Just how much are the socceroos punching above their weight?


Just how much are the socceroos punching above their weight?

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grazorblade
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To compare like with like I used a metric which had every countries big 5 players who started last week

Australia had zero. If you include our fringe players our numbers go up but so do everyone else's and the analysis wouldn't change much

So Hrustic volpato genreau and tyrese do not count under the methodology I used

People are welcome to make a different metric (like total minutes in big five this season per country) but that is much more work so I won't ;)

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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 3:40 PM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:24 PM

No. Toulouse are Ligue 1.

Hrustic at Hellas Verona makes that 2 Australians.

You could increase it to 3 if you include Tyrese Francois at Fulham.





You should include Volpato (don't even bother with he's doesn't want to play for Australia). He's still an Australian playing in a top 5 league. Australia has a good future with players in top 5 leagues in the next 10 years and that's the important thing. Will probably have 10 by the next World Cup. 
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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:11 PM
Asia

Hardly any Asian players play Big Five.

Japan has 8.

South Korea 5.

Australia 0.

Asia had the second most teams 3, making the last 16 of the Qatar WC.

Comparatively, Africa has a plethora of current Big Five players. 2 African teams made the last 16 Senegal 10th with 10 Big Five players, and Morocco  made the semis with 6 Big Five players.  

It appears that UEFA teams need to have a plethora of Big Five players to go a long way in big tournaments like the WC, but some other countries who are members of other continental federations, don't need them to the same extent to have success.

Japan has 15 players in top 5 leagues
- England 3
- France 3
- Italy 1
- Spain 1
- Germany 7

Although you could argue that Sugawara at AZ and Morita at Sporting Lisbon should really be considered same level.  Former has been voted in Eredivisie team of the year and the later is starter for the leader in Portugal this year. There is also strong rumours that Ao Tanaka is about to join Stuttgart from Buli2 Dusseldorf this Jan, and that is the reason he just got left out of the Asian Cup squad.  Not to mention the guys at Celtic
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socceroos_rsdg - 3 Jan 2024 5:23 PM
We punch above our weight because Arnie's super defensive game style allows us to get results. It will be interesting to see how we go against weak Asian opposition (in Asia) where we need to create instead of just play on the counter.

It's very true, our whole game is basically press and counter. That's why development of younger players is so important and to be getting regular football minutes in proper European systems to actually learn how to play. This "Aussie DNA" system is not sustainable, way too inconsistent and almost useless for World Cup qualifiers. 
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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:29 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:11 AM

England won the World Cup in 1966. You can't achieve more than that in International football.

Southgate was born in 1970. He sure had a massive influence in that win.

They reached the semi finals in 1990 and 2018. Southgate was manager in 2018 but they did just fine before him.


Kicked the shit out of Pele. Changed timing for the semi at the last minute to disadvantage their opponents who had to travel. Then 2-2 in the Final. 3rd and 4th goal should not stand. Third did not cross the line. Fourth there were pitch invaders on the ground.
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We have zero in metric because general didn't start the week I looked. Other countries no doubt also have players on the bench that start other weeks
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We punch above our weight because Arnie's super defensive game style allows us to get results. It will be interesting to see how we go against weak Asian opposition (in Asia) where we need to create instead of just play on the counter.
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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:33 PM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:34 AM

Aus is a new kid on the block. 

How many English coaches have value added to international teams they’ve coached outside of Europe? 

Moreover, how many Scottish coaches have succeeded in France, Netherlands, Germany, Spain, Italy or Portugal? 

Scottish coaches have had a profile in Europe  for half a century  too. 




Australia played its first international in 1922.

Yeah that and football having been played in Australia since 1880 makes it the new kid on the block.

LOL.

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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:24 PM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 3:19 PM

Didn’t Genreau drop to Div 2 in France this season? 



No. Toulouse are Ligue 1.

Hrustic at Hellas Verona makes that 2 Australians.

You could increase it to 3 if you include Tyrese Francois at Fulham.





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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:34 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:04 AM

If Australian coaching qualifications are of such a high standard why have all Australian coaches (Postecoglou aside) failed in Europe?



Aus is a new kid on the block. 

How many English coaches have value added to international teams they’ve coached outside of Europe? 

Moreover, how many Scottish coaches have succeeded in France, Netherlands, Germany, Spain, Italy or Portugal? 

Scottish coaches have had a profile in Europe  for half a century  too. 





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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 3:19 PM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:11 PM

Wrong again.

Genreau plays for Toulouse.




Didn’t Genreau drop to Div 2 in France this season? 



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Here are the next ranked European teams outside the Big Five countries - in terms of numbers of Big Five players - and possible domestic leagues correlating in strength to national team results. 

Portugal 25.

Belgium 25. 

Netherlands 23. 

Denmark 22.

Croatia 17. 

Switzerland 17. 



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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 3:11 PM
Asia

Hardly any Asian players play Big Five.

Japan has 8.

South Korea 5.

Australia 0.

Asia had the second most teams 3, making the last 16 of the Qatar WC.

Comparatively, Africa has a plethora of current Big Five players. 2 African teams made the last 16 Senegal 10th with 10 Big Five players, and Morocco  made the semis with 6 Big Five players.  

It appears that UEFA teams need to have a plethora of Big Five players to go a long way in big tournaments like the WC, but some other countries who are members of other continental federations, don't need them to the same extent to have success.

Wrong again.

Genreau plays for Toulouse.




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Asia

Hardly any Asian players play Big Five.

Japan has 8.

South Korea 5.

Australia 0.

Asia had the second most teams 3, making the last 16 of the Qatar WC.

Comparatively, Africa has a plethora of current Big Five players. 2 African teams made the last 16 Senegal 10th with 10 Big Five players, and Morocco  made the semis with 6 Big Five players.  

It appears that UEFA teams need to have a plethora of Big Five players to go a long way in big tournaments like the WC, but some other countries who are members of other continental federations, don't need them to the same extent to have success.
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Enzo Bearzot - 3 Jan 2024 11:47 AM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:29 AM

Uruguay have won the WC twice and finished fourth  3 times times.  There's just 3 million of them compared to Englands 56 million population, and they have a fraction of the resources.  

By whatever measure England's football team  would have to be the biggest under-performers in international sport, period.  At some point it has to come down to their football coaching philosophy

England are ranked 5th in the World.

That is a pretty good measure.

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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:29 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:11 AM

England won the World Cup in 1966. You can't achieve more than that in International football.

Southgate was born in 1970. He sure had a massive influence in that win.

They reached the semi finals in 1990 and 2018. Southgate was manager in 2018 but they did just fine before him.






Uruguay have won the WC twice and finished fourth  3 times times.  There's just 3 million of them compared to Englands 56 million population, and they have a fraction of the resources.  

By whatever measure England's football team  would have to be the biggest under-performers in international sport, period.  At some point it has to come down to their football coaching philosophy
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Barca4Life - 3 Jan 2024 10:31 AM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:34 AM

And how many Scottish coaches have been successful in Australia in recent times? 

How many have there been in recent times?

Ernie Merrick and Lawrie McKinna made a pretty good fist of it




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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 8:34 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:04 AM

If Australian coaching qualifications are of such a high standard why have all Australian coaches (Postecoglou aside) failed in Europe?



And how many Scottish coaches have been successful in Australia in recent times? 
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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:04 AM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 6:29 AM

UEFA qualifications tend to be generic, with many countries.

The Dutch, French, Spanish digressed and kept their own systems in coach education, because they thought they were superior.

Serbia also has a tertiary education degree for professional coaches. 

 One phenomenon that doesn't occur in the original three aforementioned countries's coach education, is training ground practice that involves running without the ball. The Dutch, Spanish and French training ground practices are all game related. The Dutch KNVB at Zeist and the French at Clarefontaine, offer their own courses - not generic UEFA coach education. Football Aus coach education follows suit.

If Australian coaching qualifications are of such a high standard why have all Australian coaches (Postecoglou aside) failed in Europe?



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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 8:11 AM
Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 6:29 AM

It wasn't until Gareth Southgate was one of the first English coaches to deviate from the norm, and seeking knowledge from outside the country, that England started to achieve more at underage and senior level with the national team scenario.

One guy I know , who coaches at English pro underage level,  considers the greatest mistake English football has made in the past, is thinking  the game stops at the English Channel. Simon Kuper has written quite a few books about it.

England won the World Cup in 1966. You can't achieve more than that in International football.

Southgate was born in 1970. He sure had a massive influence in that win.

They reached the semi finals in 1990 and 2018. Southgate was manager in 2018 but they did just fine before him.






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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 6:29 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 12:19 AM

 They would most likely learn nothing from the Football Aus Technical Dept. 

The "Scottish FA exists to promote, foster and develop the game at all levels in this country" not just the national team.

It wasn't until Gareth Southgate was one of the first English coaches to deviate from the norm, and seeking knowledge from outside the country, that England started to achieve more at underage and senior level with the national team scenario.

One guy I know , who coaches at English pro underage level,  considers the greatest mistake English football has made in the past, is thinking  the game stops at the English Channel. Simon Kuper has written quite a few books about it.
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Lurker - 3 Jan 2024 6:29 AM
Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 12:19 AM
 The UEFA Pro Licence   is far superior to any Australian qualification.


UEFA qualifications tend to be generic, with many countries.

The Dutch, French, Spanish digressed and kept their own systems in coach education, because they thought they were superior.

Serbia also has a tertiary education degree for professional coaches. 

 One phenomenon that doesn't occur in the original three aforementioned countries's coach education, is training ground practice that involves running without the ball. The Dutch, Spanish and French training ground practices are all game related. The Dutch KNVB at Zeist and the French at Clarefontaine, offer their own courses - not generic UEFA coach education. Football Aus coach education follows suit.
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grazorblade - 3 Jan 2024 1:29 AM
by my measure Scotlands elo is slightly higher than their squad suggests. So they are actually going through a good period internationally

Two successive Euro Champ qualifications is a vast improvement  from Scotland. It is nice to see the parent country where many Aussies play in the domestic league, qualify for big  tournaments.

I wonder if there is any  correlation to the number of  Big Five players Scotland had 10, 15, 20  years ago?

James Holland having considerable success in Austria, when their international team has struggled to qualify for much, suggests the Austrian league may also  not be great as a paradigm for international success.

Also, Aussies playing in Norway, may not be a particularly good league. Whereas any Aussies playing in Denmark, Switzerland or Croatia, are small countries producing high numbers of Big Five players - and - are having considerable  current international success. 
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Decentric 2 - 3 Jan 2024 12:19 AM
Lurker - 2 Jan 2024 7:21 PM
Ultimately, the Scottish FA should visit  the Football Aus Technical Dept. The  Football Aus Tech Dept has visited Germany, Netherlands, Belgium, France, Spain, Japan, Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina, to import high quality, powerhouse training ground methodology to Aus football.



LOL

As if the Scottish FA are going to take notice of the opinion of someone who repeatedly displays his  ignorance of the Scottish game. They would most likely learn nothing from the Football Aus Technical Dept. The UEFA Pro Licence   is far superior to any Australian qualification.

The "Scottish FA exists to promote, foster and develop the game at all levels in this country" not just the national team.

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by my measure Scotlands elo is slightly higher than their squad suggests. So they are actually going through a good period internationally
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Lurker - 2 Jan 2024 7:21 PM
Decentric 2 - 2 Jan 2024 6:49 PM

No they didn't get out of their group. They lost to  Czechoslovakia and Croatia but drew with England.

Scotland finished second in its group in attempting to qualify for Qatar but lost out to Ukraine in the semi finals of qualification. They lost 2 -0 to Denmark in the first round then beat Denmark 2 -0  at home, rather than easily being accounted for by Denmark home and away which you incorrectly stated.



Sorry misread the table.

Scotland 23 home and away points, drew with Austria 2-2 at home, and drew 1-1 with Israel away, to cede 4 points to Denmark's 27 points, in the group WCQs.

By Scotland, 9 Big Five players, beating Austria away, with  12 Big Five players, in WCQs, they arguably defeated a team of higher quality on paper, as Austria have a higher quantity of quality Big Five cattle. However, Scotland cracked under pressure at home to draw 2-2 with Austria.

Drawing with Israel in an away game in the WCQs, a team they should have beaten on paper, based on domestic league quality in some rankings, but not others, was another Scottish failure to perform. Israeli conditions, are a bit similar to what Scotland would encounter in Asia.

However, in terms of having 9 Big Five players, Scotland, should have defeated Israel, who have few, if any, Big Five players. 

Scotland also defeated lowly ranked Moldova in Moldova, which would probably also be similar to Asia in aspects of culture, socio-economically, harder playing surfaces and some hotter playing conditions.

In the 2020 Euro Champs, Scotland should have defeated Czech Republic,  who boast 5 Big Five players, who they lost to, compared to Scotland with 9 Big Five players.

Scotland's high point in the Euro Champs, as has often been the case historically, was a draw against England, the tournament finalists.   England has 75 Big Five players to select from, compared to Scotland's 9.

Scotland losing to Croatia in the Euro Champs, should have been expected, according to Croatia having 17 Big Five players. Notwithstanding,  Scotland is a richer country and has a bigger population - 6 million to Croatia's 4 million. 

I wonder if the Scottish Football Assoc have visited Croatia to see what they are doing so well for a country with a population of only 4 million?

In the WCQs splitting the ledger 2-2 home and away with Denmark, was impressive. However, Denmark with 4 million has 17 Big Five players compared to Scotland's 9.

 Denmark, qualified. Scotland didn't. I wonder again if the Scottish FA have visited  Denmark, to see what the Danish Football Assoc is doing as well as they are? That is, apart  from drawing with Tunisia and losing to the Socceroos in the Qatar World Cup. 

Ultimately, the Scottish FA should visit  the Football Aus Technical Dept. The  Football Aus Tech Dept has visited Germany, Netherlands, Belgium, France, Spain, Japan, Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina, to import high quality, powerhouse training ground methodology to Aus football.



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Africa

This may be the continent outside South America, that provides most players who play Big Five football outside Europe.

Group 1
Senegal 10
Morocco 6
Ivory Coast 12
Cameroon 9
Nigeria 9

Group 2
Algeria 12
Ghana 12
Tunisia 3
Mali 7
Egypt 2
South Africa 1

I've  delineated two African groups.

Group 1 is probably  more successful in international football than Group 2.  Morocco may not have been prior to Qatar, but played brilliantly using a 4-5-1 with a 1:4 midfield to execute a counter attacking game plan - usually with only just over 30% possession in most games they played. I'm gobsmacked, because it  is very hard to concentrate for such long periods when the other team has the ball. Italy is one of the only teams who can do this really effectively over protracted periods, within games, and over the decades.

For the semi-finalists Morocco had easily less Big Five players than Croatia 17, Argentina 23 ( winners) and France 122. It  indicates whomever the Moroccan coach was, they played very effectively as a team unit.

Morocco also had less play Big Five players, 6, than the other quarter finalists Brazil 52, Netherlands 23, Switzerland 17 and England 75. In Qatar 2022, they value added as a team unit to the the individuals playing for the country.

Senegal also finished 10th, one place above Australia 11th, with 10 Big Five players. Senegal finished in front of Spain 121, Germany 117 and  Italy 79 ( who didn't  make the World Cup).

 Senegal appears to be another African team who played better as a team unit with 10 Big Five players compared to Denmark 22, Belgium 25, and Poland with 12 Big Five players. Austria with 12 Big Five players didn't qualify for Qatar and Serbia with 12 in the Big Five, were knocked out by Switzerland, 17 in the  Big Five, in Qatar.

Ivory Coast 12, Nigeria 9 and Cameroon 9, seem to be consistent qualifiers for World Cups.

Group 2

Algeria with 12  - must be considered an underachiever given the Big Five cattle they have. 

I might be confusing Ghana 12, but do they regularly qualify for WCs?

Ditto Mali 7 - I can't remember them qualifying much?

Reading about Egypt, they have often done very well in intra-continental African championships. They  currently only have 2 playing in the Big Five, but frequently fail to qualify for WCs despite their success within Africa.

With so many teams succeeding at the World Cup with so many Big Five players, Australia's performance was remarkable. Once again I repeat, Australia had O Big Five players in Qatar, unless Souttar was getting a few EPL games then.

It keeps getting back to the Aus team unit - and other  more difficult to identify traits in game based performance criteria that contribute to effective team units. These are game  sense, communication, positioning when attacking and defending, vision, mental strength, team unity, organisation and will to win.

Goodwin, Ryan, Behich ( not in the A L recently with some silly brain snaps), Irvine, Mooy, Rowles, Duke, and now O'Neill, have many of these traits. Ditto Degenek, dropped for Qatar. I like the look of Circati too.

Jordi Bos has the easier to identify traits. He is an impressive technician and an athlete.

In terms  of technique, I'm just watching O'Neill display the handling speed and slick pass and move football in limited time and space, playing effectively through the lines of Argentina in China. This is impressive and I think we have more technically adept young tyros on the way - with a higher technical quality.

Hrustic has the high technical level too with the ball at his feet, but  has lower level game sense and  vision. He has played  some Big Five football. 



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Decentric 2 - 2 Jan 2024 6:49 PM
Lurker - 2 Jan 2024 6:20 PM

I've acknowledged that and congratulated Scotland for qualifying  for the 2024 Euro Champs. Fair play to Scotland!

Did Scotland get out of the group stage in 2020 Euro Champs? If you don't respond, I'll assume they didn't.

As you can see from the data presented, there are even less successful international football paradigms within UEFA, than Scotland. Some countries, like Austria, with a population of 9 million, have 12 Big Five players, but are less successful at playing international football, within UEFA, than Scotland.

I'm also amused that when Aus journo, Adrian Dean, who writes  for Inside Sport, this site, visits Scottish football forums, Scottish fans think Aussie footballers are rubbish, and the Socceroos are rubbish. A bit embarrassing when the Socceroos reached the last 16 in the Qatar WC, beating Denmark 1-0, knocking them out of the comp. Denmark easily accounted for Scotland home and away in the UEFA WCQs for Qatar. 

No they didn't get out of their group. They lost to  Czechoslovakia and Croatia but drew with England.

Scotland finished second in its group in attempting to qualify for Qatar but lost out to Ukraine in the semi finals of qualification. They lost 2 -0 to Denmark in the first round then beat Denmark 2 -0  at home, rather than easily being accounted for by Denmark home and away which you incorrectly stated.



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Lurker - 2 Jan 2024 6:20 PM
Decentric 2 - 2 Jan 2024 4:58 PM
You are wrong again. Scotland qualified for the 2020 Euro's. That is 2 times in a row now rather than 24 years.






I've acknowledged that and congratulated Scotland for qualifying  for the 2024 Euro Champs. Fair play to Scotland!

Did Scotland get out of the group stage in 2020 Euro Champs? If you don't respond, I'll assume they didn't.

As you can see from the data presented, there are even less successful international football paradigms within UEFA, than Scotland. Some countries, like Austria, with a population of 9 million, have 12 Big Five players, but are less successful at playing international football, within UEFA, than Scotland.

I'm also amused that when Aus journo, Adrian Dean, who writes  for Inside Sport, this site, visits Scottish football forums, Scottish fans think Aussie footballers are rubbish, and the Socceroos are rubbish. A bit embarrassing when the Socceroos reached the last 16 in the Qatar WC, beating Denmark 1-0, knocking them out of the comp.

Denmark  won the UEFA group Scotland was competing in for the  WCQs for Qatar, finishing with 27 points to Scotland's 23 points.. 
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tsf - 28 Dec 2023 7:21 AM
Decentric 2 - 27 Dec 2023 8:35 AM

No they are absolutely not. 

I watch a lot of south american football. A lot of it is dire.

With due respect, when I've watched Brazilian club football, in terms of technique it is easily  the highest level of technical football I've watched in any league. 

Technique is categorised into - handling speed, first touch, running with the ball, striking the ball - and - 1v1 attacking and defensive skills.

In terms of handling speed, first touch, striking the ball (passing over range with the instep and outside of  the foot) and 1v1 attacking skills, I've never seen anything as good at club level as the Brazilian league.

Of course if  organisation, game sense, communication, football conditioning, mental strength, etc, are added,  the UEFA Big Five clubs more than compensate. The fact that 52 Brazilian footballers, play Big Five football in UEFA,  another continent, indicates Brazilians are more in demand than any other football nation in Europe, outside the domestic players who play in the Big Five themselves.

 In fact, 52 Brazilians playing in UEFA Big Five isn't that much lower than 75 English domestic players playing  Big Five, mostly in the EPL.

It is the technical qualities of Brazilians the Big Five talent scouts perceive as superior to UEFA footballers.

When I used to watch the Argentinian league, that was technically very high quality too. They have 23 players playing Big Five. Easily the second highest outside Europe.

Uruguay has 8 players playing Big Five. For a country of 3 million, that is incredible! Uruguay  doesn't often finish 3rd after Brazil an Argentina in  WCQ campaigns in South America, but it usually performs the best in WCs outside Brazil and Argentina.

I'd surmise the best players from the other South American leagues tend to play in Brazil or Argentina for their club football.
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