The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese


The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese

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1850-2011 CO2 World wide Emissions 
USA - 27%
China - 11%

China should be allowed to increase emissions in the short term
Alternatively, USA builds hundred of billions $ worth of wind & solar in China, free of charge
Edited
7 Years Ago by Dial It In
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While I agree with the sentiment behind banning certain political donations, as soon as you ban something, you have to police it.

Banning donations from certain sources could just lead to those sources finding a different way to contribute the same level of funding. For example, individuals closely connected withthe unions or foreign institutions, rather than the unions or institutions themselves. While we would pay ourselves on the back that something had been done about political donations, the politicians would know exactly where it had come from.

Perhaps a better resolution would be to increase the visibility and publicity of donations. For instance, a couple of years ago when Joe Hockey gave his opinion on wind farms, I would have thought the media would have publicised the amount the coal industry donates to the LNP, showing exactly how much Hockey is in their back pocket.
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:22 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 12:55 PM


ellenpee thumped everyone else prior to 2013 & 2016 elections


I don't think the LNP is ever able to compete with the unions. Plus it's donations have been in steady decline.

Every now and then they may get an influx from corporations etc 
Edited
7 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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mcjules - 6 Jun 2017 1:11 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:08 PM

Yep even the link he provided says the same thing. Quite incredible.

Actually no. Look again.

China will be increasing its emissions even after 2030, however the trajectory is much shallower. Look at the graph again. 

There is no reduction at all. 
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:27 PM
1850-2011 CO2 World wide Emissions 
USA - 27%
China - 11%

China should be allowed to increase emissions in the short term
Alternatively, USA builds hundred of billions $ worth of wind & solar in China, free of charge

If you went 1990 to 2011, i'd be interested to see how those percentages changed.

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BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:37 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:27 PM

If you went 1990 to 2011, i'd be interested to see how those percentages changed.

CO2 remains in the atmosphere for over 1,000 years
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:39 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:37 PM

CO2 remains in the atmosphere for over 1,000 years

No one is saying that emissions can remain indefinitely on either side of politics. Both sides of the political spectrum support the Paris Agreement.

But whether we reduce our emissions or not, still doesn't translate to a global reduction because developing countries will still be burning lots of coal for the next 50 years.

The question is this. Why shouldn't Austraia sell coal to those economies? If we don't, they will get it from elsewhere. We need the money and the jobs. 
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:39 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:37 PM

CO2 remains in the atmosphere for over 1,000 years

We're talking in terms of pure consumption. The long term affects are not in dispute.

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mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 1:47 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:39 PM

 Both sides of the political spectrum support the Paris Agreement.


The evidence clearly suggests otherwise
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BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:49 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 1:39 PM

We're talking in terms of pure consumption. The long term affects are not in dispute.

Yes, and in relative terms, the USA is the worst consumer

It also worth considering that plenty of China's emissions went towards goods consumed in first world countries like the USA
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 2:07 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:49 PM

Yes, and in relative terms, the USA is the worst consumer

It also worth considering that plenty of China's emissions went towards goods consumed in first world countries like the USA

In the stats provided yes. However, I believe the percentages would be much different if they did not go back so far. China only really started expanding at a rapid rate around 1980 if memory serves me correctly.

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BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:15 PM
mcjules - 6 Jun 2017 1:11 PM

In his defence consumption is still very high, higher than anyone else by a significant margin. However, we have numerous active coal mines running below capacity in Queensland alone or currently in shut down status. Why do we need a brand new mine at a cost to us (questionable benefits also) when we can meet China's demand for coal with our existing mines.

I accept that I have completely backflipped on my appraisal of the Adani Coal Mine in the last month or 2.

No doubt. I was just disputing that their demand for coal is increasing when in fact its going backwards.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

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Aljay - 6 Jun 2017 1:28 PM
While I agree with the sentiment behind banning certain political donations, as soon as you ban something, you have to police it. Banning donations from certain sources could just lead to those sources finding a different way to contribute the same level of funding. For example, individuals closely connected withthe unions or foreign institutions, rather than the unions or institutions themselves. While we would pay ourselves on the back that something had been done about political donations, the politicians would know exactly where it had come from.Perhaps a better resolution would be to increase the visibility and publicity of donations. For instance, a couple of years ago when Joe Hockey gave his opinion on wind farms, I would have thought the media would have publicised the amount the coal industry donates to the LNP, showing exactly how much Hockey is in their back pocket.

I agree which is why we shouldn't only ban certain donations but a blanket one. Much rather elections be funded completely by the public purse in a system that's clear.

In lieu of that, a more transparent donation system is also semi-acceptable. There are too many grey areas around reporting of donations at the moment.

Insert Gertjan Verbeek gifs here

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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 2:05 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 1:47 PM

The evidence clearly suggests otherwise

Such as?

What evidence are you talking about when it was the LNP Government that signed the Paris Agreement?
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 2:07 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 1:49 PM

Yes, and in relative terms, the USA is the worst consumer

It also worth considering that plenty of China's emissions went towards goods consumed in first world countries like the USA

Not anymore it isn't.

China just recently surpassed the USA. USA is now second. 
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BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 2:11 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 2:07 PM

In the stats provided yes. However, I believe the percentages would be much different if they did not go back so far. China only really started expanding at a rapid rate around 1980 if memory serves me correctly.

Emissions prior to 1980 don't 'disappear'  
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mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 3:01 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 2:07 PM

Not anymore it isn't.

China just recently surpassed the USA. USA is now second. 

Cumulatively, USA is first, by a mile. As mentioned previously
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:35 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 2:11 PM

Emissions prior to 1980 don't 'disappear'  

That's not what i'm saying, of course they don't.

However, comparing since 1950 when China's emissions probably didn't significantly increase until 1980-1990 doesn't accurately show the Chinese demand.

If you compare China and the USA from 1990 to present, I am saying that their usage would be far closer to parity.

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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:36 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 3:01 PM

Cumulatively, USA is first, by a mile. As mentioned previously

Current emission levels are whats important. 

(VAR) IS NAVY BLUE

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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:36 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 3:01 PM

Cumulatively, USA is first, by a mile. As mentioned previously

No it's not!

We don't talk about cumulatively. We only take the latest emissions as the current dejure state of play.
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7 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 3:41 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:35 PM

That's not what i'm saying, of course they don't.

However, comparing since 1950 when China's emissions probably didn't significantly increase until 1980-1990 doesn't accurately show the Chinese demand.

If you compare China and the USA from 1990 to present, I am saying that their usage would be far closer to parity.

Emissions prior to 1990 don't disappear either.
Preempting, emissions prior to 2000 don't disappear additionally
Further preempting, emissions don't disappear prior to 2007 (when China caught USA)

Not sure how much more movement of goalposts you intend doing
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sydneyfc1987 - 6 Jun 2017 3:42 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:36 PM

Current emission levels are whats important. 

In the face of history, please elaborate
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mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:16 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 3:36 PM

No it's not!

We don't talk about cumulatively. We only take the latest emissions as the current dejure state of play.

  https://wri.org/blog/2014/11/6-graphs-explain-world’s-top-10-emitters

The graph at the bottom shows the USA is first, by some distance

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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 4:38 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:16 PM

  https://wri.org/blog/2014/11/6-graphs-explain-world’s-top-10-emitters

The graph at the bottom shows the USA is first, by some distance

You are referring to cumulative emissions which takes into account past history.

The only sound way to gauge who is the biggest emitter of CO2 is this previous 12 months, and the USA is not the top polluter anymore. It's China, and the gap is widening too. 

Probably in the not too distant future, India will also surpass the USA. 
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7 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 4:35 PM
BETHFC - 6 Jun 2017 3:41 PM

Emissions prior to 1990 don't disappear either.
Preempting, emissions prior to 2000 don't disappear additionally
Further preempting, emissions don't disappear prior to 2007 (when China caught USA)

Not sure how much more movement of goalposts you intend doing

It seems you are the one moving the goalposts here. 

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mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:42 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 4:38 PM

You are referring to cumulative emissions which takes into account past history.

The only sound way to gauge who is the biggest emitter of CO2 is this previous 12 moves, and the USA is not the top polluter anymore. It's China, and the gap is widening too. 

Probably in the not too distant future, India will also surpass the USA. 

Yes, that history & emissions don't disappear, even when one arbitrarily cherry picks a particular year to evaluate from.

Cherry picking - standard modus operandi for your science denying conservative 
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 4:47 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:42 PM



Yes, that history & emissions don't disappear, even when one arbitrarily cherry picks a particular year to evaluate from.

Cherry picking - standard modus operandi for your science denying conservative 

Whether they disappear or not is neither here nor there. What counts is what they are emitting today, not back in 1990, or 2005, or 2007.

And today, the USA is not the biggest polluter. It is still the second most biggest polluter. It is still a bigger polluter on a per capita basis, but it isn't the overall biggest polluter. Plus, its emissions are in decline due to green energy investment from the private sector. 
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mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:54 PM
Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 4:47 PM

Whether they disappear or not is neither here nor there. What counts is what they are emitting today, not back in 1990, or 2005, or 2007.


"Your Honour, it doesn't matter that I killed 27 people 18 years ago, what matters is that I haven't killed anyone today!"
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 5:06 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:54 PM

"Your Honour, it doesn't matter that I killed 27 people 18 years ago, what matters is that I haven't killed anyone today!"

Completely irrelevant and an utter straw man!



Edited
7 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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Dial It In - 6 Jun 2017 5:06 PM
mouflonrouge - 6 Jun 2017 4:54 PM

"Your Honour, it doesn't matter that I killed 27 people 18 years ago, what matters is that I haven't killed anyone today!"

It's this sort of rationale that show what every right-wing leaning person suspects about the climate change debate. It's not about making the world a better place, it's about evening the ledger.

GO


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