The Orange Army. (Brisbane Roar Official Thread)


The Orange Army. (Brisbane Roar Official Thread)

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Waz
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paulc - 27 Nov 2020 10:01 AM
We’ve known about the absolute problem in not having a decent striker for a year now but somehow the club doesn’t see that as priority. A sign that they’re just happy to show up and fill in an A-League spot.

We don’t agree on much but I agree with you here. This is a known problem - they need to have an answer for the seasons start. 
Edited
5 Years Ago by Waz
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sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 11:24 AM
Waz - 27 Nov 2020 7:28 AM

We my not have a recognised goal scorer but we will hopefully have more goals overall this season. A full season of Smac, Champness actually has a pretty decent goal scoring record (and hopefully has retained that during his time off), Jessie looks to be more of a threat than JOshae's 1 goal last season as does Riku.

A 20 goal a season striker would definitely help but i think we have more goals in us this season than last and our defence looks to be pretty similar to last season so that would indicate a better season than last.

The defence is average and will get exposed this season. Robbie Fowlers park the bus tactics made it look like the defence was good. This season under Moon the team will be more expansive therefore exposing the average defence. On the flip side, the team will score more goals. Will be much better for the neutral.
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thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 12:06 PM
sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 11:24 AM

The defence is average and will get exposed this season. Robbie Fowlers park the bus tactics made it look like the defence was good. This season under Moon the team will be more expansive therefore exposing the average defence. On the flip side, the team will score more goals. Will be much better for the neutral.

The defence wasn’t average nor was it built around ‘park the bus’ (at least not according to the stats). But the problem is Neville has left so 1/3rd of the back three has gone and that’s huge - 

I can’t see Moon sticking with a back three so it’s probably all a moot point anyway as we’ll have a new defensive system compared to Robbie. 
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thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 12:06 PM
sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 11:24 AM

The defence is average and will get exposed this season. Robbie Fowlers park the bus tactics made it look like the defence was good. This season under Moon the team will be more expansive therefore exposing the average defence. On the flip side, the team will score more goals. Will be much better for the neutral.

Looking forward to your ladder prediction for the Roar again this season after your great calls last season :)  



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thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 12:06 PM
sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 11:24 AM

The defence is average and will get exposed this season. Robbie Fowlers park the bus tactics made it look like the defence was good. This season under Moon the team will be more expansive therefore exposing the average defence. On the flip side, the team will score more goals. Will be much better for the neutral.

I dont know about that. I rate Aldred highly as an organiser at the back and i think Gillesphie will look better in a 4 at the back system. then we have JCP who i think has the makings of a star player. brown and hingert are weak points but have proven to be more than serviceable in a championship winning team so i dont see how they are an average defensive line. 

even when moon came in at the end of last season, playing a system that is not his preferred in a more open way he still averaged no more than 1 goal conceded a game. i think playing his preferred system even if it is more open we will have one of the better defences this season. 
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aok - 27 Nov 2020 12:50 PM
thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 12:06 PM

Looking forward to your ladder prediction for the Roar again this season after your great calls last season :)  



Predicted them to come 6th, Which was reasonably close. I also predicted they would play some of the most boring football, which they did (Pre Moon)!

I have them 7th this year, ladder position wise, worse than last year, but footballing wise better than last year. 

If Moon is as expansive as I think he will be, Aldred and Gillepshey will be exposed.

  
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thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 1:29 PM
aok - 27 Nov 2020 12:50 PM

Predicted them to come 6th, Which was reasonably close. I also predicted they would play some of the most boring football, which they did (Pre Moon)!

I have them 7th this year, ladder position wise, worse than last year, but footballing wise better than last year. 

If Moon is as expansive as I think he will be, Aldred and Gillepshey will be exposed.

  

They were the form side of 2020 and really only COVID stopped them finishing third because they never recovered their form. 

They weren’t bettered by any side in the last 20 games really - just that age old problem of scoring goals which, when ROD didn’t fit and Holloway flattered to deceive, is understandable (but unforgivable if it happens again this season). 

The only team in the new season that looks the part is City, the title is theres to loose imo. 

SFC, Victory have too many changes to know how they’ll perform. 

Glory, Adelaide, Nix could surprise but again, too many changes to be sure how they’ll go. 

WSW, who knows but you’d expect better. But you’re only one Carl Robinson away from a player rebellion there. 

WU look stable and McArthur look strong but who knows?

Jets and Mariners look doomed to the basement, but again who knows? 

Roar - anywhere between 3 and 8 I recon. 

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sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 1:03 PM
thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 12:06 PM

I dont know about that. I rate Aldred highly as an organiser at the back and i think Gillesphie will look better in a 4 at the back system. then we have JCP who i think has the makings of a star player. brown and hingert are weak points but have proven to be more than serviceable in a championship winning team so i dont see how they are an average defensive line. 

even when moon came in at the end of last season, playing a system that is not his preferred in a more open way he still averaged no more than 1 goal conceded a game. i think playing his preferred system even if it is more open we will have one of the better defences this season. 

I'm going to be really annoyed if Brown gets the nod over JCP this season. 
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thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 1:29 PM
aok - 27 Nov 2020 12:50 PM

Predicted them to come 6th, Which was reasonably close. I also predicted they would play some of the most boring football, which they did (Pre Moon)!

I have them 7th this year, ladder position wise, worse than last year, but footballing wise better than last year. 

If Moon is as expansive as I think he will be, Aldred and Gillepshey will be exposed.

  

So a top 4 finish is guaranteed ;)
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Waz - 27 Nov 2020 1:59 PM
thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 1:29 PM

Roar - anywhere between 3 and 8 I recon. 

It will be interesting to see if that fixture actually favors Roar. Those 3PM/4PM games in Jan/Feb/Mar could really prove difficult for travelling opposition. Summer in Brisbane during those normal 6/7pm games is less than ideal at the best of times, let alone at 3pm when the sun is still out.
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aok - 27 Nov 2020 2:44 PM
thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 1:29 PM

So a top 4 finish is guaranteed ;)

😂
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Waz - 27 Nov 2020 1:59 PM
thekingmb - 27 Nov 2020 1:29 PM

They were the form side of 2020 and really only COVID stopped them finishing third because they never recovered their form. 

They weren’t bettered by any side in the last 20 games really - just that age old problem of scoring goals which, when ROD didn’t fit and Holloway flattered to deceive, is understandable (but unforgivable if it happens again this season). 

The only team in the new season that looks the part is City, the title is theres to loose imo. 

SFC, Victory have too many changes to know how they’ll perform. 

Glory, Adelaide, Nix could surprise but again, too many changes to be sure how they’ll go. 

WSW, who knows but you’d expect better. But you’re only one Carl Robinson away from a player rebellion there. 

WU look stable and McArthur look strong but who knows?

Jets and Mariners look doomed to the basement, but again who knows? 

Roar - anywhere between 3 and 8 I recon. 

yeah going through the teams it is really hard to pick table spots. 8 new managers, lots of new players and a lowered salary cap. it is hard to benchmark teams. 

city and SFC are favourites for me, though SFC have not replaced ALF who is a 20 goal a season striker which could see them come unstuck and city have Kisnorbo taking his first mens team top job so could be a flop. 

of the other newbies (brebner, veart, garcia, milicic, moon, robinson and whoever the Jets get) milicic probably should do the best given his extensive background and extra cap space for the new team. 

CCM are experts at the lower cap so may actually do a bit better than spooners this season (and just beat wanderers in preseason). Jets apparently have Papas coming in as coach who could do wonders there if he gets in quick enough to get a preseason with the team.

I am going to pick Perth and Victory to be the strugglers this season simply because i dont know much about Brebner and Garcia as coaches but really a case can be made for any of the teams to do well or be spooners. 
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sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 3:23 PM
Waz - 27 Nov 2020 1:59 PM

yeah going through the teams it is really hard to pick table spots. 8 new managers, lots of new players and a lowered salary cap. it is hard to benchmark teams. 

city and SFC are favourites for me, though SFC have not replaced ALF who is a 20 goal a season striker which could see them come unstuck and city have Kisnorbo taking his first mens team top job so could be a flop. 

of the other newbies (brebner, veart, garcia, milicic, moon, robinson and whoever the Jets get) milicic probably should do the best given his extensive background and extra cap space for the new team. 

CCM are experts at the lower cap so may actually do a bit better than spooners this season (and just beat wanderers in preseason). Jets apparently have Papas coming in as coach who could do wonders there if he gets in quick enough to get a preseason with the team.

I am going to pick Perth and Victory to be the strugglers this season simply because i dont know much about Brebner and Garcia as coaches but really a case can be made for any of the teams to do well or be spooners. 

It’s actually looking the most unpredictable season ever lol 
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Waz - 27 Nov 2020 3:53 PM
sirhcdobo - 27 Nov 2020 3:23 PM

It’s actually looking the most unpredictable season ever lol 

Except that Sydney will win the seat again.
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CS - 27 Nov 2020 4:58 PM
Waz - 27 Nov 2020 3:53 PM

Except that Sydney will win the seat again.

I don’t think they will - unless they replace ALF 
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Waz - 27 Nov 2020 5:10 PM
CS - 27 Nov 2020 4:58 PM

I don’t think they will - unless they replace ALF 

with GoalGoal Mebrahtu!!!!
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Fowler and Grant vs Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar lose the court case

https://amp.smh.com.au/sport/soccer/fowler-wins-fifa-unfair-dismissal-case-but-roar-still-claim-vindication-20201129-p56iwa.html

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Paul01 - 29 Nov 2020 10:36 PM

Seems both sides are happy. 
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Betting agencies have Brisbane finishing 9th!
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crimsoncrusoe - 30 Nov 2020 9:33 AM
Betting agencies have Brisbane finishing 9th!

Betting agencies normally squeeze their predictions for Mel/Syd sides to lower odds for them (higher ladder position) and therefore manage their risk exposure. 

A good test would be - did betting agencies have Roar finishing 4th this time last year and Victory  10th? (Both were predicted preseason by some) 

Who are the three sides below them - CCM and Jets presumably, then who? 

Edited
5 Years Ago by Waz
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Interesting that Harry Sawyer is back trialing with us. Seemed to do well at Gold Coast, but not sure we need another "plucked from the NPL" striker on the books. 
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Think Moon gave him his first-team debut at Peninsula Power, so he would know him quite well. For me personally: I think he's a very good NPL striker, just not sure on him as an A-League striker tbh. Did quite well in the Philippines and got regular football, but his time in Hong Kong was interrupted by injuries [according to Transfermarkt] and he ended up spending quite a bit of time on the bench in the end.

Might be a move that works out [if he signs], but I'd be hoping for someone a bit more proven if I was a Roar fan.

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Waz - 30 Nov 2020 10:22 AM
crimsoncrusoe - 30 Nov 2020 9:33 AM

Betting agencies normally squeeze their predictions for Mel/Syd sides to lower odds for them (higher ladder position) and therefore manage their risk exposure. 

A good test would be - did betting agencies have Roar finishing 4th this time last year and Victory  10th? (Both were predicted preseason by some) 

Who are the three sides below them - CCM and Jets presumably, then who? 

Below us are WSW,Bulls and CCM.
NJ just above us.
SFC,MC,WU,WP,PG,AU,MV,NJ.
MV and NJ’s have jumped us.
MV are stronger and NJ weaker ,but were the best during Covid.So NJ to drop and MV to rise.
AU have been strengthening and performed well during Covid.
WP performed badly during Covid ,but look strong,especially now they have Tomar Hemed.
PG were poor during Covid,but missed their best player.
WU are stronger.
SFC the same.
MC the same.
AU  lost good players and brought in good new players.

Roar are weaker ,not much depth and look to be relying on NPL players.During Covid we were midtable,mostly drawing games.
No Inman.No AON and no Neville.
Noone of a similar standard to replace them.
Unless there are last minute surprise signings,Roar is at best a midtable team.
WSW should do well with Robinson in charge.
Bulls total unknown but a decent looking  squad that will suffer from lack of cohesion.
CCM total shite again.

There will always be surprises .But  overall the experts in betting know what they are doing.





Edited
5 Years Ago by crimsoncrusoe
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Is this the weakest Roar squad in ten years?
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clockwork orange - 30 Nov 2020 2:02 PM
Is this the weakest Roar squad in ten years?

It’s hard to think of a weaker team for Roar.
Even when we finished down the bottom with JA ,the squad was much better.
Moon will have to extract the best possible performance from players just for us to be competitive.
If JoS and Macca get injured its basically an NPL team with some A League quality backs.
If we finish above midtable with this squad Moon will be a genius.


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crimsoncrusoe - 30 Nov 2020 2:55 PM
clockwork orange - 30 Nov 2020 2:02 PM

It’s hard to think of a weaker team for Roar.
Even when we finished down the bottom with JA ,the squad was much better.
Moon will have to extract the best possible performance from players just for us to be competitive.
If JoS and Macca get injured its basically an NPL team with some A League quality backs.
If we finish above midtable with this squad Moon will be a genius.


Most of the teams (except for Sydney and City) are in the same boat. Couple of injuries to 1 or 2 top line players and the team is done. (Case in point Perth without Castro during Covid were horrendous).

Apart from Jets and CCM, the top 2 or 3 players at each club are currently better than the top 2-3 at Brisbane.

All up to the coach.

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A team on paper is irrelevant.

We have all seen great looking names play lousy football and weaker names shining.

I am quite happy to expect our team to do well until they show that they do not have what it takes. So far in pre-season we have had better results than some previous seasons (against Power specifically for one example). Unless the betting agencies are willing to give good odds on "Roar not coming 9th",they don't really have a strong feeling about it - just guessing like the rest of us with such untested teams all over the place.

Why look for doom and gloom and failure before a single ball is kicked in anger?

Roar to continue their strong building from last season, players who we know 'could' score getting their act together and hitting the back of the net regularly, and us improving on last season. Competition amongst our forwards based on scoring rather than being dropped for not scoring and top four finish possible rather than something we might scrape into.

Carn the Roar! Going to be a good season.

When I wear their colours, I am the club.

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crimsoncrusoe - 30 Nov 2020 2:55 PM
clockwork orange - 30 Nov 2020 2:02 PM

It’s hard to think of a weaker team for Roar.
Even when we finished down the bottom with JA ,the squad was much better.
Moon will have to extract the best possible performance from players just for us to be competitive.
If JoS and Macca get injured its basically an NPL team with some A League quality backs.
If we finish above midtable with this squad Moon will be a genius.


Perhaps this squad is on a par with the 2005/06 squad. I think every other squad since then has been better.
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clockwork orange - 30 Nov 2020 2:02 PM
Is this the weakest Roar squad in ten years?

Maybe on an individual basis, but we have had some excellent squads that have turned in bad seasons so I have given up trying to predict how we will go without having seen the team play. Having said that, I think the first 11 has enough talent to be competitive, whether we have the depth to back that up is the real question.
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5 Years Ago by JiMMM
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clockwork orange - 30 Nov 2020 2:02 PM
Is this the weakest Roar squad in ten years?

I think there’s a bit of over-reaction going on here. 

Roar have retained a significant proportion of their squad from last year - there’s only really Neville, AON and Inman that I would be sorry about. 

Neville is back in March anyway. 

Inman is easily replaced by O’Shea who is arguably a better player in that position. 

AON and the DM position is glaringly a worry at the moment. 

Signings have been functional if nothing to write home about; but if the club signs journeymen like Pepper they’re slammed by fans saying “there’s better in the NPL” but if they sign NPL players then they’re slammed as well. Go figure. 

Joey C is a genuinely good signing and I’m excited to see what Brendil-South can do. The rest of them
its a case of wait n see. 

My concern is not with the players that we have, but the players we don’t have. We needed a 9 and 6, but we haven’t signed them and that’s worrying 

We have one visa spot free. That’s a concern
Then if you look at many others (Nix, Bulls, WU) they have made at least one high-impact player that has the ability to lift an entire squad - as Broich and Berisha did. 
Roar at their best are a club that have done well when they’ve had a good coach, a clear playing plan, and the ability to recruit players to that plan. So a lot rests on Moon. 
I won’t be overly optimistic this year but I can only see two sides pulling away this season, City and SFC again. So top 3 is possible and (although I don’t buy the Bookies line) it could be as low as ninth. All that’s on Moon. 
To do better than that would take all the stars aligning and Scotty MCD taking out the golden boot - to do worse possibly no more than 2-3 key players injuries 

but it’s the same people calling out this squad that called out last seasons. They were wrong then and they can be wrong now. 



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