California and NY going to the Dems basically means that the GOP need Texas and Florida to balance it out. The fact that Texas could go to the Dems makes it interesting as well.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/gops-hunter-biden-probe-digs-up-dirt-on-rick-perrys-ties-to-ukrainian-gas-deals

Only twice has a candidate lost Florida but won nationally (Clinton in 1992 and JFK in 1960) since way back when Calvin Coolidge did in 1924: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_elections_in_Florida

Now that they have 29 votes (not 25, my bad) it's surely a must-win state, especially for the Republicans.

Polling is tight, but leaning towards Biden: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Florida

Florida has Bloomberg dropping shitloads of money on advertising too

-PB

North Carolina is slightly Democrat as well and Trump is only marginally ahead in Georgia, Iowa and Ohio. So many tight races. This could end up anywhere from a comfortable Trump win to a heavy Trump defeat.

Yup. The Supreme Court nomination also changes the whole complexion again. Which voter base turns out more?

And there it is.

-PB

Colour me shocked he paid no tax, same could be said of any billionaire.

Highly doubt this will achieve anything at all other than confirming what everyone already suspected.

Meh.

-PB

Why he fought hard to stop this to come out  .He is a typcial shyster . But sky news and fox try to make it palatable 

It’s the New York Times brah, the American equivalent of the Betoota Advocate. The US mainstream press has taken a dark turn in recent times, reporting outright lies and completely cooked allegations, under the auspices of “anonymous sources”. They will say and do anything to get rid of Trump. I mean after the fake Russian collusion clusterfuck why would anyone believe anything left wing fake news outlets have to say? Even if they were true, sadly the source is so lacking credibility that it renders the allegations as completely uncredible, so unless they’re willing to divulge their sources or source material, it’s best just to throw it in the bullshit bin.

Meanwhile Joe Biden’s corrupt son and corrupt dealings with Ukarine while his daddy was VP continue to be ignored. 

Why doesn’t Trump release his tax returns then? You can release it during an audit as well. That is no excuse.

As for the Biden Ukraine link, I thought the Republicans were investigating but then shut it down when they realised it was actually one of their own.

When you brah you loose the argument.  Jesus Christ man grow the f up and start arguing like you used to and not Strachan and speak like a bloody teenager 

Right - the polls are favouring Biden now before the debate - with them fully allocated it is 353 - 185.

So before the first debate lets put down the predicted electoral college figures to see what affect it will have and review it in a week. These are base on 538 amalgam of polls (not commenting on whether that is the best to used) 

Biden has 178 with a margin of greater than 15%. Trump has 60.
Biden has 21 with a margin between 10-15% with an average margin of 11.8%. Trump has 11 with an average margin of 14%
Biden has 76 with a margin between 5-10% with an average margin of 7.2%, Trump has 45 with an average margin of 7.8%
Biden has 78 with a margin between 0-5% with an average margin of 2.3%. Trump has 69 with an average margin of 2.2%     

This time next week - I'll put up the same breakdown and we can see whether the debate has had any affect and if it does - how much and in which direction.  

Remember that electoral college can vote however they choose, they can break from the vote of the people if they want.

-PB

Debate kicks off at 11am AEST if I have my conversion right, this stream seem to work here: https://www.cbsnews.com/live/

Actually, it seems ABC 24 will cover it.

Some late adjustments
Biden has 178 with a margin of greater than 15%. Trump has 60.
Biden has 21 with a margin between 10-15% with an average margin of 11.8%. Trump has 11 with an average margin of 14%
Biden has 80 with a margin between 5-10% with an average margin of 7.2%, Trump has 45 with an average margin of 7.8%
Biden has 74 with a margin between 0-5% with an average margin of 2.1%. Trump has 69 with an average margin of 2.0%     

The debate and Dan's press conference starting at exactly the same time, damn.

I pity Chris Wallace trying to keep this on track. 

Fuck they need a mute button when the other bloke is talking.  Particularly Trump.  The fucker won't stop interrupting.  He's like a child.

It’s a friggin crap shoot. Kinda pathetic. Peak USA.

Trump bragging about Obama not appointing judges and how that's a failure when McConnell is on the record saying they blocked all those appointments on purpose.

Yeah. I wanted to jump up on that. There’s too stuff spewed out and no time to give a proper reply. This debate is a joke. It just makes for good American TV

I might’ve missheard, but did trump actually tell white supremacists to standby? Anyway Biden is completely uninspiring

Sure but Trump set the bar so low that all Biden had to do was not have an aneurysm and he'll look competent.

I was expecting Trump to walk off. Biden had some good points and low points. Average performance. 

Entertaining, but I doubt any of these debates will change much.

George dubya was an idiot but he actually made some sense compared to these two 

Shit debate. Trump has appalling debating skills, he’s asked a question and always goes off on a tangent about something unrelated. Biden is just a silly old man out of his depth who should he committed to a nursing home.

For once I actually agree with you