the LNP royally screwed us with Holden's and the subs until Pyne and a few others found themselves in trouble.

julie bishop just insulted xenophon

if we are in hung parliment territory there will be some fast backpeddling :D

what she say im flicking between the rubgy, footy and election

that he has no policies

basically he is an idiot with no solutions and she can't understand why anyone would vote for him :D

Please tell me someone else saw James Mcgrath and Alan Jones going off at eachother like fucking children on channel 7 :lol:

:lol:

rofl its like a bunch of primary school kids giving reasons as to why you cant play

I probably shouldn't be asking this but what has happened to Murdoch Rags?

:lol: Damn, wish I did but don't really watch channel 7.

2pp nationally so far according to AEC 50.01 to libs 49.99 to labour
labour could in theory win the popular vote
early voting strongly favoured libs and labours popular vote has grown throughout the night

:lol: It was the one time I've been glad to have the tv on 7