The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese


The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese

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SocaWho
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pv4 wrote:
If labour get elected will they give me $900 or whatever Kevin07 gave me?

Fuck it ...I want me a laptop instead:lol:
Edited
8 Years Ago by SocaWho
notorganic
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AzzaMarch wrote:
Secondly, no matter what you think of Shorten, he has spent his whole working life negotiating in his life as a union official, and then an ALP number cruncher.


He's also proven to be capable of trading seemingly against his constituents short term interest when playing the long game.

I don't bring that up as a positive or a negative, just that you may see him deal on things that are unexpected to be able to hit long-term Labor/Unionist agendas.
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
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SocaWho wrote:
notorganic wrote:
SocaWho wrote:
i hate it when people pull out the " oh but our debt is lower compared to other countries card" to excuse getting into more debt.
It's a bit like if I had a 500k mortgage and I was paying a shit load of interest compared to
The guy with 2 million dollar mortgage , but I say it's ok " he's got the bigger debt "](*,)
Off with fairies again are we:roll:


Repeat after me, mate.

"Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage."

I never said it was the same thing
Debt is debt ...money borrowed money needs to be paid back

Edited by Socawho: 4/7/2016 11:00:44 AM


National debt does not need to be paid back (but it should be paid back). Your mortgage needs to be paid back because you will retire one day and no longer be able to service the debt. The Australian government will not retire and merely needs to service the debt.
Edited
8 Years Ago by vanlassen
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vanlassen wrote:
SocaWho wrote:
notorganic wrote:
SocaWho wrote:
i hate it when people pull out the " oh but our debt is lower compared to other countries card" to excuse getting into more debt.
It's a bit like if I had a 500k mortgage and I was paying a shit load of interest compared to
The guy with 2 million dollar mortgage , but I say it's ok " he's got the bigger debt "](*,)
Off with fairies again are we:roll:


Repeat after me, mate.

"Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage."

I never said it was the same thing
Debt is debt ...money borrowed money needs to be paid back

Edited by Socawho: 4/7/2016 11:00:44 AM


National debt does not need to be paid back (but it should be paid back). Your mortgage needs to be paid back because you will retire one day and no longer be able to service the debt. The Australian government will not retire and merely needs to service the debt.


I heard that if you pay off all your sovereign debt that you own the country outright.
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
rusty
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mcjules wrote:
rusty wrote:
notorganic wrote:
If they can get together 72 seats and crossbenchers, ALP may be able to bypass the idiotic plebiscite and pass marriage equality in its own right.


How on earth can we even fathom something as trivial as gay marriage when Medicare is on the verge of being destroyed by the libs arrgghhh
That's not an issue anymore because the voters have ensured it won't happen.



Quote:
The Medicare campaign was based on a projection from a premise: that because the government was outsourcing a small corner of Medicare, the whole lot could go. So far as Wright was concerned, this tapped a core weakness of the Coalition: that it did not support Medicare, or that it supported it only grudgingly while looking for ways around it. This was the fear to leverage.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/federal-election-2016/federal-election-2016-inside-story-of-how-labors-mediscare-plot-was-hatched/news-story/51ee0223bfe1f0922cd6d15f447e692f


The co-payment and other stuff they tried in this term was the catalyst. People were already worried.


Its interesting though that when Labor try to adopt co payments and freeze rebates , lower the subsidy of medicines etc this doesn't translate into "privatization". Just ask Bob Hawke.:lol: Libs don't want to privatise Medicare, but if there are ways of making Medicare more efficient, less costly and reducing waste through outsourcing every responsible government should be on board with this.

Sadly now medicare costs will continue to explode as no government will want to touch it which will reduce the quality and efficiency of services in the long run.
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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vanlassen wrote:

National debt does not need to be paid back (but it should be paid back). Your mortgage needs to be paid back because you will retire one day and no longer be able to service the debt. The Australian government will not retire and merely needs to service the debt.


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish. Hasn't anyone learned lessons from the GFC?
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
notorganic
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What lessons did you learn from the GFC, Czar Rusty?
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
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notorganic wrote:
What lessons did you learn from the GFC, Czar Rusty?


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish.
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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rusty wrote:
notorganic wrote:
What lessons did you learn from the GFC, Czar Rusty?


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish.


ONE MORE TIME FOR THE WORLD!!!!
Edited
8 Years Ago by RedshirtWilly
mcjules
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RedshirtWilly wrote:
rusty wrote:
notorganic wrote:
What lessons did you learn from the GFC, Czar Rusty?


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish.


ONE MORE TIME FOR THE WORLD!!!!
Hands up who thinks debt can be balanced through economic growth alone?

My hands down for the record :lol:

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
8 Years Ago by mcjules
SocaWho
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vanlassen wrote:
SocaWho wrote:
notorganic wrote:
SocaWho wrote:
i hate it when people pull out the " oh but our debt is lower compared to other countries card" to excuse getting into more debt.
It's a bit like if I had a 500k mortgage and I was paying a shit load of interest compared to
The guy with 2 million dollar mortgage , but I say it's ok " he's got the bigger debt "](*,)
Off with fairies again are we:roll:


Repeat after me, mate.

"Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage. Sovereign debt is not synonymous with a mortgage."

I never said it was the same thing
Debt is debt ...money borrowed money needs to be paid back

Edited by Socawho: 4/7/2016 11:00:44 AM


National debt does not need to be paid back (but it should be paid back). Your mortgage needs to be paid back because you will retire one day and no longer be able to service the debt. The Australian government will not retire and merely needs to service the debt.

Why is it a HECS debt needs to be paid back if governments subsidise the loans ?
Edited
8 Years Ago by SocaWho
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mcjules wrote:
Eventually. What exactly are you concerned about? Defaulting? The Australian government owns the (virtual) printing press, it can't default. The issue is printing more money means more inflation, but go have a look at the inflation figures. We're no where near a position where that's going to be an issue. Basically the government needs to do what it can in this period of slow global growth to keep the economy stable.


It can default. Defaulting would be a better option than rampant inflation and printing of worthless dollars.

Edited by rusty: 4/7/2016 12:17:17 PM
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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rusty wrote:
mcjules wrote:
Eventually. What exactly are you concerned about? Defaulting? The Australian government owns the (virtual) printing press, it can't default. The issue is printing more money means more inflation, but go have a look at the inflation figures. We're no where near a position where that's going to be an issue. Basically the government needs to do what it can in this period of slow global growth to keep the economy stable.


It can default. Defaulting would be a better option than rampant inflation and printing of worthless dollars.
Doesn't change the argument really, I just tried to simplify things because in reality sovereign debt and the way the economy works is incredibly complex. The debt at current levels is not a major cause for concern. Certainly not a "budget emergency" and you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
8 Years Ago by mcjules
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I think it's worth bearing acknowledgment of the tremendous job Di Natale has done in revitalising and pragmatising The Greens and in the face of some branches being totally resistant to being more professional and targeted.

Bob Brown was fun, but never really more interested in anything other than activism. Milne was shrill & annoying white noise.

Di Natale is more composed, more professional and more able to articulate a moderate socialist position that appeals to plenty of rusted on voters from both sides of politics.

I know more than a handful of regular Liberal/National voters here in Vic who voted Greens this election.
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
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rusty wrote:
notorganic wrote:
What lessons did you learn from the GFC, Czar Rusty?


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish.


OK - taking the bait and responding.

What do you think that will happen to economic growth at a time of global weak growth, if you decide to impose austerity and cut spending.

By cutting spending you are decreasing the very economic growth you are relying on to occur! What do you think has happening in the EU for the last 5 years?

What you need to do is have a manageable deficit, with a focus on spending on things like infrastructure in order to increase the productive capacity of the overall economy.
Edited
8 Years Ago by AzzaMarch
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mcjules wrote:
you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government.


That's where the sound economic managers tripled the budget deficit and failed to pass any meaningful economic reform, right?
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
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notorganic wrote:
mcjules wrote:
you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government.


That's where the sound economic managers tripled the budget deficit and failed to pass any meaningful economic reform, right?



Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

Edited
8 Years Ago by mcjules
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mcjules wrote:
It can default. Defaulting would be a better option than rampant inflation and printing of worthless dollars.
Doesn't change the argument really, I just tried to simplify things because in reality sovereign debt and the way the economy works is incredibly complex. The debt at current levels is not a major cause for concern. Certainly not a "budget emergency" and you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government. [/quote]

The "budget emergency" hyperbole related more to the rate of increase in spending , which I understand under Labor was the fastest in the OECD, rather than the actual level of debt in net terms. The current debt is not a major concern on its own merits, but when you factor in the volatile global economy on which we are highly dependent, if another GFC like event were to hit we could very rapidly find ourselves in the shit. Unlike countries like Greece, Ireland, Portugal we dont have coutnries to bail us out if/when shit hits the fan. The current debt is also responsible for the growing burden of bracket creep. Rather than government trying to reduce debt through spending cuts and economic growth, both sides of government are banking on higher tax revenues in particular from low and middle income workers to claw back the deficit.


Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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notorganic wrote:
mcjules wrote:
you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government.


That's where the sound economic managers tripled the budget deficit and failed to pass any meaningful economic reform, right?


Didn't ABC fact check the claim the libs tripled the deficit?

:lol:



Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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AzzaMarch wrote:
OK - taking the bait and responding.

What do you think that will happen to economic growth at a time of global weak growth, if you decide to impose austerity and cut spending.

By cutting spending you are decreasing the very economic growth you are relying on to occur! What do you think has happening in the EU for the last 5 years?

What you need to do is have a manageable deficit, with a focus on spending on things like infrastructure in order to increase the productive capacity of the overall economy.


But you also neeed to ensure you have a buffer, so if when global financial crisis hits you can raise sufficient debt @ low interest to spend on things like infrastructure. If debt is too high, then it will cost more to borrow which which will make borrowing more difficult and more expensive to service, which can curtail the economic growht you are trying to achieve.

Didn't Keynes advocate for deficits in times of economic prosperity?


Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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rusty wrote:
vanlassen wrote:

National debt does not need to be paid back (but it should be paid back). Your mortgage needs to be paid back because you will retire one day and no longer be able to service the debt. The Australian government will not retire and merely needs to service the debt.


All debt, whether national debt, credit card debt, mortgage debt needs to be paid back. Now servicing the interest on the debt is fine so long as there is continual economic growth to cover the repayments, however if there's a downturn in the economic and a recession happens and they cannot meet the repayments, they will either need to borrow more at a higher interest or print money which will increase inflation and negative impact on credit rating, bond rates, investment and economic stability.

The mantra that debt doesn't need to be carefully managed and can be balanced through economic growth alone is very foolish. Hasn't anyone learned lessons from the GFC?

I heard the National Debt is on a 30 year lease.
Edited
8 Years Ago by vanlassen
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rusty wrote:
AzzaMarch wrote:
OK - taking the bait and responding.

What do you think that will happen to economic growth at a time of global weak growth, if you decide to impose austerity and cut spending.

By cutting spending you are decreasing the very economic growth you are relying on to occur! What do you think has happening in the EU for the last 5 years?

What you need to do is have a manageable deficit, with a focus on spending on things like infrastructure in order to increase the productive capacity of the overall economy.


But you also neeed to ensure you have a buffer, so if when global financial crisis hits you can raise sufficient debt @ low interest to spend on things like infrastructure. If debt is too high, then it will cost more to borrow which which will make borrowing more difficult and more expensive to service, which can curtail the economic growht you are trying to achieve.

Didn't Keynes advocate for deficits in times of economic prosperity?



No - deficit in times of low growth, surplus in times of good growth.

Balanced over the course of the business cycle.
Edited
8 Years Ago by AzzaMarch
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AzzaMarch wrote:
rusty wrote:
AzzaMarch wrote:
OK - taking the bait and responding.

What do you think that will happen to economic growth at a time of global weak growth, if you decide to impose austerity and cut spending.

By cutting spending you are decreasing the very economic growth you are relying on to occur! What do you think has happening in the EU for the last 5 years?

What you need to do is have a manageable deficit, with a focus on spending on things like infrastructure in order to increase the productive capacity of the overall economy.


But you also neeed to ensure you have a buffer, so if when global financial crisis hits you can raise sufficient debt @ low interest to spend on things like infrastructure. If debt is too high, then it will cost more to borrow which which will make borrowing more difficult and more expensive to service, which can curtail the economic growht you are trying to achieve.

Didn't Keynes advocate for deficits in times of economic prosperity?



No - deficit in times of low growth, surplus in times of good growth.

Balanced over the course of the business cycle.


Yes that's what I meant .
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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It's interesting watching the 2PP on the AEC website , the Libs vote has dipped below 5 million. Hopefully AEC haven't forgotten how to count .
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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rusty wrote:
AzzaMarch wrote:
rusty wrote:
Didn't Keynes advocate for deficits in times of economic prosperity?



No - deficit in times of low growth, surplus in times of good growth.

Balanced over the course of the business cycle.


Yes that's what I meant .


You meant the complete opposite of what you actually said?
Edited
8 Years Ago by notorganic
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notorganic wrote:
mcjules wrote:
you can see that in how the Liberal party tried to manage it while in government.


That's where the sound economic managers tripled the budget deficit and failed to pass any meaningful economic reform, right?


It would have more than tripled under the Labor.

A senate and cross bench which blocks passing The Budget, and the government gets called "do nothing"- really?
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8 Years Ago by Enzo Bearzot
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When you fail to pass your legislation, you have done nothing.
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8 Years Ago by notorganic
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AzzaMarch wrote:
mcjules wrote:
AzzaMarch wrote:
Here is a pretty cool "Senate calculator" the Guardian has put up:

http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2016/jul/04/senate-calculator-legislation-pass-after-australian-election-2016

If the ALP forms minority govt, the Senate looks to be pretty reasonable to navigate - ALP + Greens + NXT is enough to pass legislation.

A lot harder for the Libs, as they have to pass things without the Greens support.
On past history, I think the senate is pretty unworkable for the Libs.


Definitely - but also once you remove the Greens from the equation, Libs would need 9 out of 10 or the "crazies" to get stuff through.

I think if the lower house situation ends up in minority govt territory (which it seems like it will) this will mean the ALP is in the box seat.

For one, the greens have definitively ruled out any deal with the Libs.

Secondly, no matter what you think of Shorten, he has spent his whole working life negotiating in his life as a union official, and then an ALP number cruncher.

I'd argue he is much more capable, and likely, than the Libs to be able to cut a deal that works for the ALP.

Libs only hope is to get to 76 seats on their own. Which seems relatively unlikely at this stage.


I'm a 100% sure Bill is better than Mal at cutting a deal that would for Labor.

And re: spending and infrastructure. This is one of the great lies perpetuated by the left. Most tax receipts do not get spent on infrastructure, they get spent on welfare. In fact the welfare cost is almost eqal to the PAYG Tax receipts.

Increasing CGT, removing NG, taxing super will not result in a single additional road, bridge, school, internet connection being built.

It will be pissed up as another welfare payment to someone in the bottom 80% of "taxpayers" who contribute sweet FA to the tax base.

Who wiil then vote for more taxes, for the infrastructure, of course.
Edited
8 Years Ago by Enzo Bearzot
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notorganic wrote:
You meant the complete opposite of what you actually said?


Yes
Edited
8 Years Ago by rusty
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notorganic wrote:
When you fail to pass your legislation, you have done nothing.


When you have senate made up of knobs, voted in by knobs whose only interest is in "what will the govment give me" that's what happens.

People aren't stupid-most vote for a pay rise, rather than work for it.
Edited
8 Years Ago by Enzo Bearzot
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