The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese


The Australian Politics thread: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese

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Burztur - 13 May 2019 8:24 AM
Personally, if you can only afford a 5% deposit, I wouldn't want someone going in and buying a property at that value. You're encouraging people into debt traps more than anything.

Yes.  And if you give, for example, every first home owner say $20 000 each all that happens is the price of houses goes up by $20 000.

For a mob who's mantra is 'let  the market decide' / 'small government' this is a weird policy.


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rusty - 13 May 2019 8:07 AM
paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 4:39 AM
 
The pettiness is strong in this one

How is that petty lol?

It's being realistic.

Good thing the banks will still have to run through the usual checks and balances on the loans.

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 8:37 AM
rusty - 13 May 2019 8:07 AM

How is that petty lol?

It's being realistic.

Good thing the banks will still have to run through the usual checks and balances on the loans.

-PB

How is it not petty?  The government is offering to cover 75% of your deposit and your only response is to have a whinge.  People wont be satisfied until the government is giving housing away for free.
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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 8:27 AM
Burztur - 13 May 2019 8:24 AM

Yes.  And if you give, for example, every first home owner say $20 000 each all that happens is the price of houses goes up by $20 000.

For a mob who's mantra is 'let  the market decide' / 'small government' this is a weird policy.

And all that happens with removing negative gearing is rents go up making it harder to save for a deposit.

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rusty - 13 May 2019 9:48 AM
Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 8:27 AM

And all that happens with removing negative gearing is rents go up making it harder to save for a deposit.

Well we'll see.  You can still negatively gear new homes so in theory that should increase supply as investors would be wiser to maximise their returns by taking advantage of that.

The problem with housing is a matter of supply.  I would imagine this should increase supply.  Full explanation here.  https://www.alp.org.au/negativegearing





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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 9:54 AM
rusty - 13 May 2019 9:48 AM

Well we'll see.  You can still negatively gear new homes so in theory that should increase supply as investors would be wiser to maximise their returns by taking advantage of that.

The problem with housing is a matter of supply.  I would imagine this should increase supply.  Full explanation here.  https://www.alp.org.au/negativegearing



It's not going to work, see here for a full explanation https://www.liberal.org.au/stop-labors-housing-tax

For any further information please visit https://www.liberal.org.au



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rusty - 13 May 2019 10:03 AM
Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 9:54 AM

It's not going to work, see here for a full explanation https://www.liberal.org.au/stop-labors-housing-tax

For any further information please visit https://www.liberal.org.au



That's fine.  Time will tell.

As for that link that tells me nothing except that Labour's policy is 'bad'. There's no 'full explanation' of any sort.  The link to the other page doesn't even hyperlink the MBA report so there's no way of confirming anything they wrote.  Odd given that if they believe what they're saying you 'd think they'd put up as many references as they could.





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Edited
6 Years Ago by Munrubenmuz
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rusty - 13 May 2019 9:43 AM
paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 8:37 AM

How is it not petty?  The government is offering to cover 75% of your deposit and your only response is to have a whinge.  People wont be satisfied until the government is giving housing away for free.

They're not covering it, they're going guarantor for 5%, out of the usual 20% required by banks, which won't change.  

It's not being petty, its pointing out how back patting over such a measure as some kind of fix for the housing crisis, is stupid.

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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rusty - 13 May 2019 9:48 AM
Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 8:27 AM

And all that happens with removing negative gearing is rents go up making it harder to save for a deposit.

Based on what?

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2019/03/really-happened-rents-negative-gearing-abolished/

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-05-06/hockey-negative-gearing/6431100



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rusty - 13 May 2019 10:03 AM
Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 9:54 AM

It's not going to work, see here for a full explanation https://www.liberal.org.au/stop-labors-housing-tax

For any further information please visit https://www.liberal.org.au



lol a few sentence statement, linking to the MBA (Liberal donors lol) which then links to a report commissioned by Cadence Economics (who has done non-released modelling for the LNP in the past), for the MBA, who's report is specifically calibrated to Grattan Institute future assumptions.

Talk about a house of cards.

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 10:30 AM
rusty - 13 May 2019 10:03 AM

That's fine.  Time will tell.

As for that link that tells me nothing except that Labour's policy is 'bad'. There's no 'full explanation' of any sort.  The link to the other page doesn't even hyperlink the MBA report so there's no way of confirming anything they wrote.  Odd given that if they believe what they're saying you 'd think they'd put up as many references as they could.



It's there, on Cadence's website, just have to go digging for it.

They also modeled it basing it as a raising of taxation for the economy rather than it being a reduction of a taxable benefit.

Even from their results, it's hard to understand why new construction would minimize if that's the only negatively geared ticket in town should ALP's policies ever get passed.

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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sub007 - 12 May 2019 10:43 PM
mouflonrouge - 12 May 2019 9:18 PM

Labor have literally said that they'd do the same policy lol.

haha! Desperate copy cats.

That is if you can trust Shortfused but Shortfused wants to manipulate the market too, making rents a lot dearer. So which one is it?

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sub007 - 12 May 2019 11:22 PM
MvFCArsenal16.8 - 12 May 2019 11:09 PM

Yeah I'm not gonna bother replying to him.

If Labor win, he'd probably claim the election was rigged or that there was foreign interference lol.

No I won't claim that. if Shortfused wins, he will be a one term wonder.

But here is the tip for you and please remember it.

Labor is NOT going to win. People are not stupid to hand him the keys to the economy.

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433 - 12 May 2019 11:50 PM


mouflonrouge - 12 May 2019 9:13 PM

Not really, just looking at "taxable income" isn't a fair representation of someones wealth.

As previously noted, "taxable income" does not include the largest source of income for many retires: tax-free superannuation.

Nor does it tell us much about the overall wealth of those claiming refundable franking credits.The Grattan Institute's Ms Wood said analysing the changes by focusing on taxable income did little to explain the economic position of those affected by the policy change.

In a recent submission to a House of Representatives Inquiry, the Grattan Institute gave the following example."Take the example of a self-funded retiree couple with a $3.2 million super balance, plus their own home, and $200,000 in Australian shares held outside super.

Even drawing $130,000 a year in superannuation income, and $15,000 a year in dividend income, they would report a combined taxable income of just $15,000 and pay no income tax whatsoever."

Calculations by the Grattan Institute show when superannuation income is removed from ABS income and wealth survey data (reflecting taxable income), almost half of the wealthiest 10 per cent of those over 65 report income of less than the $18,200 tax free threshold and thus pay no tax.

On average, however, this group had wealth of nearly $2 million, even before factoring in the value of their home or other property assets.

This illustrates the extent to which individuals with relatively high levels of untaxed incomes (including from superannuation) and wealth have low taxable incomes.


Furthermore,

According to the Parliamentary Budget Offices estimates, there are some 320,000 pensioners and allowance recipients who claim refunds for excess imputation credits.

Those estimates show the guarantee would reduce revenue by $300 million in 2021-22, or just 5 per cent.

The relatively small loss of revenue due to the guarantee in itself suggests most of the revenue from the policy is not coming from full or part pensioners, but wealthier retirees.



https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-01-30/fact-check-labors-dividend-imputation-policy/10626204

So basically this policy goes after an unsustainable handout to a generation of asset-rich retirees who already draw tax-free income from their super, while leaving genuine low-income retirees relatively unscathed. This couldn't have come soon enough.


No it's not, because your family home doesn't count.

You could have bought a house in inner Sydney years ago and that house can be worth a million bucks but that isn't means tested. Under Shortfused it could be.

So basically people will be pushed out of their homes.

Everyone has already paid tax on their superannuation by means of the 15% super contribution scheme or tax. You can't doubly dip since superannuation is suppose to be put away for people's retirement. It is means tested which means if you have a lot of super, you can't claim a pension anyway, and once it's rolled over for retirement, you do pay tax on any profit the non drawn portion makes. That isn't tax free.

So pensioners on the high brackets can't claim the franking credit tax. Only those on low brackets can.

Drawing 130,000 a year from your super is not suppose to be taxed so the example is flawed. Tax has already been paid on that. You aredrawing your own money.

However, any re-invested portion of the 3.2 million in Super will earn a profit hopefully, and that profit is taxable.

So if they draw 130,000, it leaves 3.07 million, earning lets say 5% = just over 150,000 that year.

This 150,000 is taxable, and it falls in the high tax bracket. Therefore, they can't claim the franking credit.

Claiming the franking Credit only applies to people in the lower tiers of the tax bracket, not those with 3.2 million in super and 200K in shares.



Edited
6 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 4:36 AM
mouflonrouge - 12 May 2019 7:59 PM

Because then it means they're already paying 0 tax to begin with.

-PB

The tax has been paid by the company in terms of the 30% company tax rate on profits.

But let's say the dividend recipient is a low income earner, then they should only pay the amount pertaining to their relevant bracket.

Doesn't mean that no tax will be paid, but that low income earners will get some back.

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mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 4:30 PM
sub007 - 12 May 2019 11:22 PM

No I won't claim that. if Shortfused wins, he will be a one term wonder.

But here is the tip for you and please remember it.

Labor is NOT going to win. People are not stupid to hand him the keys to the economy.

Quoted.


Member since 2008.


Edited
6 Years Ago by Munrubenmuz
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paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 4:39 AM
mouflonrouge - 12 May 2019 9:18 PM

So now new homer buyers in Sydney Melbourne only need 50k, and will still have to deal with LMI.

LOL.

-PB

Yes that is what it means.

Normally, they would need 200,000 but under the Liberal's policy they would only require 50,000 for a home worth 1 million.

Even if housing market in Sydney dropped by 50% to let's say 500,000, they would require a deposit of 100,000.

So it is a big thing and it will open the market up to a lot of people without risking thje economy.

Edited
6 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 4:45 PM
mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 4:30 PM

Quoted.

Beat me to it lol.
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Burztur - 13 May 2019 8:24 AM
Personally, if you can only afford a 5% deposit, I wouldn't want someone going in and buying a property at that value. You're encouraging people into debt traps more than anything.

How about we give people free housing then to avoid debt?

People will put in as big a deposit as they have.

A 5% deposit under the new policy will get people into the market where they can pay things off slowly. No one said it is going to be easy and the market normally goes up in value so people who do buy in will be increasing their wealth and avoid the rent trap.

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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 8:27 AM
Burztur - 13 May 2019 8:24 AM

Yes.  And if you give, for example, every first home owner say $20 000 each all that happens is the price of houses goes up by $20 000.

For a mob who's mantra is 'let  the market decide' / 'small government' this is a weird policy.

Liberals didn't promise to give anyone any money. It offered to guarantee first home buyers who do not have the 20% deposit.

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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 9:54 AM
rusty - 13 May 2019 9:48 AM

Well we'll see.  You can still negatively gear new homes so in theory that should increase supply as investors would be wiser to maximise their returns by taking advantage of that.

The problem with housing is a matter of supply.  I would imagine this should increase supply.  Full explanation here.  https://www.alp.org.au/negativegearing



Problem is, investors will buy housing overseas or opt for shares.

I doubt many investors would be keen to build new out in woop woop.

I always wanted a house in Italy.

Edited
6 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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paulbagzFC - 13 May 2019 10:31 AM
rusty - 13 May 2019 9:43 AM

They're not covering it, they're going guarantor for 5%, out of the usual 20% required by banks, which won't change.  

It's not being petty, its pointing out how back patting over such a measure as some kind of fix for the housing crisis, is stupid.

-PB

The home buyer still needs to pay it back.

Why would the Government pay for it? And gee, where is that money coming from. the Government is only going to Guarantee home buyers to get them into the market.

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Munrubenmuz - 13 May 2019 4:45 PM
mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 4:30 PM

Quoted.

You better believe it mate!

I'm going to be here to mine the salt! lol

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Strange that rusty  turns up in here after his hiatus . Must be an election and like aikhme is trying to big up his beloved lnp despite them being In deep shit
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MvFCArsenal16.8 - 13 May 2019 6:05 PM
Strange that rusty  turns up in here after his hiatus . Must be an election and like aikhme is trying to big up his beloved lnp despite them being In deep shit

You should really stop throwing accusations around about someone who really isn't here to defend themselves. it's been proved that Aikhme can't possibly be mere. We are literally 2000 kms apart. He is also on a permaban. You really should seek clarification from the owners before slandering people because you don't like their politics or views.

It speaks volumes about your very character.

Also, PaulC is a very switched on character on this forum. He is intelligent and well informed.

Edited
6 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 4:30 PM
sub007 - 12 May 2019 11:22 PM

No I won't claim that. if Shortfused wins, he will be a one term wonder.

But here is the tip for you and please remember it.

Labor is NOT going to win. People are not stupid to hand him the keys to the economy.

Believe me they are pretty stupid, and they are only getting worse year by year. 
I hope you're right, but if I were you, I wouldn't be too confident there's more smart people out there compared with the dumb. 


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mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 4:32 PM
433 - 12 May 2019 11:50 PM

No it's not, because your family home doesn't count.

You could have bought a house in inner Sydney years ago and that house can be worth a million bucks but that isn't means tested. Under Shortfused it could be.

So basically people will be pushed out of their homes.

Everyone has already paid tax on their superannuation by means of the 15% super contribution scheme or tax. You can't doubly dip since superannuation is suppose to be put away for people's retirement. It is means tested which means if you have a lot of super, you can't claim a pension anyway, and once it's rolled over for retirement, you do pay tax on any profit the non drawn portion makes. That isn't tax free.

So pensioners on the high brackets can't claim the franking credit tax. Only those on low brackets can.

Drawing 130,000 a year from your super is not suppose to be taxed so the example is flawed. Tax has already been paid on that. You aredrawing your own money.

However, any re-invested portion of the 3.2 million in Super will earn a profit hopefully, and that profit is taxable.

So if they draw 130,000, it leaves 3.07 million, earning lets say 5% = just over 150,000 that year.

This 150,000 is taxable, and it falls in the high tax bracket. Therefore, they can't claim the franking credit.

Claiming the franking Credit only applies to people in the lower tiers of the tax bracket, not those with 3.2 million in super and 200K in shares.



LMAO you literally couldn't be more wrong. I can't be bothered arguing with someone as badly motivated as you.
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mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 8:18 PM
MvFCArsenal16.8 - 13 May 2019 6:05 PM

You should really stop throwing accusations around about someone who really isn't here to defend themselves. it's been proved that Aikhme can't possibly be mere. We are literally 2000 kms apart. He is also on a permaban. You really should seek clarification from the owners before slandering people because you don't like their politics or views.

It speaks volumes about your very character.

Also, PaulC is a very switched on character on this forum. He is intelligent and well informed.

Who mentioned Paul c on here? Not me . Me thinks you doth  protest to much. For some one who claims to be all knowing all you seem to do is what my co worker does and talk a lot of shit about things you know nothing about 
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mouflonrouge - 13 May 2019 8:18 PM
MvFCArsenal16.8 - 13 May 2019 6:05 PM

You should really stop throwing accusations around about someone who really isn't here to defend themselves. it's been proved that Aikhme can't possibly be mere. We are literally 2000 kms apart. He is also on a permaban. You really should seek clarification from the owners before slandering people because you don't like their politics or views.

Lol no it hasn't been proven. Why do you always lie and make shit up?
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