The Orange Army. (Brisbane Roar Official Thread)


The Orange Army. (Brisbane Roar Official Thread)

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Waz
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crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 11:50 AM
It's finally happened.
Roar are   favourites for the first time this season .
They are strong favourites to beat CCM,having not lost to them for yonks.


We were favourites against Victory. Funny world. 
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Waz - 26 Nov 2019 12:49 PM
crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 11:50 AM

We were favourites against Victory. Funny world. 

This is the first time the bookies have them favourites.
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crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 12:57 PM
Waz - 26 Nov 2019 12:49 PM

This is the first time the bookies have them favourites.

Just out of interest, are their any stats on how accurate bookies are these days? 
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Waz - 26 Nov 2019 12:48 PM
Mello-D - 26 Nov 2019 12:06 PM

The squad was recruited for 3-5-2 so no one is being played out of position unintentionally. 

And if players are out of form in 3-5-2 they’ll be out of form in 4-4-2 or any other formation 

confidence and self belief are fragile things in football and that now seems to be part of the problem. 

Agree.  This team has a major confidence issue.

And for that reason I think that CCM may win this weekend.
Edited
6 Years Ago by CS
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Waz - 26 Nov 2019 1:01 PM
crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 12:57 PM

Just out of interest, are their any stats on how accurate bookies are these days? 

They are rich - we aren't.

Is that statistical enough Waz?

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CS - 26 Nov 2019 1:33 PM
Waz - 26 Nov 2019 12:48 PM

Agree.  This team has a major confidence issue.

And for that reason I think that CCM may win this weekend.

I see this game playing out two ways:

1/ Roar sit back and allow Mariners to run at them and they’ll concede sooner or later and likely lose. 

2/ Roar get on the front foot and take the game to Mariners and use their physical strength to boss the game, then they’ll win comfortably. 

I cant see (2) happening without 2-3 changes.

DWH/ROD up front. 
Inman, O’Shay, O’Neill in the middle
Back 3 as-is with Courtney-Perkins/Jingham out wide
Young in goal for the sake of change. 

I’d also push O’shay so far forward it looks like a 3-4-3 ... Suncorp is the biggest pitch in the league, so use it. 


Edited
6 Years Ago by Waz
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Waz - 26 Nov 2019 2:30 PM
CS - 26 Nov 2019 1:33 PM

I see this game playing out two ways:

1/ Roar sit back and allow Mariners to run at them and they’ll concede sooner or later and likely lose. 

2/ Roar get on the front foot and take the game to Mariners and use their physical strength to boss the game, then they’ll win comfortably. 

I cant see (2) happening without 2-3 changes.

DWH/ROD up front. 
Inman, O’Shay, O’Neill in the middle
Back 3 as-is with Courtney-Perkins/Jingham out wide
Young in goal for the sake of change. 

I’d also push O’shay so far forward it looks like a 3-4-3 ... Suncorp is the biggest pitch in the league, so use it. 


Agree with your thinking, but RF seems hell bent on not giving DWH a start.  Can't see it happening.
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CS - 26 Nov 2019 3:49 PM
Waz - 26 Nov 2019 2:30 PM

Agree with your thinking, but RF seems hell bent on not giving DWH a start.  Can't see it happening.

Yeah, don’t get DWH. He’s not the best footballer but he always gives you passion and drive and he Does worry defences. I also like the idea of Holloway coming off the bench midway through the second half, he’s a bit of a beast all be it with a small engine apparently
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Waz - 26 Nov 2019 1:01 PM
crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 12:57 PM

Just out of interest, are their any stats on how accurate bookies are these days? 

I bet for fun and as an emotional side bet for Roar games....I am well ahead..I love the two goals ahead rule.When Roar won their game  against MC,I put $5 on MC and it paid a win.Best of both worlds.Lol
Last weekend AU,SFC,WP and MC were favourites and I won on all.CCM was a loss.
Previous week three winners  picked  ,SFC,MC and AU...Even though MC lost.One loss.
The week before that only two favourites won.A Roar draw upset ,CCM upset and  WU upset.

I dont smoke so $5  to make each game interesting is fine ...While im ahead .Lol 





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crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 6:05 PM
Waz - 26 Nov 2019 1:01 PM

I bet for fun and as an emotional side bet for Roar games....I am well ahead..I love the two goals ahead rule.When Roar won their game  against MC,I put $5 on MC and it paid a win.Best of both worlds.Lol
Last weekend AU,SFC,WP and MC were favourites and I won on all.CCM was a loss.
Previous week three winners  picked  ,SFC,MC and AU...Even though MC lost.One loss.
The week before that only two favourites won.A Roar draw upset ,CCM upset and  WU upset.

I dont smoke so $5  to make each game interesting is fine ...While im ahead .Lol 





I could never bet on Roar games - I tip them for a win every week and I’ve been right 5 times in the last 35 games 😭
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crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 6:05 PM
Waz - 26 Nov 2019 1:01 PM

I bet for fun and as an emotional side bet for Roar games....I am well ahead..I love the two goals ahead rule.When Roar won their game  against MC,I put $5 on MC and it paid a win.Best of both worlds.Lol
Last weekend AU,SFC,WP and MC were favourites and I won on all.CCM was a loss.
Previous week three winners  picked  ,SFC,MC and AU...Even though MC lost.One loss.
The week before that only two favourites won.A Roar draw upset ,CCM upset and  WU upset.

I dont smoke so $5  to make each game interesting is fine ...While im ahead .Lol 





The easiest money last year was betting on total goals in a Roar game would be greater than the line.  More often that not, it was a winning bet.  
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aok - 27 Nov 2019 2:30 PM
crimsoncrusoe - 26 Nov 2019 6:05 PM

The easiest money last year was betting on total goals in a Roar game would be greater than the line.  More often that not, it was a winning bet.  

So true, Brisbane game totals over 2.5 or 3.5 were literally the only Aleague bets I did last year. 
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Roar with only 7 players off contract:

https://www.couriermail.com.au/sport/football/more-than-50-per-cent-of-aleague-players-have-contracts-expiring-at-end-of-201920-season/news-story/7ba62081a261b65e2f18531f84d6e8d7

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Yeah - we just did that.

But you would expect most clubs to try and re-sign most of their core players rather than starting from scratch.


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Roar in me Blood - 27 Nov 2019 11:12 PM

Yeah - we just did that.

But you would expect most clubs to try and re-sign most of their core players rather than starting from scratch.

Fowler basically didn’t sign anyone to a one year contract, this is slightly unusual especially given the number of signings he did make (15?) and gives him little wiggle room. I would questions whether Mells, McGing or Jingham needed a two year contract tbh, and I would have thought O’Neills loan would be up 
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Waz - 28 Nov 2019 6:44 AM
Roar in me Blood - 27 Nov 2019 11:12 PM

Fowler basically didn’t sign anyone to a one year contract, this is slightly unusual especially given the number of signings he did make (15?) and gives him little wiggle room. I would questions whether Mells, McGing or Jingham needed a two year contract tbh, and I would have thought O’Neills loan would be up 

I am more concerned about the internationals. we have all our visa spots on multi year contracts and only Oshea and Aldred look to be of the required quality. we now have to look only at australian players to improve the squad who are typically much more expensive (over paid). though i agree that mells, mcging and ingham, should never have been given more than a years contract. 
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sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 10:07 AM
Waz - 28 Nov 2019 6:44 AM

I am more concerned about the internationals. we have all our visa spots on multi year contracts and only Oshea and Aldred look to be of the required quality. we now have to look only at australian players to improve the squad who are typically much more expensive (over paid). though i agree that mells, mcging and ingham, should never have been given more than a years contract. 

I must be seeing something in Amadi-Holloway that others aren't. To me he has shown he has a decent shot, can win the ball in the air, can hold up the ball and looks to be reasonably creative in finding passes to bring others into the play. Certainly seems to be question marks over his endurance, but I think in the limited minutes he has had, he's shown at least as much as O'Shea and Aldred. 
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Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM
sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 10:07 AM

I must be seeing something in Amadi-Holloway that others aren't. To me he has shown he has a decent shot, can win the ball in the air, can hold up the ball and looks to be reasonably creative in finding passes to bring others into the play. Certainly seems to be question marks over his endurance, but I think in the limited minutes he has had, he's shown at least as much as O'Shea and Aldred. 

I agree.  I think ROD is past it (never really rated him) and Gilesphy looks to be too slow.  Maybe the Roar can use a few Sydney FC or Victory salary cap management techniques and move those 2 on for a couple of better options.
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Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM
sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 10:07 AM

I must be seeing something in Amadi-Holloway that others aren't. To me he has shown he has a decent shot, can win the ball in the air, can hold up the ball and looks to be reasonably creative in finding passes to bring others into the play. Certainly seems to be question marks over his endurance, but I think in the limited minutes he has had, he's shown at least as much as O'Shea and Aldred. 

I also agree.

He can also use his body well to win the ball in 50/50s and bring it through opposition, although he seems to be used more as a target for the higher ball in for now.

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aok - 28 Nov 2019 10:31 AM
Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM

I agree.  I think ROD is past it (never really rated him) and Gilesphy looks to be too slow.  Maybe the Roar can use a few Sydney FC or Victory salary cap management techniques and move those 2 on for a couple of better options.

On Gillesphey - he can't be the slowest CB in the world surely...?

Is it just inexperience or is it ability that he cannot improve when they keep getting in behind him?

Is Aldred holding too high a line where Gillesphey would otherwise drop back a few more metres to offset other team's speed?

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Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM
sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 10:07 AM

I must be seeing something in Amadi-Holloway that others aren't. To me he has shown he has a decent shot, can win the ball in the air, can hold up the ball and looks to be reasonably creative in finding passes to bring others into the play. Certainly seems to be question marks over his endurance, but I think in the limited minutes he has had, he's shown at least as much as O'Shea and Aldred. 

Yes he has those qualities, he is definitely strong in the air and can bring others into play from the high ball but it is more the style of play that we resort to when he is on. we just pump balls forward in the air we become so one dimensional. the style of play is just hard to watch. I cant say he has a good shot on him because he barely ever shoots. i think simply due to his lack of endurance and the fact that we resort to hoofball when he is on makes me think that he is not worth a spot. (if we were scoring a bucketload with the hoofball then that would take away some of my concerns but we arnt and dont really look likely either.)
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sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 12:10 PM
Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM

Yes he has those qualities, he is definitely strong in the air and can bring others into play from the high ball but it is more the style of play that we resort to when he is on. we just pump balls forward in the air we become so one dimensional. the style of play is just hard to watch. I cant say he has a good shot on him because he barely ever shoots. i think simply due to his lack of endurance and the fact that we resort to hoofball when he is on makes me think that he is not worth a spot. (if we were scoring a bucketload with the hoofball then that would take away some of my concerns but we arnt and dont really look likely either.)

I don't think we need to play that way with him though. To my eye he seems to be good enough with the ball at his feet, and can do more than just bring down long balls, so really having him on should give us that as well as the possibility of balls over the top. Whether Fowler doesn't see it the same and thinks he is only good enough to play hoofball, i'm not sure.
I agree regarding him not having many chances to shoot, and again I think that is due to Fowler playing him as more of a support to the other striker. I'd like to see him playing up top in a front 3. 
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I think the comments about Gillesphey have to be considered in context.
He seems to be the guy deepest and left to chase the strikers getting behind the line.
Is he slower than Aldred or Bowles when turning to chase or are they all in the same boat?
If you look around the league which CB defenders can confidently defend a high line? I struggle to think of any.

Overall as I have said before i dont see Aldred or Gillesphey as being any better than half the Aussie CB's going around.They are nt the worst players going around ,but are pretty much a waste of two visa spots.

A-Holloway is a decent hold up man.But I dont think he is a high work rate guy.So he is a bit of a luxury in a side that is supposed to be high energy and is struggling .Maybe its fitness,because he hasnt played that much and we know from history that visa players who arent fit at the start of the season tend to struggle all season.Time will tell as he is here for two years.

Have we seen DWH and A-Holloway play at the same time for any t
length of time yet?
DWH's strength was his ruthlessness around the box.So you would think any half chances created by AH would more likley be finished  than by ROD.


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Holloway showed much greater attacking depth in preseason but has not been 'allowed' to use his skills to the same extent in the season proper.

He was a beast in midfield in preseason, ran round or through players trying to stop him, and linked well with his forwards.

He just hasn't been using his full skill set - including starting his run a bit deeper and bringing it with him through or near the middle. Maybe that is Robbie directing his play, maybe it is the higher level opposition, maybe he is afraid of losing the ball now for some reason.

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Mello-D - 28 Nov 2019 10:23 AM
sirhcdobo - 28 Nov 2019 10:07 AM

I must be seeing something in Amadi-Holloway that others aren't. To me he has shown he has a decent shot, can win the ball in the air, can hold up the ball and looks to be reasonably creative in finding passes to bring others into the play. Certainly seems to be question marks over his endurance, but I think in the limited minutes he has had, he's shown at least as much as O'Shea and Aldred. 

yep agreed ...I have been impressed at all his appearances so far .I would start him with Roy and bring DWH on second half. DWH can feed offscraps .


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There's no doubt about it, though - we are discussing a poor group of players.  Think back to Ange's teams and Mulvey's Championship team, then line them up against Fowler's motley crew.   Talk about the sublime to the gore blimey.  Is there a single player in our first 11 who would start for City, SFC, Wanderers, Glory, Adelaide or Western United?  Or even Victory or the Jets?  The answer has to be no, and that is a damning indictment of Robbie Fowler.
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Roar in me Blood - 28 Nov 2019 12:56 PM
Holloway showed much greater attacking depth in preseason but has not been 'allowed' to use his skills to the same extent in the season proper.

He was a beast in midfield in preseason, ran round or through players trying to stop him, and linked well with his forwards.

He just hasn't been using his full skill set - including starting his run a bit deeper and bringing it with him through or near the middle. Maybe that is Robbie directing his play, maybe it is the higher level opposition, maybe he is afraid of losing the ball now for some reason.

Maybe the correct answer is the most obvious - he's not very good.

We are talking about a player who conspicuously failed as an English Div 3 striker.  A lot of our players looked decent in pre season against amateur or semi pro sides.  Of course they would.  They are better than that.  It's just that they fall over against decent A League opposition.

I'm over trying to call Fowler's sow's ear team a silk purse.  To shift the metaphor, it's time to start calling spades spades here.
Edited
6 Years Ago by CS
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CS - 28 Nov 2019 5:47 PM
There's no doubt about it, though - we are discussing a poor group of players.  Think back to Ange's teams and Mulvey's Championship team, then line them up against Fowler's motley crew.   Talk about the sublime to the gore blimey.  Is there a single player in our first 11 who would start for City, SFC, Wanderers, Glory, Adelaide or Western United?  Or even Victory or the Jets?  The answer has to be no, and that is a damning indictment of Robbie Fowler.

O'Shea is good quality. So is O'Neil, don't understand why he was on the bench last week.
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I see something in AH too, so agree with what you are saying. 

I think he has shown he could contribute more if given the minutes and I was surprised he was taken off half time when I thort he was at causing some problems for the opposition. 

Whereas I didn't see that from ROD. So that sub surprised me. 
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richv - 28 Nov 2019 6:16 PM
CS - 28 Nov 2019 5:47 PM

O'Shea is good quality. So is O'Neil, don't understand why he was on the bench last week.

No player of quality comes from a struggling team in the English division 4. To try and to suggest otherwise flies in the face of objective real time. 

O'Neil is thoroughly ordinary. 
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