Chronicles of a stable genius.


Chronicles of a stable genius.

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NicCarBel
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mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 3:52 PM
sydneyfc1987 - 28 Aug 2020 12:29 AM

No I didn’t get it from there. 

I got it from social media of an American protester holding a poster that said Biden = Obiden 

I thought it was very clever. 

Sounds like a pretty sheepy thing to do, amirite?
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mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 3:52 PM
sydneyfc1987 - 28 Aug 2020 12:29 AM

No I didn’t get it from there. 

I got it from social media of an American protester holding a poster that said Biden = Obiden 

I thought it was very clever. 

Combining the surnames of the current presidential nominee with the surname of the president he served with? Very clever is probably a bit generous, unless I'm missing something.

And besides, Obama was and is a popular president. I would have thought the last thing Republican strategists would want to do was conflating Biden's image with Obama's, but I won't stop them from making that mistake.
Edited
4 Years Ago by paladisious
Burztur
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mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 3:55 PM
Burztur - 28 Aug 2020 8:16 AM

No that is incorrect. 

Yes it’s true manufacturing has been in decline in the US until Trump provided tax incentives for businesses bringing manufacturing back to the States. 

The net result was hundreds of thousands of jobs in manufacturing, a tax rebate for those businesses and an income tax take from these workers which even bolstered state coffers. 

Can you source me the data?
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Burztur - 29 Aug 2020 9:28 PM
mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 3:55 PM

Can you source me the data?

Yes absolutely I can. 



https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES3000000001

You can see a very sharp increase since Trump assumed office in 2016, and then of course the sharp decrease in 2020 due to COVID. 
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4 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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Thanks. How about jobs overall (and not just manufacturing)? I'd imagine the US economy is moving to a services based one and would not be focused on manufacturing.
mouflonrouge
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Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 12:16 AM
Thanks. How about jobs overall (and not just manufacturing)? I'd imagine the US economy is moving to a services based one and would not be focused on manufacturing.

I believe jobs overall had broken all records in recent times. 

Being a service economy, the US never really had an issue with professional jobs. Just only with the manufacturing non skilled sector. 

Here is a break down of all sectors. there are graphs like the one I posted above and most areas grew significantly except for utilities which was relatively stagnant but stable or slight growth. 

https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ceshighlights.pdf

Overall, the Trump Administrations economic policies have worked. he delivered on bringing back jobs to America before the COVID derailment. 
Edited
4 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 10:58 PM
Burztur - 29 Aug 2020 9:28 PM

Yes absolutely I can. 



https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES3000000001

You can see a very sharp increase since Trump assumed office in 2016, and then of course the sharp decrease in 2020 due to COVID. 

I see a fairly consistent increase over a 10 year period, with a sharper increase when Trump takes office followed by a plateau well before COVID hit. 

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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 12:28 AM
Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 12:16 AM

I believe jobs overall had broken all records in recent times. 

Being a service economy, the US never really had an issue with professional jobs. Just only with the manufacturing non skilled sector. 

Here is a break down of all sectors. there are graphs like the one I posted above and most areas grew significantly except for utilities which was relatively stagnant but stable or slight growth. 

https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ceshighlights.pdf

Overall, the Trump Administrations economic policies have worked. he delivered on bringing back jobs to America before the COVID derailment. 

It looks like the overall trend for manufacturing is consistent with total jobs (with the real driver in leisure and hospitality). The Trump tax reforms also only went into effect in January 2018, so there should be a lag in any numbers from that policy (which might not have impacted this trend at all). As sydneyfc1987 says as well, the trend is also fairly consistent over a 10 year period.
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sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 8:30 AM
mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 10:58 PM

I see a fairly consistent increase over a 10 year period, with a sharper increase when Trump takes office followed by a plateau well before COVID hit. 

You need to look again. 

The bulk of the increase is from 2016 onwards. 
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Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 10:26 AM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 12:28 AM

It looks like the overall trend for manufacturing is consistent with total jobs (with the real driver in leisure and hospitality). The Trump tax reforms also only went into effect in January 2018, so there should be a lag in any numbers from that policy (which might not have impacted this trend at all). As sydneyfc1987 says as well, the trend is also fairly consistent over a 10 year period.

Yes the increases were across the board.

that is generally what happens when manufacturing increases. manufacturing has spin offs in other areas, and the other areas are not immune from Trump's economic policies and once again, you can see the acceleration of growth from 2016 onwards - basically the biggest boom in the last 50 odd years. 
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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 11:16 AM
sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 8:30 AM

You need to look again. 

The bulk of the increase is from 2016 onwards. 

Your data literally proves Burtzur's point that you were trying to refute, that a lot of jobs were created under Obama's presidency. 


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Edited
4 Years Ago by sydneyfc1987
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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 11:18 AM
Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 10:26 AM

Yes the increases were across the board.

that is generally what happens when manufacturing increases. manufacturing has spin offs in other areas, and the other areas are not immune from Trump's economic policies and once again, you can see the acceleration of growth from 2016 onwards - basically the biggest boom in the last 50 odd years. 

I don't think it's correct to say that manufacturing is what spins off jobs into the other areas. Growth was already there since 2010 and has been fairly consistent. 
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sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 2:45 PM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 11:16 AM

Your data literally proves Burtzur's point that you were trying to refute, that a lot of jobs were created under Obama's presidency. 

Not anywhere near as many as under Trump's administration, as you can see from the data I provided. 
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Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 3:42 PM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 11:18 AM

I don't think it's correct to say that manufacturing is what spins off jobs into the other areas. Growth was already there since 2010 and has been fairly consistent. 

Well if that's the case, it's even more reason to claim that Trump's economic policies created an economic boom across all sectors. 

Bottom line is this - Trump created more than any other US Administration in recent times, and certainly leaves Obama for dead. 
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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 5:04 PM
Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 3:42 PM

Well if that's the case, it's even more reason to claim that Trump's economic policies created an economic boom across all sectors. 

Bottom line is this - Trump created more than any other US Administration in recent times, and certainly leaves Obama for dead. 

No. The point was, the growth under Trumps administration for manufacturing is the same as that as Obamas. 
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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 5:02 PM
sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 2:45 PM

Not anywhere near as many as under Trump's administration, as you can see from the data I provided. 


Possibly.

But that isn't what you originally claimed is it? 





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Edited
4 Years Ago by sydneyfc1987
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sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 6:45 PM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 5:02 PM


Possibly.

But that isn't what you originally claimed is it? 




You know damn well he will somehow argue his point and we'll scratch our heads 
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MvFCArsenal16.8 - 30 Aug 2020 7:00 PM
sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 6:45 PM

You know damn well he will somehow argue his point and we'll scratch our heads 

Hard to argue against someone who constantly moves the goalposts.

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So that corrupt piece of shit Hillary has told Sleepy Joe not to concede the election under any circumstances. 

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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 11:16 AM
sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 8:30 AM

You need to look again. 

The bulk of the increase is from 2016 onwards. 

Damn Obama did pretty good after the GFC

-PB

https://i.imgur.com/batge7K.jpg

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Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 5:40 PM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 5:04 PM

No. The point was, the growth under Trumps administration for manufacturing is the same as that as Obamas. 

No it wasn't. Look at the graph.

The growth under Trump is clearly like a rocket ship. Obama was a lot more flat. 
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sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 6:45 PM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 5:02 PM


Possibly.

But that isn't what you originally claimed is it? 




I claimed Trump economic boom, was unprecedented for the last 40 odd years. 

Secondly, the flatness in 2016 and 2017 were as a result of Obama's failures. 

Trump policies were introduced in 2017 and onwards. 
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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 9:22 PM
sydneyfc1987 - 30 Aug 2020 6:45 PM

I claimed Trump economic boom, was unprecedented for the last 40 odd years. 

Secondly, the flatness in 2016 and 2017 were as a result of Obama's failures. 

Trump policies were introduced in 2017 and onwards. 

You refuted the fact that jobs grew under Obama. 

Go back and look. You're not getting away with this game you play this time.

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mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 9:20 PM
Burztur - 30 Aug 2020 5:40 PM

No it wasn't. Look at the graph.

The growth under Trump is clearly like a rocket ship. Obama was a lot more flat. 

Calculate the year on year percentage growth.

The focus should also be on all jobs - not just manufacturing. Why would you focus solely on manufacturing when there are other major sections like hospitality which is the real drive for jobs growth in the US now?  

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ErogenousZone - 30 Aug 2020 7:32 PM
So that corrupt piece of shit Hillary has told Sleepy Joe not to concede the election under any circumstances. 

Both sides are just as bad. This election is getting pretty dirty.
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ErogenousZone - 30 Aug 2020 7:32 PM
So that corrupt piece of shit Hillary has told Sleepy Joe not to concede the election under any circumstances. 

I don't get it, is that supposed to be like an accusation or something? Hillary telling Biden that he should try not to lose the election? Why wouldn't she? I don't get it.
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paladisious - 31 Aug 2020 4:36 AM
ErogenousZone - 30 Aug 2020 7:32 PM

I don't get it, is that supposed to be like an accusation or something? Hillary telling Biden that he should try not to lose the election? Why wouldn't she? I don't get it.

She’s trying to say, don’t repeat Bush v Gore
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NicCarBel - 29 Aug 2020 4:42 PM
mouflonrouge - 29 Aug 2020 3:52 PM

Sounds like a pretty sheepy thing to do, amirite?

No. It’s just funny and I agree that Obiden is just more of the failed established elitism that does little for the people. 

I’m just one of the darker shaded sheep in a sea of white. 

Edited
4 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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Burztur - 31 Aug 2020 12:14 AM
mouflonrouge - 30 Aug 2020 9:20 PM

Calculate the year on year percentage growth.

The focus should also be on all jobs - not just manufacturing. Why would you focus solely on manufacturing when there are other major sections like hospitality which is the real drive for jobs growth in the US now?  

Of course it’s about all jobs. Manufacturing jobs though is where the US economy was bleeding as corporations left the US market to capitalise on slave labour in Asian markets.

America has always done quite well in the services sector as a service economy. Much like Australia. 

But our manufacturing jobs are being exported overseas. Same with call centres. 

Trump address that issue because blue collar workers deserve the opportunity to earn a living as well. 

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Burztur - 31 Aug 2020 8:05 AM
paladisious - 31 Aug 2020 4:36 AM

She’s trying to say, don’t repeat Bush v Gore

I think Obiden woes are far more greater than that. 

First, if we don’t put a tracker on him, he might not even remember the way to the White House. 

Secondly, I doubt he will face the above problem because his popularity is in a nosedive as Trump is doing better this time than in 2015.

Edited
4 Years Ago by mouflonrouge
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