StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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you're in a relegation spot moderator
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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+xyou're in a relegation spot moderator yup, having a shocker
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
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Odds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website?
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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+x+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website? Number 1 I would think if you did all 5 comps combined. Anybody can win a one off tipping comp. That does not really prove much. Just that you had a good run. Winning 2, 3, 4 ... etc (even if using a much much smaller pool of people) says a lot more about your ability. It is like making a multi bet all at long odds and it coming in. You need to have skill rather than luck. Nobody on this site will ever win 4 in a row again. I am the G.O.A.T.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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Melbcityguy knew best this week
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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A difficult week for tipping. I was so close to making my 1st ever bet. MV to beat MC. I still tipped MC but the odds made MV a very interesting bet. Next time perhaps I will show some more balls.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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+xMelbcityguy knew best this week The comeback starts now!
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StiflersMom
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Group: Moderators
Posts: 12K,
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WC1day
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.2K,
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+x+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website? 616 of 10,662 tippers not bad, but not the GOAT :) Iknowbest Message Add Mate Report"> A-League - Week 14 results A-LeagueRound Score3/5 Round Rank947 of 10,662 tippers -839 Places Total Score368.34 Points above Average (27.66) Comp Rank616 of 10,662 tippers FTBLTippingLadder: Season
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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+x+x+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website? 616 of 10,662 tippers not bad, but not the GOAT :) Iknowbest Message Add Mate Report"> A-League - Week 14 results A-LeagueRound Score3/5 Round Rank947 of 10,662 tippers -839 Places Total Score368.34 Points above Average (27.66) Comp Rank616 of 10,662 tippers FTBLTippingLadder: Season Better than anybody on this site. The skill is not how you do in 1 year. The skill is doing well every year. I am 4 from 4 and in with a great chance of 5 from 5. Odds of doing that are longer than 1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10. So better than 1 in 100,000. So yeap I am the G.O.A.T. as nobody will every win 4 in a row on this site. I may not win this year but do you think anybody else will ever get 4 in a row? Read it and weep loser. Did you enter the FTBL comp or are you just a gutless wonder with no cred like so many others on this site. All talk but never put their name on the line. Bok Bok.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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WC1day
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.2K,
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+x+x+x+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website? 616 of 10,662 tippers not bad, but not the GOAT :) Iknowbest Message Add Mate Report"> A-League - Week 14 results A-LeagueRound Score3/5 Round Rank947 of 10,662 tippers -839 Places Total Score368.34 Points above Average (27.66) Comp Rank616 of 10,662 tippers FTBLTippingLadder: Season Better than anybody on this site. The skill is not how you do in 1 year. The skill is doing well every year. I am 4 from 4 and in with a great chance of 5 from 5. Odds of doing that are longer than 1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10. So better than 1 in 100,000. So yeap I am the G.O.A.T. as nobody will every win 4 in a row on this site. I may not win this year but do you think anybody else will ever get 4 in a row? Read it and weep loser. Did you enter the FTBL comp or are you just a gutless wonder with no cred like so many others on this site. All talk but never put their name on the line. Bok Bok. I am Bluey on the tipping site, I am in other tipping comps and thats my nickname. I have been a member of the forum tipping comp since it was started by Stifflers Mom. Its a bit of fun. On your estimation of the probabilities of winning each year. If the pool of tippers stays the same, as it does with the members of this comp, year on year, your probability of repeating the result is actually quite high and no where near the long odds you quote. Probabilities for random results is significantly different from skill based forecasting. Its a bit like the golden boot in the Aleague. If you win it one year, you have a much higher probability of winning the next year, over say another player who may be a goal keeper. In fact the FTBL is a lot more skewed than that. There are lots of strikers in the HAL and they come and go and may get injured. In the FTBL the tippers stay largely the same, so on balance the results should stay largely the same. Which explains why I came second several years in a row to the same guy Milan7. Although I do agree 5 from 5 would be a relatively excellent result, albeit in a small field and importantly we arent playing for money.
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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+x+x+x+x+xOdds of winning a tipping comp with 12 people = 1/12 = 8.33% Odds of winning 2 such comps in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/144 = 0.69% Odds of winning 3 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/1728 = 0.05% Odds of winning 4 in a row = 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 = 1/20736 = Something close to impossible. Now folks this is what I have already achieved. And this is why I know I have more knowledge than all of you put together when it comes to the A league. And now I am looking good for a fifth. Do not let me win again. That would be just insane. Get your tips in. I am already a legend. Somebody must beat me or my head might just explode. what are you ranked overall on the whole website? 616 of 10,662 tippers not bad, but not the GOAT :) Iknowbest Message Add Mate Report"> A-League - Week 14 results A-LeagueRound Score3/5 Round Rank947 of 10,662 tippers -839 Places Total Score368.34 Points above Average (27.66) Comp Rank616 of 10,662 tippers FTBLTippingLadder: Season Better than anybody on this site. The skill is not how you do in 1 year. The skill is doing well every year. I am 4 from 4 and in with a great chance of 5 from 5. Odds of doing that are longer than 1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10*1/10. So better than 1 in 100,000. So yeap I am the G.O.A.T. as nobody will every win 4 in a row on this site. I may not win this year but do you think anybody else will ever get 4 in a row? Read it and weep loser. Did you enter the FTBL comp or are you just a gutless wonder with no cred like so many others on this site. All talk but never put their name on the line. Bok Bok. I am Bluey on the tipping site, I am in other tipping comps and thats my nickname. I have been a member of the forum tipping comp since it was started by Stifflers Mom. Its a bit of fun. On your estimation of the probabilities of winning each year. If the pool of tippers stays the same, as it does with the members of this comp, year on year, your probability of repeating the result is actually quite high and no where near the long odds you quote. Probabilities for random results is significantly different from skill based forecasting. Its a bit like the golden boot in the Aleague. If you win it one year, you have a much higher probability of winning the next year, over say another player who may be a goal keeper. In fact the FTBL is a lot more skewed than that. There are lots of strikers in the HAL and they come and go and may get injured. In the FTBL the tippers stay largely the same, so on balance the results should stay largely the same. Which explains why I came second several years in a row to the same guy Milan7. Although I do agree 5 from 5 would be a relatively excellent result, albeit in a small field and importantly we arent playing for money. Me. 4 from 4 as a WINNER. The leagues have all had more than 10 (except maybe the woman world cup). So my odds estimate is actually lower than what I have achieved. My results are more like 1 in 150,000. And your results are a couple of seconds from more attempts? Not very impressive for somebody who has the cheek to have a go at my results. Perhaps best just to bow to the smartest person on here rather than to have a go at the G.O.A.T. But hey at least you have been trying. That is better than most of the wimps on this site who think they know something but are too afraid to put there name on the tipping. What gutless wonders they all are!
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
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IF victory won i would of got everything correct again and more bonus points just saying
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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+xIF victory won i would of got everything correct again and more bonus points just saying Those bonus points are critical. I have tipped the most winners but am second as I have not landed as many bonus points as others including the leader. If it comes down to a draw I am looking good due to my vastly superior goal difference. Are you game enough to tip MV again this week?
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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+x+xIF victory won i would of got everything correct again and more bonus points just saying Those bonus points are critical. I have tipped the most winners but am second as I have not landed as many bonus points as others including the leader. If it comes down to a draw I am looking good due to my vastly superior goal difference. Are you game enough to tip MV again this week? i feel like tonight's match is one of the hardest matches to pick this season. adelaide are not playing like winners but victory are the away team with a new manager. tipping a draw
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
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+x+x+xIF victory won i would of got everything correct again and more bonus points just saying Those bonus points are critical. I have tipped the most winners but am second as I have not landed as many bonus points as others including the leader. If it comes down to a draw I am looking good due to my vastly superior goal difference. Are you game enough to tip MV again this week? i feel like tonight's match is one of the hardest matches to pick this season. adelaide are not playing like winners but victory are the away team with a new manager. tipping a draw Yeap, it is a difficult one to pick. There is also a lot at stake for both teams. The winner will take a big step towards making finals, the loser will find making finals difficult.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 1.6K,
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
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three way tie at the top
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Iknowbest
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Group: Forum Members
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No tie. I'm winning. My goal difference will not be caught this season so everybody needs to tip more winners if they want what I have already achieved.
Full trophy cabinet (but yours looks a bit empty) ! Reigning BACK2BACK 442 A League and World Cup (Mens and Womens) Tipping Champion - so yeap, I do know best !
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Melbcityguy
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Group: Forum Members
Posts: 9.3K,
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Hmmm I have all my tips right so far not sure who to tip this afternoon. I need bonus points
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